Liberty Flames vs George Mason Patriots Picks and Predictions for Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Liberty Flames will be on the road Tuesday night with the 6:00 PM matchup in Fairfax, VA, against the George Mason Patriots in the first round of the NIT tournament, and we have you ready to roll with our Liberty vs George Mason prediction. Liberty comes into the NIT tournament with 25 wins and seven losses overall this season. George Mason returns home Tuesday night after finishing the regular season with 23 wins and 9 losses. Liberty comes into the NIT tournament having lost three of the last five, following an 8-point loss in their last outing. George Mason comes into the conference tournament having lost 3 of the last five, as well, following a six-point loss in their last game. Read more about this Liberty vs George Mason prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
Liberty looks to get back rolling
Offensively, Liberty has been strong this season, averaging 78.2 points on 51% shooting from the floor, but the Flames have averaged only 68.3 points per game across their last three losses. Offensively, Liberty was bad in their last outing, scoring just 69 points on 43% shooting, 29% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Liberty was outmatched, giving up 77 points, including 44 in the second half, to blow a four-point halftime lead as Missouri State shot 56% from the floor and 50% from beyond the arc. Liberty lost the rebounding battle by 4 and turned the ball over 8 times in the game. Zach Cleveland led the way for Liberty with 20 points and 14 rebounds on 14 shots.
Brett Decker Jr. leads the Liberty offense this season, averaging 16.8 points per game. Kaden Metheny is second on the team, averaging 13.4 points, and Colin Porter averages 11.4 points per game. Zach Cleveland averages 11.8 points and leads Liberty, averaging 7.6 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game.
Key Injury Report for Liberty:
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- Isaiah Ihnen (Out) – Knee
George Mason looks to defend its home floor
The George Mason offense has carried the team this season, averaging 73.3 points and shooting 47% from the floor, but the Patriots have averaged only 62.6 points per game across their last three losses. Offensively, Saint Bonaventure outworked George Mason in their last outing, scoring 63 points on 41% shooting. The Patriots offense scored only 57 points, including just 23 in the second half, on 42% shooting and 25% from beyond the arc. George Mason did win the rebounding battle by three, but turned the ball over 10 times in the loss.
Kory Mincy leaves the George Mason office this season, averaging 14.2 points per game. Riley Allenspach is on the second team, averaging 13.7 points to go along with the team's leading 6.1 rebounds. Jahari Long is averaging 11.8 points per game this season to go along with the team high 4 assists. Fat Hill is the fourth player on the team in double digits, averaging 10.3 points per game.
Key Injury Report for George Mason:
- Fatt Hil (Questionable) – Ankle
- Brayden O’Connor (Out) - Foot
Liberty vs George Mason Pick
- Liberty vs George Mason Spread Pick
Liberty is the far better team in this matchup and was a potential NCAA tournament team before the loss in the conference tournament. Look for Liberty to shine in this game against a solid George Mason team Tuesday night. Take liberty to do the work on the road in this match-up, as their offensive edge will be the difference. Take the Flames to get the win and cover on the road Tuesday night in Virginia to advance in the NIT tournament.
- Liberty vs George Mason Over/Under Pick
Both teams have scored the ball well, but each has been solid defensively this season. Look for a defensive slugfest between two solid teams that wanted to be in the big dance. Liberty will do the work down the stretch to get the win, but this will be a slow grind-it-out game between two solid teams. Take the under on Tuesday night in Virginia as Liberty Flames get the win over George Mason.
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