Michigan State vs. Wisconsin Picks and Prediction for Friday, February 13, 2026
Use Code WWWC We've got Friday night action in the Big 10 featuring this Michigan State vs. Wisconsin prediction. Michigan State (20-4, 10-3 B10) travels to Madison to take on the Badgers (17-7, 9-4 B10) on Friday at 8pmET. These teams last met in 2025 with Sparty winning at home by nine and the Badgers winning in the Big 10 Tournament semifinals 77-74. Check out more College Basketball free predictions at Winners and Whiners.
Sparty gets back on track
No. 1o Michigan State lost to Michigan and Minnesota in back-to-back games before edging No. 5 Illinois at home 85-82 in overtime last Saturday. Jeremiah Fears Jr. led the Spartans with 26 points and 15 assists, while Jaxon Kohler added 11 points and 16 boards. Michigan State had a 48-38 advantage in rebounds and a 22-0 advantage on fastbreak points.
Rebounding is usually a staple of Tom Izzo teams and this team is not any different. They rank second in the nation in rebounding margin at 13.1 per game. Fears leads the nation in assists with 9.1 per game and averages 15.1 points per game. Kohler adds 12.8 points and 9.4 rebounds. KenPom has Michigan State rated 10th overall, while ranking 42nd in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 4th in Adjusted Defense.
Sparty is pretty healthy right now, with the only key injury being in the backcourt with Divinie Ugochukwu (5.1ppg) being listed as questionable with a foot injury after missing the Illinois game.
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Wisconsin is in a pretty good position
The Badgers also played Illinois in their last game, getting the big upset 92-90 in overtime. That was their second straight overtime game after losing at Indiana 78-77 last Saturday. In the win over the Illini on Tuesday, Nick Boyd led the Badgers with 25 points and five assists, while John Blackwell added 24 points and four assists. Wisconsin shot 44% (16-of-36) from three-point range, but got some good fortune as the Illini made just 11 of 19 free throws (58%). But Wiscy took care of the ball (four turnovers), which is remarkable in an overtime game.
When it comes to the NCAA Tournament, Wisconsin is 37th in the Net Rankings, which means they aren't there yet with a 2-6 record against Quad 1 teams. The Illinois win didn't hurt, considering they are 5th in the Net Ratings. The Badgers are 97th in rebound rate and 16th in assist-to-turnover ratio. Boyd, a San Diego State transfer, leads the Badgers with 20.2 points and 3.7 assists. Blackwell adds 18.7 points and 5.0 rebounds, while shooting 40.8% from the field and 37.3% from three-point range.
Spread Pick and Odds for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State
Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Prediction and Picks
- Wisconsin +1.5 (4 units)
This is going to be a battle. Wisconsin is certainly built for that type of game, and because they are more desperate for this game, considering they are basically on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament, let's take the Badgers. The Badgers take care of the ball, but this is a different Wisconsin team from the past. They push the ball now, ranking 91st in tempo and they will be able to hang with the Spartans on the boards. The addition of Boyd has made a difference. Take the home team who has won three of its last four games.
Total Picks for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State
- Over 145.5 (4 units)
Wisconsin will have its pace of play at home. Despite their slower pace of play, Michigan State has gone over in four straight games. Wisconsin has gone over in six of its last nine games. They've scored 90 or more points five of those games. Michigan State is averaging 79.1 points per game away from home, while Wisconsin is averaging 85.8 points per game at home.
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