James Madison Dukes at Arkansas Razorbacks Picks and Prediction for Monday, December 29, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 12/29/2025, 06:55 AM ET
Ole Miss vs Arkansas prediction
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The James Madison Dukes (7-6, 0-2 Sun Belt) will have their hands full on Monday when paying a visit to Fayetteville to play the Arkansas Razorbacks (9-3, 0-0 SEC). James Madison lost to Georgia Southern 96-92 last Saturday and has lost two straight. The Dukes are 0-2 in Sun Belt Conference play. Arkansas lost to 8th-ranked Houston 94-85 last Saturday, snapping a four-game winning streak. The Razorbacks have not yet opened conference play in the SEC. Make sure to read this in-depth James Madison Dukes vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction. Elevate your game with our expert NCAAB picks for the James Madison Dukes at the Arkansas Razorbacks prediction and win big!

James Madison is above average on offense, but will below average on defense

The James Madison Dukes score an average of 82.3 points (156th) per game on 44.3% (251st) shooting overall and 34.6% (144th) from 3-point territory. The Dukes' free-throw shooting percentage is 72.1% (170th). James Madison's defense allows an average of 82.5 points (296th) per game. The Dukes allow 44.2% (222nd) shooting overall and 32.5% (163rd) from 3-point territory.

James Madison's top two scorers are Justin McBride, averaging 17.2 points per game on 53.1% shooting, and Bradley Douglas, averaging 14.6 points per game on 41.7% shooting. James Madison has just one other player who averages double figures in scoring. The Dukes grab an average of 36.2 rebounds per game, led by Eddie Ricks III, averaging 6.8 boards per contest. Douglas is the dish leader, averaging 4.6 assists per game, while Cliff Davis leads in steals at 1.2 per game, and Christian Brown is the rim protector, averaging 1.9 blocks per game. James Madison averages 11.1 turnovers per game.

Injuries: James Madison does not have any players listed on its injury report.

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Arkansas is strong on offense and above average on defense

The Arkansas Razorbacks score an average of 89.5 points (47th) per game on 48.7% (60th) shooting overall and 38.3% (31st) from 3-point territory. Arkansas is shooting 75.4% (63rd) from the free-throw line. The Arkansas defense allows an average of 75.0 points (169th) per game. The Razorbacks hold opponents to 41.9% (108th) shooting overall and 30.0% (57th) from 3-point territory.

The top two scorers for Arkansas are Darius Acuff Jr, averaging 18.9 points per game on 48.8% shooting, and Trevon Brazile, averaging 14.2 points on 54.7% shooting. Arkansas has one other player who averages double figures in scoring. The Razorbacks average 38.1 rebounds per game, led by Brazile, averaging 7.0 boards per contest, and Brazile is also the rim protector, averaging 1.4 blocks per game. Acuff Jr is the dish leader, averaging 6.2 assists per game, and Meleek Thomas is the leader in steals at 1.4 per game. Arkansas averages 9.8 turnovers per game

Injuries: Arkansas does not have any players listed on its injury report

James Madison Dukes at Arkansas Razorbacks Pick

Spread Pick for James Madison Dukes at Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Arkansas Razorbacks (5 units)

The Arkansas Razorbacks will be too much at both ends of the court for the James Madison Dukes to keep pace on the road. Arkansas scores an average of 89.5 points per game, which is 47th in the nation, and has the 60th-best field goal shooting percentage and 31st-best three-point shooting percentage. James Madison's defense gives up 82.5 points per game on 44.2% shooting overall and 32.5% shooting from 3-point territory. Arkansas's defense is holding opponents to 75 points per game, 41.9% shooting overall, and 30.0% shooting from 3-point territory. James Madison has failed to cover the spread in each of the last five games, and the Dukes are 0-9 ATS in the last nine games played on the road. Arkansas has covered the spread in six of its last seven games. Look for Arkansas to play pressure defense from the start and a fast-paced offense, taking advantage of James Madison turnovers to start their fastbreak and score plenty of transition points.

Over/Under Pick for James Madison Dukes at Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Over (4 units)

The Arkansas Razorbacks will dictate the pace and tempo of this matchup, which means both teams will see plenty of looks at the basket. The total has finished over in four of Arkansas' last five games. The total has finished over in 12 of James Madison's last 16 games. Arkansas has an adjusted tempo per KenPom of 72.4, which is 36th-highest in the nation, and translates to Arkansas using very little shot clock with each possession. Even though James Madison has a very low adjusted tempo (66.6 or 303rd), the Dukes give up over 82 points per game due to poor play on the defensive end.

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