Maryland vs. Rutgers Picks and Prediction for Sunday, February 15, 2026

By: Ben Hayes Published 02/15/2026, 06:05 AM ET
Maryland vs. Rutgers pick, prediction and odds
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On Sunday, we have a Big 10 meeting between two lower-tiered teams in this Maryland vs. Rutgers prediction. Maryland (10-14, 3-10 B10) travels to Piscataway to meet a Rutgers team (9-15, 2-11 B10) desperate for a conference win. Last season, Maryland beat the Scarlet Knights at home 90-81 as an 8.5-point favorite. These teams meet on Sunday afternoon at 12 PM ET from Jersey Mike's Arena. For more free College Basketball Picks and Predictions, check out Winners and Whiners.

Terps win two straight for the first time this year

The New Year of 2026 hasn't been great for the Maryland Terrapins. At one point, they had lost four straight and eight of nine games. That was until they beat Minnesota on the road, 67-62 as a 9.5-point dog, and Iowa at home, 77-70 on Wednesday. While they aren't threats to the Big 10 title or even an NCAA bid, Buzz Williams' team needs small victories. Freshman Andre Mills produced a career-high 24 points against the Hawkeyes, while David Coit added 19 points and five assists.

The Terps best player is Pharrell Payne (17.5 ppg, 7.2 rpg), but he's likely not going to play again this season and has played in just 10 games. Coit leads the current squad with 15.3 points and shoots 37.6% from beyond the arc. Freshman Darius Adams adds 11.7 points, but is shooting just 35.5% from the field. According to KenPom, Maryland ranks 127th overall, 121st in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 154th in Adjusted Defense. The Terps rank 175th overall in total rebound rate.

Searching for a rare win

Rutgers sits in 15th place, a game behind Maryland in the Big 10. They've lost seven straight games, including an 80-68 home loss to Nebraska on Feb. 7. In their loss to the Cornhuskers, Tariq Francis led the Scarlet Knights with 16 points and five assists, while Kaden Powers added 14 points. Rutgers committed 15 turnovers and Nebraska had just six, which turned out to be the difference.

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Rutgers misses Ace Bailey and Dylan Harper and isn't in position NIL-wise to replace two lottery picks. So this is what they have, and it's a team that doesn't rebound well (246th in total rebound percentage) and doesn't take care of the ball (250th in assist-to-turnover ratio). Francis leads the Scarlet Knights with 16.5 points, while shooting 43.6% from the field and 33.3% from three-point range. KenPom has Rutgers ranked 161st overall, 152nd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 175th in Adjusted Defense.

Spread Pick and Prediction Maryland vs. Rutgers

Maryland vs. Rutgers Odds and Prediction

  • Maryland +2.5 (4 units)

Maryland might have been a five-point dog about a week ago, but that two-game winning streak has changed things. Andre Mills is a freshman who has just found his footing over the last four games, averaging 16.3 points per game. Rutgers has lost three straight home games by an average of 15 points per game. They're having all sorts of issues from NIL to financial losses. The players may not care, but this is a tough team to support. Maryland has similar issues with fan support but that doesn't matter on the road.

Over/Under Pick for Maryland vs. Rutgers

  • Over 143.5 (5 units)

Neither squad loves to push the pace, but both are poor defensive teams. Rutgers has gone over in four straight games, allowing an average of 86 points in that span. Maryland is allowing 80.2 points per game on the road and teams are shooting 47% from the field and 37% from three-point range against them away from home.

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