Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday, January 10 2026
It’s another important Big 12 Conference clash on Saturday, Jan. 10. Read our Kansas State vs Arizona State prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. The Wildcats and Sun Devils both hold the the same record with a 9-6 record and 0-2 in conference play. Both teams are desperate for a win and they were both dominated in first two Big 12 games of the year. Kansas State is 1-2 on the road this year. Arizona State has also lost four straight games, too. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 3 P.M. EST.
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Kansas State suffering back-to-back losses
Kansas State is 9-6 overall this season. The Wildcats are tied for last place in the Big 12 with an 0-2 record. The Wildcats are 1-2 when they have played on the road this season. After winning four straight games, Kansas State has lost back-to-back games to No. 10 BYU and No. 1 Arizona.
In their last game, Kansas State lost 101-76 to No. 1 Arizona on the road on Wednesday, Jan. 7. Arizona won wire-to-wire with an easy victory as Kansas State barely competed. Arizona opened the game on a 14-4 run and they were off and running for an easy win. Kansas State shot 34% from the field and 22% from behind the 3-point line in the loss. Arizona outscored Kansas State 56-36 in the lane. PJ Haggerty led the team with 19 points on 8-for-20 shooting.
Haggerty leads the team with 22.7 points and 4.7 assists per game. Nate Johnson is grabbing a team-high 5.1 rebounds per game.
Kansas State is the No. 74 team in the nation according to KenPom. They are the 67th ranked team in offense while they are also the 102nd ranked defensive rating team.
Kansas State is averaging 86.6 points per game, which ranks 73rd in the nation. They are the 79th ranked shooting team, making 47.6% from the field. The Wildcats are hitting 37.1% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 43rd.
On defense, Kansas State is allowing 79.5 points per game, which ranks 250th. They are allowing 43.9% from the field, placing them 202nd. The Wildcats are the 165th 3-point defensive team allowing 32.7% from behind the arc.
Kansas State is 6-9 against the spread this season. The Wildcats are 3-3 against the spread when they have been underdogs. They are 1-2 against the spread when playing on the road. The Wildcats are 3-6 against the spread in their last nine games. The over is 9-6 when the Wildcats have played. The under is 2-1 when they have played on the road. The over is 5-1 when the total has been set at 167 points or higher.
Arizona State suffering under 4-game losing streak
Arizona State is 9-6 overall and they are also tied for last place in the Big 12 with an 0-2 record. The Sun Devils have lost four straight games coming into this game. They are 4-3 when playing at home this season. The Sun Devils are coming into this game against the Wildcats losing to Colorado and No. 9 BYU.
In their last game, Arizona State lost 104-76 to No. 9 BYU away from home on Wednesday, Jan. 7. Arizona State started the game with a 6-3, but the Cougars went on a 13-0 to separate themselves and the Sun Devils never competed in the rest of the game. Arizona State shot 38% from the field and 28% from behind the arc in the loss. They turned the ball over 15 times, which led to 22 points for the Cougars. Anthony Johnson led the team with 24 points on 7-for-21 shooting.
Maurice Odum leads the team with 16.1 points and 6.6 assists per game. Santiago Trouet is also grabbing 5.4 rebounds per game.
According to KenPom, Arizona State is ranked No. 92nd in the nation. They are the 71st ranked offensive rating team and 122nd defensive team.
Arizona State is allowing 78.5 points per game, which ranks 236th. They are allowing 45.1% from the field placing them 270th. The Sun Devils are the 233rd ranked 3-point defensive team surrendering 34.1% from behind the arc.
Arizona State is 7-8 against the spread this season. The Sun Devils are 2-5 against the spread when playing at home. They are 3-4 against the spread when they have been favored. They are 0-2 against the spread in Big 12 play. The over is 9-6 when Arizona State has played. The over is 2-0 when the total has been set at 160 points or higher.
Kansas State vs Arizona State Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,976.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +2,595.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +2,320.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,627.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,451.00 |
Kansas State vs Arizona State Spread Pick
- Kansas State +1.5 (5 units)
This is a big game for Kansas State and Arizona State as they are both desperate to get their first conference win of the season. Both teams have struggled in the first two games of Big 12 play. Kansas State suffered losses to BYU and Arizona, while Arizona State has lost to BYU and a poor Colorado team. The Colorado loss is the most concerning for me, which is why I’m taking Kansas State. The Wildcats have earned big road wins this year, including one against Creighton. Kansas State’s offense has enough firepower, led by PJ Haggerty, to lead the team to a win. Arizona State has lost four straight games, and they haven’t protected home court well enough.
Take Kansas State to cover.
Kansas State vs Arizona State Over/Under Pick
- Over 168.5 (5 units)
Offense is the name of the game for both teams this season. The offense can score points for either side, while defense continues to be poor. Both teams rank 100th or worse in defensive rating according to KenPom. It’s a main reason why the over continues to hit in their games. Kansas State is also the 14th ranked fastest team, while the Sun Devils are the 69th fastest team in the league. For Arizona State, the over is 2-0 when the total has been set at 160 points or higher. The over is 5-1 when the total has been set at 167 points or higher during Kansas State games.
Take the over on Saturday.
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