Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026
It’s a conference tilt between foes from the Big 12 on the hardwood in the Hawkeye State as the #9 Kansas Jayhawks take on the #5 Iowa State Cyclones Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Kansas vs. Iowa State prediction. Kansas picked up an 82-78 home win over #1 Arizona Monday night in their previous contest, winning outright as a 4.5-point underdog. Iowa State fell 62-55 to TCU on the road in their previous contest Tuesday afternoon, losing outright as a 7.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the schools, the Jayhawks own a 191-69 advantage and have taken the last two meetings, including an 84-63 home win in the first meeting this season January 13. Read more about this Kansas vs. Iowa State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Get our top NCAAB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!
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Kansas Looking to Earn Ninth Straight Win
Kansas earned their eighth straight win as they took down #1 Arizona at home Monday night, handing the Wildcats their first defeat of the year. The Jayhawks improved to 19-5 overall on the year and stand third in the Big 12 with a 9-2 mark in conference play on the year. Against Arizona, Kansas trailed by as many as seven in the first half before trimming the margin to three at intermission. The Jayhawks faced their biggest deficit at 55-44 with 17:02 remaining before rallying. An 8-0 run by Kansas gave them a 69-64 lead with 6:56 remaining and they went on to the win. The Jayhawks shot 40.6% from the floor, including five of 15 from three-point range, and hit 21 of 25 free throws to Arizona’s eight of 14. Flory Bidunga led the Jayhawks with 23 points, 10 rebounds and three blocks in the win.
The Jayhawks are averaging 78 points per game this season, putting them 137th in the nation in scoring offense. Kansas collects 39 rebounds per contest and dishes out 15 assists a night, which is 117th in the nation. The Jayhawks are 40th in scoring defense as they allow 67.8 points per contest this season. Darryn Peterson is leading the team with 20.5 points and 4.2 rebounds per game this season. Flory Bidunga (14.9 points, nine rebounds, 2.9 blocks) and Tre White (14.2 points, seven rebounds) are capable secondary scoring options. Melvin Council Jr. (14.1 points, 4.8 rebounds, 5.1 assists), Bryson Tiller, Kohl Rosario, Elmarko Jackson, Nginyu Ngala, Jamari McDowell and Jayden Dawson all have to contribute on the offensive end of the floor. The Jayhawks shoot 47.5% from the field as a team this season, putting them 59th in the country. Kansas knocks down 7.5 three-pointers a night while sinking 35.4% from beyond the arc, putting them 97th in the country. The Jayhawks are above average at the free throw line as they convert at a 76.2% rate so far this season, putting them 48th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for Kansas:
- Guard Darryn Peterson (illness) is questionable.
Cyclones Seeking to Avenge Previous Loss to Kansas
Iowa State saw their four-game win streak snapped as they fell to TCU on the road in their previous game Tuesday night. The Cyclones dropped to 21-3 overall and stand tied for fourth in the Big 12 with an 8-3 conference mark on the year. Against TCU, Iowa State led by as many as nine with 4:16 to play in the first half before settling for a one-point margin at intermission. The Cyclones were outgained 20-11 to start the second half to trail 49-41 with 8:56 remaining but went on a 14-1 run to take a 55-50 lead with 2:38 to go. Iowa State was scoreless the rest of the way, giving up the final 12 points, to wind up with the loss. The Cyclones shot 41.4% from the field, including five of 22 from beyond the arc, but went only two of eight at the free throw line in the loss. Tamin Lipsey and Joshua Jefferson (nine rebounds, nine assists) each had 12 points to lead Iowa State in the loss.
The Cyclones are an excellent offensive team as they average 84.6 points per game, putting them 28th on the season. Iowa State pulls down 36.7 boards a night (120th) while dishing out an average of 18.5 assists (13th) per game on the year. The Cyclones are excellent on the defensive end, ranking 15th in the nation in scoring defense as they allow 64.9 points per contest. Milan Momcilovic is one of three players scoring in double figures with 18.4 points plus 3.3 rebounds per contest this season. Killyan Toure (9.6 points, 3.8 rebounds, 2.5 assists), Tamin Lipsey (13.3 points, 5.4 assists, 2.2 steals), Joshua Jefferson (17 points, 7.7 rebounds, 5.3 assists) and Blake Buchanan (8.5 points, 6.1 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Jamarion Batemon, Dominick Nelson, Nate Heise, Dominykas Pieta, Cade Kelderman and Eric Mulder all have to be on their game for the Cyclones. Iowa State is shooting 50.9% from the floor this season, which is 13th in the nation. The Cyclones average nine three-pointers a night while shooting 40% from beyond the arc, putting them 6th in the country. Iowa State is below average at the free throw line as they shoot 67.7% as a team on the year, putting them 328th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for Iowa State:
- No Key Injuries
Kansas vs. Iowa State Pick
Kansas vs. Iowa State Spread Pick
- Iowa State -5.5 (4 units)
Kansas walloped Iowa State at the Allen Fieldhouse last month but the fact remains that this game is in Ames, not Lawrence. The Jayhawks are just 4-3 on the road this season, including a double-digit loss to West Virginia, which immediately preceded this win streak. Kansas still is dealing with the questionable availability of Peterson, who has played in just 13 of the team’s 24 games on the year. Iowa State is in a similar situation that Kansas was in last month’s meeting: coming off a loss to a team they should have beaten. The Cyclones have struggled at the charity stripe and that is going to be an issue. Fortunately, Iowa State lights it up from the perimeter and, playing at home, they earn the win here.
Kansas vs. Iowa State Over/Under Pick
- Over 142.5 (4 units)
Kansas has stayed under the number in 16 of their 24 games that had a posted total heading into this game. The Jayhawks enter this game 40th in the nation in offensive efficiency, 91st in effective field goal percentage (53.9%), 111th in two-point shooting (54.3%) and they stand 117th in the nation in assists this season. Kansas is 9th in defensive efficiency and 5th in field goal percentage defense (38.3%) on the season. The Jayhawks are 190th in the nation in tempo as they average 67.2 possessions per game according to KenPom. Iowa State is an offensive force this season. The Cyclones are 17th in offensive efficiency, 28th in scoring offense, 12th in effective field goal percentage (58.3%), 117th in turnovers per game (11), 6th in three-point shooting, 40th in two-point shooting (57.3%) and 13th in field goal percentage this season. Iowa State stands 189th in tempo with 67.3 possessions a night on the year. The Cyclones have stayed under the total in 13 of their 24 games on the season. We saw 147 points in the first meeting this season. Playing in Ames, Iowa State may be better offensively, which should help this one edge over the number.
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