Michigan State Spartans vs UConn Huskies Picks and Predictions for Friday, March 27, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Michigan State Spartans will be in Washington, D.C., Friday night for a Sweet 16 matchup inside Capital One Arena at 9:45 PM against the UConn Huskies, and we have you ready to roll with our Michigan State vs UConn prediction. Michigan State comes into the Sweet 16 with 27 wins and 7 losses on the year. The UConn Huskies are the No. 2 team in the East Region with 31 wins and 5 losses this season. Michigan State has won three of the last five, including two in a row after an 8-point point against Louisville in round two of the dance. The UConn Huskies have won for the last five, including two in a row after a 16-point victory against UCLA last time out. Read more about this Michigan State vs UConn prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
Michigan State hunts the upset
The Michigan State offense has been solid this season, averaging 79.3 points on 47% shooting from the floor, and the Spartans have averaged 86.6 points per game over their last three wins. Defensively, Michigan State has held its own, allowing 68.4 points per game this season, but gave up an average of 89 points per game during its recent two-game skid. Defensively, Michigan State was a better team in their last outing, giving up 69 points on 41% shooting, 35% from beyond the arc. Offensively, Michigan State rolled, scoring 77 points, including 41 in the second half, on 47% shooting and 42% from beyond the arc. Michigan State won the rebound by 7 and forced 11 turnovers in the win. Coen Carr led the way for the Michigan State offense with 21 points and 10 rebounds on 13 shots.
Jeremy Fears Jr. leads the Michigan State offense this season, averaging 15.3 points and 9.4 assists per game. Jaxon Kohler is 2nd on the roster with 12.6 points to go along with the team-leading 8.9 rebounds. Cohen Carr averages 12 points, and Carson Cooper is averaging 11 points per game this season.
Key Injury Report for Michigan State:
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- Denham Wojcik (Questionable) – Shoulder
- Divine Ugochukwu (Out) – Foot
- Kaleb Glenn (Out) – Knee
UConn looks to stay the course
The UConn Huskies have scored the ball well all season, averaging 77.5 points on 48% shooting from the floor. Defensively, UConn has been elite, holding opponents to 65.1 points per game this season and allowing an average of 61.75 points per game over its last four wins. The UConn defense was phenomenal in their last outing, giving up to 57 points on 39% shooting, 30% from beyond the arc. Offensively, UConn rolled, scoring 73 points on 47% shooting. UConn won the rebounding battle by double digits and forced 11 turnovers in the win. Alex Karaban led the way for the UConn offense with 27 points on 16 shots.
Tarris Reed Jr. leads the UConn offense this season with 14.2 points and 8.9 rebounds per game. Alex Karaban averages 13.3 points, and Solo Ball averages 13 points per game. Braylon Mullins averages 12.1 points in 28 minutes per game. Silas Demary Jr. averages 10.6 points and leads the team, dishing out 6.1 assists per game.
Key Injury Report for UConn:
- Jaylin Steward (Questionable) - Knee
Michigan State vs UConn Pick
- Michigan State vs UConn Spread Pick
This is a matchup between two of the better teams in the country, as each has hovered in the top 25 all year. Michigan State has a slightly better offense, but the UConn depth and defense will be the difference in this game. Look for the Huskies to lean on their championship pedigree in the Sweet 16 against a solid Michigan State team. Take UConn to continue their quest for another Final Four as they do the work on Friday in Washington, DC. Take the UConn Huskies Friday night to do the job as they punch their ticket to Sunday, with a win and cover against Michigan State.
- Michigan State vs UConn Over/Under Pick
Both teams score the ball well, but each has a defensive mindset. Despite both teams being elite on the defensive end, their offenses will do the job in this game period. The number is set too low for two teams of this skill level, which will lead to a high-scoring outcome. UConn is going to do the work to get the win in Washington, D.C. to punch their ticket into the elite 8, but the number will go over the total as both teams do enough scoring in the Sweet 16.
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