Memphis Tigers vs North Texas Mean Green Picks and Prediction for Thursday February 12 2026
The Memphis Tigers head to Denton, Texas for a game against the North Texas Mean Green, bringing a 12–11 overall record and a 7–4 mark in the American Conference. North Texas enters at 13–11 overall and 4–7 in league play. Memphis will be aiming to build on its recent momentum and keep its season trending in the right direction as it takes on the Mean Green on the road. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.
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Memphis vs. North Texas Game Information
- February 12, 2026
- 9:00pm EST
- The Super Pit
- ESPN
North Texas Form & Recent Results
North Texas heads into this matchup riding a one-game winning streak, but their overall form has been shaky lately, with four losses in their last five games. They did, however, look much more like themselves on Saturday in San Antonio, rolling past UTSA 81–58 in a convincing game. Cole Franklin led the way with 21 points, providing a big scoring spark, while Dylan Arnett controlled the glass with 12 rebounds and Je’Shawn Stevenson helped keep the offense organized with six assists. In that game, the Mean Green shot 44% from the field, struggled from deep at 22% from three, and were excellent at the free-throw line at 83%. They also finished with 45 rebounds and committed 13 turnovers, and they held the advantage for 57% of the game, showing they were in control for most of the night.
So far this season, Stevenson has been the team’s most reliable scoring option, leading North Texas at 17 points per game, with Will McClendon next at 13 points a night. Arnett has been their top rebounder so far this season, averaging six boards per game, while David Terrell Jr. sets the table as the team’s assists leader at 4.8 per game. Defensively, North Texas has been giving up 72.2 points per game over their last five games, which helps explain some of their recent struggles. At home, though, they’ve been much more consistent, owning a 9–4 record and averaging 75.7 points per game. After finally putting together a complete performance against UTSA, they’ll be looking to carry that momentum into this game against Memphis, especially with the comfort and confidence they’ve tended to show on their home court. 
Memphis Form & Recent Results
Memphis heads into this game feeling good, riding a two-game winning streak and taking three wins from their last five games overall. They most recently handled Charlotte at home on Sunday with a convincing 77–54 result, and it was a fairly controlled performance from start to finish. Aaron Bradshaw led the way with 16 points, while Julius Thedford made a big impact in other areas, pulling down 11 rebounds and adding four assists. As a team, the Tigers shot 46% from the floor, hit 30% of their three-point attempts, and went 72% at the free-throw line. They also did a solid job on the glass with 41 rebounds, though the 10 turnovers were one area they’ll likely want to clean up. Still, the biggest sign of how comfortably Memphis played is that they were in front for essentially the entire game, leading for 99% of it.
Over the course of this season, Dug McDaniel has been the Tigers’ most reliable scoring option, averaging 13.2 points per game, with Sincere Parker close behind at 11.3. Thedford has been their top rebounder so far as well, averaging 5.3 boards per game, and McDaniel also sets the table offensively, leading Memphis with 4.7 assists a night. Lately, the offense has been producing at a strong level, with Memphis averaging 78.8 points across their last five games. The bigger concern has come away from home, where they’ve struggled to a 2–6 road record while giving up an average of 81.1 points per game. Their defense has been noticeably less steady in away games, but they’ll be aiming to tighten things up, keep their recent momentum going, and pick up their eighth conference win when they travel to face North Texas on Thursday.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ricky Tran | +4,680.00 |
| 2 |  David Delano | +4,650.00 |
| 3 |  Nick Parsons | +4,361.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +4,278.00 |
| 5 |  Terry Edelmann | +2,224.00 |
Key Stats
- Memphis’ Dug McDaniel this season: 13.2 points, 4.7 assists per game
- North Texas’ Dylan Arnett this season: 6 rebounds per game
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- MEM -1.5; O/U 135.5
Memphis vs. North Texas Picks and Prediction
North Texas’ defense has hit a rough patch lately, but they showed some real resilience on Saturday by bouncing back with an important road win at UTSA. Now the Mean Green will try to keep that momentum going, but it won’t come easy, as they’ll have to get through Memphis to do it. The Tigers have been playing well and have stacked up a few statement wins of their own as the season has gone on. They’re chasing their eighth conference win and sitting just one game behind South Florida and Tulsa at the top of the conference standings, so this one carries a lot of weight. At the same time, Memphis can’t afford to get ahead of itself, as North Texas is capable of making things difficult if the Tigers take them lightly. Final Score Prediction, Memphis Tigers win and cover the spread, 72-68.
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