Indiana vs. Purdue Picks and Predictions, Friday, February 20th, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Indiana Hoosiers (17-9, 8-7 Big Ten) and the #7 Purdue Boilermakers (21-5, 11-4 Big Ten) tipoff on Friday night for an important conference battle in this Indiana vs. Purdue prediction. These teams just met in late January with Indiana pulling off a five-point upset at home. Indiana is coming off a tough 71-51 loss on the road against #8 Illinois, falling as 8.5-point underdogs. Purdue just lost at home against #1 Michigan 91-80, going down as 2.5-point dogs. Tipoff is set for 8:00 EST and can be found on FOX. See below for our Indiana vs. Purdue prediction, and keep up with all of our best NCAAB Betting Picks!
Indiana Looks to Repeat Win
The Indiana Hoosiers already have logged one win against this strong Purdue team this season, and look to complete the season sweep on Friday night on national television. The Hoosiers can significantly improve their tournament resume with another big victory here, but they have still won five of their last seven conference games and are likely tournament bound either way. In their last game, the Hoosiers were led by Lamar Wilkerson with 21 points in their loss to Illinois.
Wilkerson has been their top scorer and outside shooter this season, as the 6'6 senior guard is getting 21.2 PPG and has already knocked down 86 three pointers on the year. He is second in the Big Ten in scoring, and is playing his first season with the team after three strong showings with Sam Houston State. Tucker DeVries is playing his fifth season of college hoops after beginning at Drake, then making a stop at West Virginia. He is a 6'7 forward getting 13.8 PPG. Their final scorer in double figures is Tayton Conerway, he is a 6'3 senior guard averaging 10.1 PPG.
Indiana is currently ranked 37th overall out of 365 Division I teams according to KenPom. They are 37th in offensive efficiency and 48th in defensive efficiency. They play at a relatively slow pace, ranking 236th in tempo.
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Boilermakers are out for Revenge
The Purdue Boilermakers are one of the top teams in the country this season, and are double digit favorites in this rematch against Indiana. They went down in the first matchup, but are still ranked 7th in the country and are looking to secure a high seed in the NCAA Tournament. ESPN's Bracketology currently has Purdue listed as a 2-seed, and Indiana listed as a 9-seed while projecting the field.
Purdue had recently won four straight games before going down to the top team in the nation when they fell against Michigan. In that game they were led by Trey Kaufman-Renn with 27 points and 12 boards. Kaufman-Renn is a 6'9 senior forward who has played his entire career at Purdue, and is averaging 13.0 PPG this season, despite averaging 20.1 PPG last year. Braden Smith is one of the top point guards in the nation, the 6'0 senior is putting up 14.9 PPG to go with 8.8 APG, as he is second in the entire nation in assists per game. Fletcher Loyer is a 6'5 outside shooter bringing another 13.4 PPG.
The Boilermakers are ranked 8th overall according to KenPom. They are 2nd in offensive efficiency and 27th in defensive efficiency. They play even slower than Indiana, ranking 298th in pace of play.
Key Injuries for Indiana vs. Purdue:
Indiana
- None listed
Purdue
- None listed
Indiana vs. Purdue Picks and Predictions
Spread pick for Indiana vs. Purdue
- Purdue -10.5 (5 units)
This is a perfect storm for the Boilermakers. They are looking for revenge against Indiana, and also are coming off a tough loss against Michigan. Purdue is in need of another big win to keep them as a top one or two seed in the NCAA Tournament, and they will get one here. Purdue will have the advantage inside with Kaufman-Renn, he is one of the best interior scorers in the country, and Indiana's top players are all out on the perimeter. Wilkerson is a big scorer for the Hoosiers, but Braden Smith is a physical defender who will challenge him and make life difficult. Purdue is motivated here, and will put up a big performance with a cover.
Take Purdue to win and cover.
Over/Under Pick for Indiana vs. Purdue
- Under 149 (4 units)
This will be a typical, old school Big Ten battle, which means it will be a slow paced slug fest. These teams both play at a slow pace, neither ranking in the top 200 in the country in pace of play. Purdue is at home and will have every opportunity to control the tempo and play at their pace. The Boilermakers are 298th in tempo, and Braden Smith is a strong ballhandler who can control a game with his skill and experience. Purdue also has the advantage inside, which will make them even more willing to play sl0w while working the ball inside. Expect a low scoring duel here.
Take the under.
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