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Indiana Hoosiers vs Maryland Terrapins Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Wednesday January 7 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/07/2026, 10:33 AM ET

Indiana vs Maryland picks take center stage in this Big Ten matchup, and this game sets up as a classic grinder where every possession matters. With both teams struggling to score efficiently and neither side built to exploit the other’s weaknesses, this contest shapes up as one of the more intriguing handicaps on the board for bettors digging into today’s college basketball picks.

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Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Maryland +7.5
  • Total Pick: Under 146
  • Projected Final Score: Indiana 71, Maryland 67

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

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Team Spread
Indiana -7
Maryland +7
Bet Total
Over 149
Under 149

Current Odds

Team Spread Odds
Indiana -7.5 -102
Maryland +7.5 -120
Bet Total Odds
Over 146 -110
Under 146 -110

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Indiana Maryland
01/06 02:50:22PM -7 (-110) +7 (-110)
01/06 07:08:18PM -7.5 (-102) +7.5 (-120)
01/07 10:03:22AM -7.5 (-102) +7.5 (-120)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
01/06 02:50:23PM 149 (-110) 149 (-110)
01/06 07:11:43PM 147 (-115) 147 (-105)
01/07 09:39:40AM 146 (-110) 146 (-110)

Indiana Key Matchups and Handicap

Indiana has struggled mightily in true road games this season, scoring just 64 points at Minnesota and 60 points at Kentucky. Those performances cannot be ignored, but this matchup is fundamentally different. Maryland does not possess the offensive profile needed to punish Indiana’s biggest defensive flaw, which has been protecting the paint.

The Hoosiers lack size, with Sam Alexis standing as the only starter taller than 6-foot-7, and Washington exposed that weakness by shooting over 55 percent from two-point range. Maryland, however, is not built to replicate that blueprint. The Terps are shooting just 46.2 percent from two-point range this season, well below the national average, and only 39.5 percent of their scoring comes from inside the arc.

Buzz Williams’ first season in College Park has been rocky. Maryland has lost four of its last five games and scored just 54 points on 0.83 points per possession at home against Oregon. Like Indiana, the Terps lack a true post presence, limiting their ability to exploit mismatches.

One major edge for Indiana is ball security. The Hoosiers start five seniors and turned the ball over just four times in their last game. Maryland’s defensive philosophy under Williams has historically relied on forcing turnovers, but Indiana is not the type of team that gives away possessions. With limited transition chances and both teams operating at slow tempos, this game profiles as a half-court slugfest.

  • Indiana has struggled offensively in true road games.
  • Maryland has lost four of its last five games.
  • The Terps’ last three games have stayed under the total by an average of 17.8 points.
  • Neither team plays at a fast pace.

IND and MD Key Injuries and Notes

  • Both teams lack a true post presence in the starting lineup.
  • Indiana starts five seniors and limits turnovers.
  • Maryland’s offensive efficiency remains below the national average.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Against the Spread: Maryland +7.5
  • Total: Under 146

Final Score Prediction

  • Indiana 71
  • Maryland 67

How to Bet

Bettors looking to play this Big Ten matchup should begin by comparing available sportsbook promo codes to find the best possible value. Shopping lines across the best sportsbooks is especially important in low-scoring games where every point matters.

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