Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers Picks and Prediction for Sunday, March 1, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s another big clash in the Big Ten Conference on Sunday, Feb. 28. Read our Michigan State vs Indiana prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. Michigan State is 23-5 overall this season and they are the No. 13 team in the country. The Spartans have won three-straight games coming into this one, including a huge road win over Purdue. Indiana is reeling with its 17-11 record. The Hoosiers have lost three in-a-row, as they are coming off of a defeat to Northwestern. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 3:45 P.M. EST.
Michigan State knocks-off Purdue on the road
Michigan State is 23-5 overall this season. The Spartans are 13-4 in Big Ten play as they are 3.5 games out of Michigan for the top spot. Michigan State is the No. 13 ranked team in the nation at the moment. They have a 5-3 road record this season. The Spartans have won three-straight games coming into this match.
In their last game, Michigan State defeated No. 8 Purdue 76-74 on the road on Thursday, Feb. 26. There were 12 lead changes in the game, but the Spartans never gave up their lead in the final 10 minutes of the game. Michigan State shot 53% from the field and 32% from behind the 3-point line in the win. Carson Cooper scored a game-high 15 points on 6-for-9 shooting to lead Michigan State.
Jeremey Fears leads the team with 14.9 points and 9.1 assists per game. Jaxon Kohler is grabbing 9.1 rebounds per game this season.
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According to KenPom, Michigan State is the 10th ranked team in the nation. They have the 36th ranked offense, while they are also ranked sixth on the defensive end.
Michigan State is averaging 78.4 points per game, which ranks 154th in the nation. They are shooting 46.6% from the field, which places them 104th. The Spartans are the 123rd ranked 3-point shooting team, making 35.2% from behind the arc.
On defense, Michigan State is allowing 66.2 points per game, which ranks 14th overall. They are giving up 39.7% from the field, which ranks 17th. The Spartans are the 44th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 31% from behind the arc.
Michigan State is 15-13 against the spread this season. They are 4-4 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Spartans are 10-7 against the spread when playing Big Ten opponents. Michigan State is 12-11 against the spread as a favorite. The under is 16-12 when Michigan State has played this season. The over is 5-3 when playing on the road this season. The under is 9-8 when Michigan State has played Big Ten opponents.
Indiana on a three-game losing skid
Indiana is 17-11 overall this season. The Hoosiers have an 8-9 conference record as they are in 10th place in the league. Indiana is 13-3 when playing at home this season. They have lost three straight games entering this outing. Indiana has also lost four of its last six games.
In their last game, Indiana lost 72-68 to Northwestern at home on Tuesday, Feb. 24. Northwestern went on a 13-2 run late in the game to help them take the lead and eventual win. Indiana led for 87% of the game, but they couldn’t close the door in the end. Indiana shot 46% from the field and 36% from behind the arc. Lamar Wilkerson led the tam with 18 points on 5-for-17 shooting.
Wilkerson leads the team with 21 points per game. Tucker DeVries is grabbing a team-high 5.1 rebounds, while Conor Enright is dishing out 4.7 assists per game.
Indiana is the 42nd ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are ranked 41st in the country on the offense end. They are also the 62nd ranked defensive team.
Indiana is averaging 82.3 points per game, which ranks 87th in the nation. They are the 72nd ranked shooting team, making 47.1% from the field. The Hoosiers are making 34.9% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 137th.
On defense, Indiana is allowing 74.8 points per game, which ranks 171st. They are the 84th ranked defensive team, allowing 42.4% from the field. The Hoosiers are also the 81st ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 32% from behind the arc.
Indiana is 13-15 against the spread this season. They are 8-8 against the spread when playing at home. The Hoosiers are 8-9 against the spread during Big Ten play. Indiana is 3-5 against the spread when playing as an underdog. The under is 15-13 when Indiana has played this year. The under is 9-7 when the Hoosiers have played at home. The under is 9-8 during Big Ten play.
Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers Picks
Michigan State vs Indiana Spread Pick
- Take Michigan State to cover (5 units)
It’s a tale between two teams in completely different forms. Indiana cannot stack wins this season with their inefficient offense. The Hoosiers have lost three straight games, including a loss to Northwestern, a game where they led for most of the afternoon. Michigan State is coming off of a huge win over Purdue on the road. If Michigan State can win on the road in Lafayette, they can certainly win in Assembly Hall. Michigan State’s sixth-ranked defense will be the difference in this game. Indiana is 8-9 against the spread during conference play this year. Michigan State is 10-7 against the spread when playing Big Ten opponents.
Take Michigan State to cover.
Michigan State vs Indiana Over/Under Pick
- Take the under (5 units)
Michigan State will control the flow of this game with their 266th ranked adjusted tempo roster. The Spartans also sixth-overall on the defensive end. Indiana will have a hard time scoring in the half court and in transition throughout this game. The Hoosiers also rank 245th in adjusted tempo. This will be a low-scoring ball game. The under is 9-7 when the Hoosiers have played at home. The under is 9-8 when Michigan State has played Big Ten opponents.
Take the under on Sunday.
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