Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartans Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement for Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s a Big Ten contest on the hardwood as the Indiana Hoosiers travel to the Great Lakes State to battle the #12 Michigan State Spartans Tuesday night and we have you covered with our Indiana vs. Michigan State prediction. Indiana fell 83-77 to #10 at home Saturday afternoon, losing outright as a 4.5-point favorite, in their previous contest. Michigan State dropped Northwestern 76-66 at home in their previous contest Thursday night, failing to cover the line as a 13.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Hoosiers own a 74-58 advantage and have taken two straight in the series, including a 71-67 road win in the most recent matchup February 11, 2025. Read more about this Indiana vs. Michigan State prediction! Get our top NCAAB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!
Indiana Looking to Rebound on the Road
Indiana saw their four-game win streak halted as they were unable to take down unbeaten #10 Nebraska at home Saturday. The Hoosiers slipped to 12-4 overall on the year and stand 3-2 in the Big Ten as they seek to pick up an upset win on the road in this one. Against Nebraska, Indiana trailed by as many as seven in the first half but rallied to lead by nine at the half. The Hoosiers pushed the lead to 16 with 16:54 remaining but saw things unravel from there. Indiana was outscored 48-26 the rest of the way to wind up with the loss. The Hoosiers shot 46.4% from the floor, including 11 of 30 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 14 times in the contest. Lamar Wilkerson paced the Hoosiers with 32 points in the loss.
On the season, the Hoosiers are putting up an average of 84.5 points per game on the year, leaving them 55th in the nation in scoring offense. Indiana is collecting an average of 36.8 rebounds a night while dishing out an average of 18.3 assists per contest. The Hoosiers have been above average defensively, allowing an average of 68 points per contest, putting them 57th in the nation in scoring defense. Lamar Wilkerson is leading the team with 20.3 points plus 3.3 rebounds per contest this season. He is one of four players for the Hoosiers averaging in double figures. Tucker DeVries contributes 14.9 points plus 5.1 rebounds a night. Tayton Conerway (12.3 points, 3.8 rebounds, 4.3 assists) and Reed Bailey (10.4 points, 4.5 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Nick Dorn, Sam Alexis, Trent Sisley, Conor Enright and Jasai Miles are expected to contribute for Darian DeVries’ squad. Indiana shoots 48.3% from the floor as a team on the season, which is 55th in the country. The Hoosiers drain an average of 10.6 three-pointers a night while sinking 36.3% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Indiana has been above average at the charity stripe this season, converting 78.2% of their attempts as a team, leaving them 11th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Indiana:
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- No Key Injuries
Spartans Shoot for Third Straight Win
Michigan State won their second straight and sixth in the last seven games as they took down Northwestern at home. The Spartans improved to 14-2 overall and stand 4-1 in the Big Ten on the year entering this contest. Against Northwestern, Michigan State led by as many as three in the first half and trailed 35-28 at intermission. The Spartans outscored the Wildcats 48-31 in the second half to come up with the win. Michigan State shot 49% from the field, including five of 18 from beyond the arc, and controlled the glass by a 42-25 margin. Carson Cooper led the Spartans with 18 points and nine rebounds in the win.
The Spartans enter this contest 142nd in the nation in scoring offense with 78.9 points per game on the season. Michigan State is 10th in the nation in rebounding (42.7 rebounds per game) and 11th in assists with 19.1 dimes per game. The Spartans are above average team defensively as they are 14th in scoring defense by allowing 64.5 points per game on the year. Jaxon Kohler leads the team with 14.3 points plus 10.1 rebounds a night this season. Jeremy Fears Jr. (12.1 points, 8.8 assists), Coen Carr (11.6 points, 5.2 rebounds) and Carson Cooper (10.3 points, 7.3 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Kur Teng, Cam Ward, Divine Ugochukwu, Trey Fort, Jordan Scott and Jesse McCullouch are key contributors for coach Tom Izzo. Michigan State shoots 46.5% from the field as a team this season. The Spartans knock down an average of 7.6 three-point field goals on the year while shooting 35.9% from beyond the arc, putting them 84th in Division I. Michigan State is solid at the charity stripe as they shoot 73% from the free throw line on the year, putting them 146th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Michigan State:
- No Key Injuries
Indiana vs. Michigan State Pick
Indiana vs. Michigan State Spread Pick
- Michigan State -6.5 (4 units)
Indiana showed that for stretches, they can compete with anyone in the country. The Hoosiers were up 16 early in the second half but basketball at the Division I level is 40 minutes, not 23. As we saw, Indiana was hammered down the stretch and now have to go on the road, where they are 1-2 on the year with their lone win coming over Maryland. Michigan State is 9-1 at home with their lone defeat coming at the hands of Duke. The Spartans own five wins over teams ranked in the top 50 in the KenPom rankings while Indiana has just one. Take Michigan State to prevail at home in this contest.
Indiana vs. Michigan State Over/Under Pick
- Under 142.5 (4 units)
Indiana has seen the over post a 9-7 mark in their 16 games in relation to the total this season. The Hoosiers are 42nd in defensive efficiency, 11th in effective field goal percentage defense (44.9%), 238th in forced turnover percentage (16.3%) and 35th in field goal percentage defense (39.7%) on the year. Indiana is slightly above average in tempo as they are 161st in adjusted tempo with 68.4 possessions per contest. Michigan State has seen the under post an 11-5 mark in their 16 games this season in relation to the total. The Spartans are 66th in offensive efficiency, 3rd in defensive efficiency and 16th in effective field goal percentage defense at 45.4% this season. Michigan State has been solid at preventing three-point shooting (30.3%) and two-point shooting (45.4%) on the year. The Spartans are a below average team in pace as they come in 260th in adjusted tempo according to KenPom with 66.4 possessions a night. With Michigan State stingy defensively, take the under here.
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