Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida Gators Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 16, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s a contest on the hardwood between power conference foes as the Miami Hurricanes battle the #10 Florida Gators Sunday night in the Jacksonville Hoops Classic and we have you covered with our Miami vs. Florida prediction. Miami bombed Stetson 102-61 at home in their previous contest Monday night, covering the line as a 34.5-point favorite. Florida edged Florida State 78-76 at home Tuesday night, failing to cover the line as a 17.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the programs, the Gators own a 47-24 advantage and have taken the last two meetings, including a 78-58 win in the winners’ bracket of the Charleston Classic in the most recent matchup on November 22, 2019. Read more about this Miami vs. Florida prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
Miami Trying to Remain Unbeaten
Miami remained unbeaten in the Jai Lucas era but they’ve faced three low-major squads, none ranked higher than 219th in the KenPom rankings. The Hurricanes are 3-0 but face much stiffer competition in this contest. Against Stetson, Miami started slow, giving up the first six points, and they trailed 17-11 with 11:51 to play in the first half. The Hurricanes reeled off a 19-3 run to take a 30-20 lead with 6:57 and led the rest of the way. Miami was up 55-36 at the half and led by as many as 46 en route to the victory. The Hurricanes shot 56.1% from the floor, including eight of 23 from three-point range, and won the battle of the boards 45-31 in the game. Malik Reneau led Miami with 22 points and 10 rebounds in the win.
The Hurricanes come into the game ranked 25th in the nation in scoring offense with 96.3 points per game on the year. Miami pulls down an average of 41.3 rebounds per contest while dishing out 23.7 assists per game, which is 4th in the nation. The Hurricanes are above average defensively, ranking 54th in the country by allowing 63.7 points per contest. Malik Reneau leads the team in scoring as he averages 21.3 points and six rebounds per game this season. Tre Donaldson (16.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, six assists), Tru Washington (14 points, 3.7 rebounds) and Shelton Henderson (12.3 points, 4.7 rebounds) are solid scoring options this season. Timotej Malovec, Ernest Udeh Jr., Dante Allen, Marcus Allen, Jordan Key, Salih Altuntas and John LaBoy II are key pieces for coach Jai Lucas’ rotation. The Hurricanes shoot 56.9% from the field as a team this season, which is 6th in the nation. Miami connects on 6.3 three-pointers a night while shooting 35.2% from beyond the arc, putting them 135th in the country. The Hurricanes are good at the charity stripe this season, shooting 72.9% as a team at the line, putting them 145th in Division I in that category.
Gators Seek to Earn Third Straight Win
Florida is the defending champ but they’ve had their challenges in the early going, falling to #13 Arizona in their opener and surviving against Florida State at home in their previous game. The Gators improved to 2-1 on the season and look to make it three straight wins. Against Florida State, Florida led by as many as seven early and trailed by as many as five in the first half before trailing by three at intermission. The Gators still trailed by five with 14:27 to play before going on a 19-5 run to take a 66-57 edge with seven minutes to play. Florida hung on down the stretch to pick up the victory. The Gators shot 39.1% from the field, including six of 31 from beyond the arc, and dominated the glass by a 58-36 margin. Thomas Haugh led Florida with 20 points and 13 rebounds in the win.
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The Gators are above average offensively, ranking 73rd in the nation in scoring offense with an average of 89.7 points per game this year. Florida averages 53.7 rebounds per contest (2nd) and dishes out 17.3 assists per game. The Gators are struggling defensively, ranking 251st in points allowed, with 77.7 points per contest. Thomas Haugh is one of five players averaging in double figures as he puts up 19.7 points, 8.3 rebounds and three assists per game this season. Boogie Fland (12.3 points, 3.7 rebounds), Alex Condon (15.7 points, eight rebounds) and Xaivan Lee (11 points, 5.3 rebounds, five assists) are solid secondary scoring options. Micah Handlogten (10 points, 10.3 rebounds), Rueben Chinyelu, Urban Klavzar, Alex Lloyd, Isaiah Brown and CJ Ingram are key pieces in Florida’s rotation this season for Todd Golden. The Gators shoot 44.2% from the field as a team this season. Florida knocks down an average of 6.3 triples a night while hitting 21.1% from beyond the arc, which is just 358th in Division I. The Gators are below average at the charity stripe, shooting 66.7% as a team this season, which is 272nd in the nation.
Miami vs. Florida Pick
Miami vs. Florida Spread Pick
- Florida (4 units)
Miami is unbeaten but beating Jacksonville, Bethune Cookman and Stetson doesn’t move the needle all that much. Facing the defending champs, even on a neutral floor, is a daunting task for any team. Florida has been inconsistent defensively but they are stout on the glass with a quartet of guys 6’9 or taller to crash the glass in Condon, Haugh, Handlogten and Chinyelu. If the Gators can slow down the duo of Reneau and Donaldson, they’ll be in good shape here. Playing in their relative backyard, look for Florida to come up with the victory here to earn a third straight win.
Miami vs. Florida Over/Under Pick
- Over (4 units)
We have a pair of teams that have been good on the offensive end of the floor this season. The Hurricanes have gone over the number in all three of their contests. The Hurricanes are 61st in offensive efficiency, 14th in effective field goal percentage (62.4%), 73rd in turnover percentage (14.7%), sixth in field goal percentage and 14th in two-point shooting (66.1%) on the year. Miami is 84th in adjusted tempo as they average 72.8 possessions a night. Florida is 17th in offensive efficiency, seventh in offensive rebounding percentage (46.1%) and 65th in two-point shooting (60.8%) and second in the nation by pulling down 21 offensive boards a night. The Gators are seventh in adjusted tempo according to KenPom with 75.4 possessions a night. Look for this game to wind up over the number.
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