Memphis Tigers vs UAB Blazers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Thursday February 5 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 02/05/2026, 10:08 AM ET
UAB vs Memphis prediction
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Memphis vs UAB picks take center stage in American Conference action as the Tigers look to make a late-season stand against a Blazers team they have consistently dominated in this series. The market is tight on the spread, but the matchup history, box score context, and line movement all point toward a clear betting angle. Below is my full breakdown using the numbers and trends that matter most. For more daily value, check out my latest college basketball picks.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Memphis +2.5
  • Total Pick: Over 154.5
  • Projected Final Score: Memphis 80, UAB 76

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Spread
Memphis +1.5 (-102)
UAB -1.5 (-120)
Total Over Under
150.5 -110 -110

Current Odds

Team Spread
Memphis +2.5 (-104)
UAB -2.5 (-118)
Total Over Under
154.5 -110 -110

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Memphis UAB Public ($, #)
02/05 09:31 AM +2.5 (-104) -2.5 (-118) UAB 100%, UAB 100%
02/05 09:29 AM +2.5 (-102) -2.5 (-120) UAB 100%, UAB 100%
02/05 09:08 AM +2.5 (-115) -2.5 (-105) UAB 100%, UAB 100%
02/04 05:23 PM +1.5 (-102) -1.5 (-120)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under Public ($, #)
02/05 09:35 AM 154.5 (-110) 154.5 (-110) OV 75%, OV 75%
02/04 09:48 PM 152.5 (-115) 152.5 (-105)
02/04 09:32 PM 151.5 (-115) 151.5 (-105)
02/04 09:07 PM 150.5 (-110) 150.5 (-110)

Memphis Key Matchups and Handicap

This season has been rough for Memphis, but this matchup has consistently brought out the Tigers’ best basketball. Memphis is 6-1 straight up and against the spread in its last seven meetings with UAB, and last year’s results were decisive.

The Tigers won all three meetings a season ago by an average of 14 points per game and scored nearly 91 points per contest. Even with this year’s struggles, the matchup still favors Memphis because of how the styles clash.

Turnovers have been Memphis’ biggest issue, with the Tigers coughing it up on 20 percent of their offensive possessions. That weakness is far less concerning against a UAB defense ranked outside the top 200 in forcing turnovers.

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Memphis’ loss to Tulane showed how narrow the margins can be. The Tigers dominated the glass, lived at the free throw line, and finished positive in turnover margin, but shot just 20 percent from three. If the shooting even normalizes slightly, Memphis has enough offense to win this game outright.

  • Memphis is 6-1 straight up and against the spread in its last seven meetings with UAB.
  • Memphis won all three meetings last season by an average of 14 points.
  • The total has climbed from the low 150s into the mid 150s.

MEM vs UAB Key Injuries and Notes

  • MEM: Memphis ranks among the bottom teams nationally in turnover rate.
  • UAB: This is the lowest-rated UAB team of Andy Kennedy’s tenure.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Against the Spread: Memphis +2.5
  • Total: Over 154.5

Final Score Prediction

Memphis 80, UAB 76

How to Bet

This is a classic spot where matchup history matters more than season-long noise. Memphis has consistently solved UAB, and the line is giving value on the underdog again. I am taking the points and sprinkling the moneyline. Always shop for the best number using the best sportsbooks and take advantage of available sportsbook promo codes.

If you prefer alternatives to traditional books, social sportsbooks offer another way to get action down. You can also boost your bankroll with offers like the bet365 bonus code or the fliff promo code.

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