Memphis Tigers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Picks and Prediction for Thursday, November 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s an early-season clash on the hardwood, and it brings a non-conference tilt between foes from the AAC and the Big Ten on the hardwood in the Bahamas as the Memphis Tigers take on the #1 Purdue Boilermakers Thursday night in a first-round matchup of the Baha Mar Invitational, and we have you covered with our Memphis vs. Purdue prediction. Memphis comes in off a 92-78 home loss to UNLV Sunday in their previous contest, losing outright as a 9.5-point favorite. Purdue rolled past Akron 97-79 at home in their previous contest Sunday night, failing to cover the line as a 19-point favorite. In the all-time series between the schools, the Tigers own a 5-1 advantage and have won the last four meetings, including a 90-70 home win in the most recent matchup on December 30, 2005. Read more about this Memphis vs. Purdue prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
Memphis Looking to Even Record on the Season
Memphis suffered their second straight loss as they were downed by UNLV at home over the weekend, as it make the trip here to take on the #1 team in the land. The Tigers fell to 1-2 overall on the season and now have a tough matchup to get back on track here. Against UNLV, Memphis scored the first five points but quickly gave up an 11-1 run to trail 11-6. The Tigers never got closer than three the rest of the way. Memphis was down 13 at the half and by as many as 21 in the second half en route to the loss. The Tigers shot 42.4% from the field, including four of 17 from three-point range, and allowed UNLV to shoot 50% in the game. Julius Thedford led Memphis with 16 points and six rebounds in the win.
On the season, Memphis is averaging 77 points per game this season, putting them 225th in the nation in that department. The Tigers are grabbing an average of 35.3 rebounds per contest while dishing out an average of 16.7 assists a night. Memphis is average in scoring defense as they give up an average of 81.7 points per contest, putting them 309th in the nation in scoring defense. Sincere Parker leads Memphis in scoring as he puts up 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.3 steals per game this season. Curtis Givens III (10.7 points, 2.3 steals) and Dug McDaniel (10.7 points, 5.7 assists, 2.3 steals) are each scoring in double figures on the year. Ashton Hardaway, Quante Berry, Julius Thedford, Simon Majok, Aaron Bradshaw, Zach Davis and Thierno Sylla have to step up and contribute offensively for Memphis. The Tigers are sputtering when it comes to shooting the ball, as they are knocking down 42.7% of their shots from the floor. Memphis has knocked down an average of seven three-pointers a game while shooting 32.3% from beyond the arc, which is 227th in the nation. The Tigers are below average at the charity stripe, connecting on 68.4% of their attempts this season.
Key Injury Report for Memphis:
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- No Key Injuries
Boilermakers Seeking to Maintain #1 Ranking
Purdue didn’t suffer a letdown after beating #8 Alabama on the road, as they cruised past Akron at home Sunday night in their previous contest. The Boilermakers improved to 4-0 on the season and they seek to remain unbeaten on the year. Against Akron, Purdue trailed 14-11 with 15:54 to play in the first half but regrouped to lead 52-39 at intermission. The Boilermakers led by as many as 26 in the second half as they cruised to the home victory. Purdue shot 52.2% from the field, including nine of 23 from three-point range, and won the rebounding battle 45-26 in the contest. Trey Kaufman-Renn led the way with 17 points and 15 rebounds in the win.
This season, Purdue puts up an average of 88.3 points a game, putting them 71st in the nation in scoring offense. The Boilermakers collect an average of 43.5 rebounds per contest (45th) while they dish out an average of 20 assists a night (21st) this season. Purdue is above average on the defensive end of the floor as they give up 71.8 points a night on the year, putting them 161st in the nation in scoring defense. Fletcher Loyer is third on the Boilermakers with 17 points per game this season. Trey Kaufman-Renn (18 points, 15 rebounds), Braden Smith (17.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, 8.5 assists), Oscar Cluff (11.5 points, 11 rebounds) and Daniel Jacobsen are solid secondary scorers. Liam Murphy, C.J. Cox, Jack Benter, Omer Mayer and Gicarri Harris are among those guys that Matt Painter is looking at to contribute on both ends of the floor. Purdue knocks down 48.5% of their shots from the floor this season, putting it 96th in Division I. The Boilermakers splash an average of 11 three-pointers a night (32nd) while shooting 40.7% from beyond the arc, which is 25th in the nation. Purdue is above average at the charity stripe, knocking down 74% of their attempts on the year.
Key Injury Report for Purdue:
- F Liam Murphy (shoulder) will miss this game.
Memphis vs. Purdue Pick
Memphis vs. Purdue Spread Pick
- Purdue -14.5 (4 units)
Memphis has struggled in the early going and they face a stiff challenge here in the #1 team in the country. It’s tough to have faith in a Tigers squad that has dropped two straight and was beaten soundly at home by UNLV in a game where they were solid favorites. Purdue has won three of their four games by double figures and their lone single-digit win came over a team ranked in the top 10 in the country. The Boilermakers got a shot in the arm with the return of Kauffman-Renn after he missed the first two games. Purdue is tough on the glass and they are a veteran squad with plenty of talent. Until we see Memphis play more consistently, you have to fade them. The Boilermakers cruise to a win here.
Memphis vs. Purdue Over/Under Pick
- Over 158.5 (4 units)
Memphis has gone over the total in two of their three games this season. The Tigers are 89th in offensive efficiency despite ranking 234th in effective field goal percentage (48.4%), 284th in field goal percentage (42.7%) and 303rd in two-point shooting (48.3%) this season. Memphis is 30th in adjusted tempo with 73.9 possessions per game on the year. Purdue has seen the over post a 2-2 mark in their four games in 2025-26. The Boilermakers are first in offensive efficiency, 51st in effective field goal percentage (56.9%), 26th in turnover percentage (12.8%), 16th in three-point shooting (42.7%) and 96th in field goal percentage (48.5%) on the year. Purdue is just 332nd in tempo with 67.7 possessions per game according to KenPom. With Memphis leaky defensively and Purdue a good offensive team, this contest goes over the total.
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