Marquette Golden Eagles vs Xavier Musketeers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026

By: Kevin V. Published 02/14/2026, 06:40 AM ET
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The Marquette Golden Eagles (9-16, 4-10 Big East) face Xavier Musketeers (12-12, 4-9 Big East) on February 14 at 2:00 PM ET at Cintas Center in Cincinnati, Ohio. The game airs on TNT and truTV. Marquette lost 77-74 at Villanova in the last outing, while Xavier fell 87-82 in overtime at St. Johnโ€™s. Both teams enter this matchup fighting to climb the Big East standings. Make sure to read this in-depth Marquette Golden Eagles vs Xavier Musketeers prediction. Court-side insights! Donโ€™t miss our free NCAAB picks for the Marquette Golden Eagles vs Xavier Musketeers picks prediction today.

Marquette Golden Eagles Fighting In Tight Games

The Marquette Golden Eagles enter with a 9-16 overall record and a 4-10 mark in conference play. Marquette averages 75.5 points per game while allowing 77.0. In the 77-74 loss at Villanova on February 10, Marquette kept the game within one possession but could not close late. That followed a 70-55 win over Butler and an 86-62 victory against Creighton, showing the scoring ability is present when shots fall.

Nigel James Jr. leads Marquette with 15.2 points and 4.7 assists per game, shooting 47.1 percent from the field and 39.0 percent from three. Chase Ross adds 15.0 points and 2.4 steals, giving Marquette strong backcourt production. Royce Parham shoots 50.2 percent and contributes 11.9 points and 4.6 rebounds. Marquette shoots 43 percent as a team and averages 15.4 assists, but turnovers sit at 11.5 per game, and the defense gives up 77.0 points. The Golden Eagles have split the last four games and continue to hover around the break-even point in scoring margin.

Injuries: Sean Jones (OUT)

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Xavier Musketeers Looking To Stabilize Defense

The Xavier Musketeers hold a 12-12 overall record and a 4-9 Big East mark. Xavier averages 77.0 points per game while allowing 78.1. The 87-82 overtime loss at St. Johnโ€™s on February 9 highlighted the issue. Xavier scored enough to compete but allowed 87 points in regulation and overtime. Before that, Xavier dropped a 92-60 game at Connecticut and beat DePaul 68-66 at home.

Tre Carroll leads Xavier with 18.0 points and 5.7 rebounds per game while shooting 50.1 percent from the field. Filip Borovicanin adds 9.9 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 4.3 assists, serving as a frontcourt playmaker. Malik Messina-Moore and Roddie Anderson III each average 10.8 points, giving Xavier multiple scoring options. Xavier shoots 44 percent from the field and 36.0 percent from three, while averaging 17.7 assists per game. The Musketeers protect the ball better than Marquette with 10.2 turnovers per game, but the 78.1 points allowed is a concern. Xavier has lost four of the last five games and has allowed at least 86 points in three of those losses.

Injuries: Luke Naser (OUT), Gabriel Pozzato (OUT), Kason Westphal (OUT)

Marquette Golden Eagles vs Xavier Musketeers Picks Pick

Spread Pick for Marquette Golden Eagles vs Xavier Musketeers Picks

  • Marquette Golden Eagles +1 (4 units)

Marquette has shown the ability to keep games tight, including the three-point loss at Villanova and a 15-point win over Creighton. The Golden Eagles average 75.5 points and force 9.4 steals per game, which can disrupt Xavierโ€™s backcourt. Xavier allows 78.1 points per game and has given up 87 and 92 in two of the last three contests. While Xavier scores 77.0 per game, the defensive numbers trend in the wrong direction. With Nigel James Jr. and Chase Ross combining for over 30 points per game, Marquette has enough perimeter scoring to stay within a one-possession spread and potentially win outright.

Over/Under Pick for Marquette Golden Eagles vs Xavier Musketeers Picks

  • ย Over (4 units)

Marquette games average more than 152 total points when combining points scored and allowed. Xavier games combine for more than 155. Xavier has allowed at least 86 points in three of the last five contests, and Marquette has topped 75 points in three of the last five. Both teams shoot above 43 percent from the field, and each averages more than 15 assists per game, indicating steady half-court production. With both defenses allowing more than 77 points per game and recent results trending toward high-scoring finishes, the setup supports a game that finishes over the total.

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