Memphis vs Tulane Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Sunday March 8 2026
Use Code WWWC Memphis arrives in New Orleans on Sunday needing a response after seven straight losses — but the market is still making the Tigers a road favorite against a Tulane team that already beat them at Memphis, is playing at home, and has been the more consistent offensive unit down the stretch. That is the kind of spot that punishes blind brand loyalty, and the total movement tells its own compelling story. Before you finalize your action, check our latest college basketball picks — the injury report on Memphis's side, the venue split data, and two full points of overnight total movement all deserve your attention before tip.
Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Tulane +1.5
- Total Pick: Over 152.5
- Projected Final Score: Tulane 79, Memphis 76
Odds and Line Movement
Opening Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Memphis | -1.5 -102 | Over 150.5 -115 |
| Tulane | +1.5 -118 | Under 150.5 -105 |
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Memphis | -1.5 -102 | Over 152.5 -110 |
| Tulane | +1.5 -118 | Under 152.5 -110 |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Memphis | Tulane | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | 10:42:06 PM | -1.5 -102 | +1.5 -118 | — |
| 03/07 | 08:06:38 PM | -1.5 -108 | +1.5 -112 | — |
| 03/07 | 05:34:32 PM | -1.5 +100 | +1.5 -120 | — |
| 03/07 | 05:34:30 PM | -1.5 +105 | +1.5 -125 | — |
| 03/07 | 05:01:49 PM | -1.5 -102 | +1.5 -118 | — |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under | Public ($, #) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | 11:16:45 PM | 152.5 -110 | 152.5 -110 | — |
| 03/07 | 11:16:37 PM | 152.5 -105 | 152.5 -115 | — |
| 03/07 | 11:16:23 PM | 152.5 -110 | 152.5 -110 | — |
| 03/07 | 10:39:51 PM | 152.5 -112 | 152.5 -108 | — |
| 03/07 | 10:39:46 PM | 152.5 -108 | 152.5 -112 | — |
| 03/07 | 10:39:11 PM | 152.5 -112 | 152.5 -108 | — |
| 03/07 | 10:38:53 PM | 152.5 -108 | 152.5 -112 | — |
| 03/07 | 10:38:37 PM | 151.5 -115 | 151.5 -105 | — |
| 03/07 | 05:34:32 PM | 151.5 -105 | 151.5 -115 | — |
| 03/07 | 05:01:49 PM | 150.5 -115 | 150.5 -105 | — |
Memphis vs Tulane Key Matchups and Handicap
Tulane
The Green Wave enter Sunday's regular-season finale at 17-13 overall and 8-9 in the American Athletic Conference, and they carry two of the most important advantages available in this matchup: home court and a head-to-head win. Tulane already beat Memphis 78-76 at FedExForum on February 1 — a one-possession road victory that demonstrated the Green Wave can close against this opponent in a high-pressure, tight-game environment. Replicating that result at home, where Tulane is 10-7 this season compared with Memphis's 2-10 road record, is a substantially easier ask than the February version.
Rowan Brumbaugh is the engine of Tulane's offense and the most complete two-way contributor in this matchup. He averages 18.2 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game — a stat line that reflects not just scoring volume but real organizational capability in the half-court. Brumbaugh's ability to create for himself and others keeps Tulane's offense predictable enough to execute without requiring specific alignments, and against a Memphis defense that has been vulnerable on the perimeter and in transition during the current seven-game losing streak, his combination of mid-range and perimeter creation should produce efficient looks throughout.
Asher Woods and Curtis Williams Jr. provide the secondary scoring that makes Tulane's half-court attack genuinely difficult to contain with a single defensive focus. The Green Wave average 72.2 points per game as a team, and while that number trails Memphis's 74.2 average, the difference in shot quality and offensive continuity entering this game — with Tulane playing at home for the last time and Memphis's frontcourt depth potentially limited by injury — narrows the gap considerably.
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Memphis
The Tigers come in at 12-18 overall and 7-10 in the AAC, having lost seven straight games while surrendering point totals that reflect a defense in genuine distress. Giving up 96 to South Florida, 84 to East Carolina, 88 to Wichita State, and 78 to UAB over the last four games is not a pattern that suggests a team capable of holding Tulane under their seasonal average on a road trip to New Orleans. The issue is not just the totals — it is the consistency of the breakdowns, particularly on the perimeter and in transition, that has made Memphis unreliable in the second half of games throughout this losing streak.
Dug McDaniel is the primary offensive weapon the Tigers bring to Sunday's matchup, averaging 13.8 points and 4.6 assists per game while serving as the primary playmaker and shot creator. His 25-point performance in the South Florida loss confirms he still has the individual capability to carry Memphis offensively on a given night, and if he can get into the lane consistently and force defensive rotations, the Tigers have enough complementary pieces to stay in a one-possession game deep into the second half.
The deeper concern for Memphis is what surrounds McDaniel in the frontcourt. The Tigers' interior depth is already thin relative to the AAC's stronger programs, and both Ashton Hardaway and Tariq Ingraham are listed questionable entering Sunday. If either or both are limited, Memphis's ability to generate second-chance points, contest Tulane's interior looks, and sustain defensive rotations in the second half weakens further — exactly the kind of late-game vulnerability that Brumbaugh and the Green Wave exploited in the February meeting.
Betting Trends – MEM and TU
- The total climbed two full points from its opening entry of 150.5 to 152.5 across ten tracked entries, with a rapid-fire cluster between 10:38 PM and 11:16 PM showing the market settling the number upward in incremental steps — a sustained directional move that reflects both teams' recent defensive struggles and Memphis's four high-scoring recent losses.
- The spread has held at Memphis -1.5 across all five tracked entries without moving a half point in either direction, but the juice has fluctuated significantly — briefly offering Memphis at positive money (+100 and +105) before reverting to standard price, reflecting a market that has tested the number without committing to a full line adjustment.
- The brief positive-money window on Memphis (-1.5 at +105 and +100) represents the most notable short-term spread movement and suggests there was meaningful Tulane money pushing the price before the book reset the juice to a more standard level.
- Tulane won the first regular-season meeting 78-76 on the road in Memphis, covering any reasonable spread while doing so, and now gets the rematch at home where the Green Wave are 10-7 on the season.
- Memphis is 2-10 on the road this season — a venue split that is among the worst in the American Athletic Conference and the most direct statistical argument for backing the home side in a game posted at 1.5 points.
- Memphis has allowed at least 78 points in each of its last four games, a defensive trend that directly supports the two-point upward total movement and provides a strong foundation for the over in a matchup between two offenses averaging in the low 70s.
Key Injuries and Notes – MEM and TU
Memphis enters Sunday with the more significant injury uncertainty of the two teams. Ashton Hardaway is listed as questionable with a calf issue, and Tariq Ingraham is also questionable — two frontcourt contributors whose potential absence would thin the Tigers' interior depth against a Tulane team that controls its own building and has Brumbaugh operating as both scorer and facilitator. If either player is limited or unavailable, Memphis loses second-unit scoring and frontcourt physicality in the exact spots where the Green Wave applied the most pressure in the February road win. Tulane does not appear to have a major newly reported rotation absence entering Sunday's finale, giving the Green Wave a clean injury report advantage on top of their venue and head-to-head edges. The combination of a potentially shortened Memphis rotation and a fully healthy Tulane group playing its final regular-season home game is a meaningful situational lean toward the Green Wave covering the short number.
ATS and Total Picks
- ATS Pick: Tulane +1.5 — The Green Wave won the first meeting on the road and now get Memphis at home where they are 10-7 on the season against a team that is 2-10 away from FedExForum. Memphis's frontcourt depth is uncertain, the defense has been porous across the seven-game losing streak, and the spread held at 1.5 despite brief positive-money windows on the Tigers — a sign that sharp money kept the number honest. Back Tulane to win outright or lose by less than two.
- Total Pick: Over 152.5 — The total moved two full points higher since opening, driven by Memphis's recent defensive performances giving up 78, 84, 88, and 96 in four consecutive games. The market has already absorbed that trend and repriced the total accordingly. With Brumbaugh capable of pushing the pace and McDaniel needing volume to keep Memphis competitive, the scoring environment supports finishing above the posted number. Take the over.
Final Score Prediction
Tulane 79, Memphis 76
The Green Wave close the regular season at home with a three-point win that mirrors the February result in Memphis. Brumbaugh delivers a complete two-way performance, McDaniel keeps the Tigers within one possession late, but Tulane's home-court composure and Memphis's frontcourt limitations show up in the final five minutes. The combined 155 clears the over, and Tulane enters the AAC Tournament with momentum and a head-to-head advantage over the Tigers.
How to Bet Memphis vs Tulane
This American Athletic Conference regular-season finale is available at all major legal sportsbooks, and the total movement from 150.5 to 152.5 makes getting the best available number a priority before tip. If you can find the over at 151.5 or lower anywhere before the market fully consolidates, that is a number worth targeting before Sunday's action begins. For bettors who prefer a no-risk way to engage with a late-regular-season game like this one, social sportsbooks offer a coins-and-prizes format that works well on Sunday's packed AAC closing-day slate.
For real-money action on Tulane to cover or the over, the bet365 bonus code is one of the stronger new-user promotions currently available and applies to American Athletic Conference regular-season games. If a sweepstakes-style experience better fits your preference, the fliff promo code gives you a solid opening balance to deploy on Sunday's action. Lock in Tulane +1.5 and the over 152.5 before tip.
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