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James Madison Dukes vs George Mason Patriots Prediction and Picks - November 29, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Published 11/29/2025, 03:01 AM ET
George Mason Looks to Take Down James Madison

Saturday afternoon on the college hardwood, and we have a James Madison vs George Mason prediction ready to rock and roll. James Madison enters this game off an 88-77 home win over Nebraska-Omaha to move to 5-3 on the year. The Patriots come in a perfect 7-0 on the young season and they are off a 74-65 home win over FAU. These teams met last year, and George Mason won that game on the road by a score of 66-61.  Continue reading to see our James Madison vs George Mason prediction.

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JMU Runs Past Nebraska-Omaha

James Madison’s most recent game was an 88-77 win over Omaha on November 25, where Justin McBride dominated with 24 points on 9-of-11 shooting and Bradley Douglas dished out eight assists. The Dukes shot 55% from the field and 57% from three, pulling away in the second half to secure their third straight victory.

The Dukes have been a balanced offensive team, averaging 78.1 points per game while shooting 45.7% overall and 38.4% from deep. McBride leads the way at 15.4 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, while Douglas adds 13.4 points and 4.5 assists, giving them a reliable backcourt presence. Cliff Davis has chipped in 12.6 points per game, and Gabe Newhof provides size inside with nearly 10 points per contest. Their offense thrives on ball movement, averaging 15.6 assists per game, but turnovers (11.8 per game) remain a concern against stronger defensive teams.

Defensively, James Madison has allowed 75.6 points per game, ranking 221st nationally, and opponents are shooting 43.1% against them. Eddie Ricks has been their best rebounder at 6.9 boards per game, while McBride and Davis provide perimeter scoring threats that can stretch defenses. The Dukes have shown they can trade baskets with anyone, but their ability to tighten up defensively will be tested against George Mason’s efficient offense.

A Perfect Start For The Patriots

George Mason’s last outing was a 74-65 win over Florida Atlantic on November 25, clinching the Sunshine Slam Beach Division championship. Kory Mincy led the way with 22 points and five assists, while Riley Allenspach added nine rebounds and Jahari Long chipped in 21 points. The Patriots shot 49% from the field and 53% from three, continuing their hot start to the season at 7-0.

Offensively, George Mason has been sharp, averaging 79.7 points per game while shooting 48.1% overall and 41.5% from three, one of the best marks in the country. Mincy has been the star, averaging 18.9 points and 3.7 assists, while Long adds 13.7 points per game and Troutman contributes 11.6 points and 4.4 rebounds. Allenspach has been a steady presence inside with 10.6 points and 6.1 rebounds, giving them balance across the lineup. Their ability to get to the free-throw line (27.9 attempts per game) has also been a major weapon.

Defensively, the Patriots have been outstanding, holding opponents to just 61.9 points per game and 38.7% shooting. They rebound well at 37.7 boards per game, and their length inside has made it difficult for opponents to score in the paint. With nine steals per game and a knack for forcing turnovers, George Mason has consistently turned defense into offense. Against James Madison, their ability to slow McBride and Douglas while maintaining their own offensive rhythm will be the key to staying unbeaten.

James Madison vs George Mason Pick

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James Madison vs George Mason Spread Pick

  • George Mason -12 (5 Units)

George Mason -12 looks like the right side because the Patriots have been dominant on both ends of the floor early this season. They’re averaging nearly 80 points per game while shooting an impressive 48.1% from the field and 41.5% from three, which ranks among the best nationally. Kory Mincy has been the go-to scorer at almost 19 points per game, and Jahari Long provides a steady second option with 13.7 points and 3.3 assists. With Riley Allenspach anchoring the paint and Masai Troutman adding perimeter scoring, George Mason has multiple ways to attack. Against a James Madison team that gives up 75.6 points per game, the Patriots’ offensive efficiency should create separation.

On the defensive side, George Mason has been just as impressive, holding opponents to 61.9 points per game and under 39% shooting. Their length and rebounding presence, led by Allenspach and Emmanuel Kanga, have made it tough for opponents to generate second-chance opportunities. James Madison can score, but they’ve been inconsistent defensively and rank outside the top 200 in opponent field-goal percentage. That’s a tough matchup against a Patriots squad that thrives on ball movement and high-percentage looks. With Mason’s ability to control tempo and clamp down defensively, laying the 12 points feels justified in a game where their depth and efficiency should carry them to a comfortable win.

James Madison vs George Mason Over/Under Pick

  • Over 143 (4 Units)

The Over 143 makes sense because both teams have shown they can push the pace and score efficiently. James Madison averages 78.1 points per game with three double-digit scorers in Justin McBride, Bradley Douglas, and Cliff Davis, while George Mason has been even sharper, putting up 79.7 points per contest and shooting an impressive 41.5% from three. The Patriots also get to the free-throw line nearly 28 times per game, which adds easy points to the total, and their defense, while strong, will be tested by JMU’s balanced attack. With both squads capable of hitting from deep and pushing into the high 70s, this matchup has the makings of a fast-paced shootout that clears the number.

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