Miami Hurricanes vs. NC State Wolfpack Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14th, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Miami Hurricanes (19-5, 12-12 ATS, 15-9 O/U) take on the NC State Wolfpack (18-7, 13-12 ATS, 16-9 O/U) in an ACC meeting on Saturday afternoon, and we have the prediction. The Hurricanes recorded a win against the Tar Heels on Tuesday. The Wolfpack were pelted in a road loss by Louisville on Monday. The Hurricanes posted a home win against the Wolfpack in the only meeting last season.
Can the Wolfpack answer their worst defeat of the season with a home win on Saturday afternoon? Keep reading for the Miami vs. NC State prediction. Nobody does it better when it comes to NCAAB Picks!
Miami Stuns #11 North Carolina in 8th ACC Win
The Miami Hurricanes are seeking their ninth ACC win of the season. Miami is having an outstanding season and should be in the NCAA Tournament. The Hurricanes have been consistent throughout ACC play. They beat Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech early last month.
The Hurricanes did lose two in a row a few weeks ago, dropping decisions against Clemson and Florida State. They are confident after a big 75-66 home win against #11 North Carolina on Tuesday in a game that had the Hurricanes marked as 1.5-point dogs. Miami connected on 47% of its shots while N.C. posted a 40% mark. The Hurricanes are 8-3 in ACC play and have covered the spread in two of their past five games.
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Malik Reneau is one of the top players in the ACC. The senior forward has netted at least 20 points in all but six conference games. He scored 16 points on Tuesday and has delivered an average of 19.8 PPG on 56% shooting. Tre Donaldson scored at least 11 points in six straight games. The senior guard has been inconsistent at times and has netted an average of 15.8 PPG and 6 APG.
Shelton Henderson has been steady, amassing at least 16 points in three of his last five efforts. The freshman forward has yielded 14.4 PPG on the season. Tru Washington has missed the last few weeks due to injury and is questionable. The junior guard is a key player, averaging 12 PPG. Ernest Utah Jr. has been outstanding, sinking at least 60% of his field goals in five of his past six outings. The senior forward is averaging 7.2 PPG and 9.6 RPG. Dante Allen scored nine points on Tuesday and is averaging 6.7 PPG.
The Hurricanes are ranked 40th in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and are 50-1 on the road, including a win against Notre Dame. Miami is averaging 83.8 points on the season, rating them 65th. The Hurricanes have conceded 70 or fewer points in three of their past five games and are keeping opponents to an average of 69.8 points, placing them 51st.
NC State Eyes Rebound After Worst Defeat of Season
The NC State Wolfpack are targeting their 10th conference win of the season. NC State has been dominant most of conference play and has produced a 9-3 ACC record. The Wolfpack lost to Virginia in the first week of ACC action, accompanied by a defeat against Georgia Tech about three weeks ago. The Wolfpack have dropped just one game since.
NC State posted wins against SMU and Virginia Tech to begin this month. The squad is eager to get back on the court after their winning streak was snapped in an ugly 118-77 road loss to Louisville on Monday in a bout that had the Wolfpack as seven-point dogs. NC State only shot 41%, and Louisville was able to sink 60% of their field goals. The Wolfpack have covered in two of their past five games.
Darrion Williams has come through with many big efforts in conference play. He scored 20 against Florida State and 25 points against SMU. Williams is sporting an average of 14.4 PPG on the season. Paul McNeil Jr. has reached 15 points in three of his last six games. The sophomore guard has recorded an average of 13.6 PPG. Quadir Copeland was kept to just 10 points on Monday. The senior guard is averaging 13.9 PPG on 52% shooting.
Ven-Allen Lubin has scored at least 11 points in five straight efforts. The senior forward has amassed an average of 13.6 PPG on a 68% efficiency. Tre Holloman sunk 19 points against Louisville on Monday. The senior guard has registered an average of 10.5 PPG.
The Wolfpack are marked 25th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and stand at 10-3 at home, including a win against Wake Forest. NC State is averaging 85.3 points on the year, rating them 40th. The Wolfpack have given up at least 78 points in three of their last five games and is squandering an average of 74.3 points, placing them 150th in the country.
Miami vs. NC State Pick
Spread Pick for Miami vs. NC State
- Miami Hurricanes +6 (5 units)
The Miami Hurricanes are in a groove, winning four of their past five games. Their biggest triumph came on Wednesday in a blowout win against the #11 Tar Heels, proving they are a contender in the tough ACC. The NC State Wolfpack are a strong team, but it leans too heavily on the offense, while the defense is shaky.
Furthermore, NC State has not been a team to back. They have not covered the spread in three straight games. The Wolfpack were thumped by Louisville on Tuesday, surrendering 118 points. Also, Miami is one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country, shooting a dazzling 51%. This is key against a Wolfpack squad that has been exposed defensively against the stronger ACC opponents. Go with the Hurricanes.
Over/Under Pick for Miami vs. NC State
- Under 156 (5 units)
I expect this one to go under. Miami is playing outstanding defense. They have conceded just 68 and 66 points in their past two games against Boston College and North Carolina. Also, Miami has cooled down a bit in the offensive end, scoring only 74 and 75 points in those two games, below their season average.
In addition, NC State is playing strong defense on its home court. They have conceded an average of only 70 points in their past five home games, including 57 against Wake Forest and 73 points against Virginia Tech. The under is 4-2 in the past six meetings between these teams.
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