Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kennesaw State Owls Picks and Predictions for Thursday February 12 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/12/2026, 06:50 AM ET
Use Code WWWC

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders travel to Kennesaw, Georgia, to take on the Kennesaw State Owls on Thursday, February 12, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 PM ET at the KSU Convocation Center, with national coverage on CBSSN. At the time of this writing, the moneyline is listed as OFF for both teams. The total sits at 149.5 points (over -108 / under -112), and Kennesaw State is favored by 3.5 points (-102), while Middle Tennessee is +3.5 (-118). As you break down this matchup, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more insight on tonight’s action.

Blue Raiders Searching for Answers on the Road

Middle Tennessee enters this contest with an 11-12 overall record and has struggled to find consistency away from home. The Blue Raiders are coming off a difficult stretch, having recently lost to Delaware in overtime, fallen in overtime to FIU, and dropped games against Western Kentucky, Liberty, and Jacksonville State. Five straight losses have put this team in a tough position heading into conference play.

Offensively, Middle Tennessee averages 74.6 points per game while allowing 71.9 points per contest. They shoot 44% from the field and pull down 36.8 rebounds per game, showing decent balance on the glass. The Blue Raiders also distribute the ball well, averaging 14.5 assists per game, and add 6.2 steals and 4.3 blocks defensively, which highlights their ability to create disruption.

One key strength for this team is their defensive presence inside. With 4.3 blocks per game, Middle Tennessee can protect the rim and force opponents into difficult shots. However, during their recent losing streak, late-game execution has been an issue, especially in tight contests that went to overtime. If they can clean up turnovers and close out possessions more effectively, they have the tools to stay competitive in this matchup.

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Owls Leaning on Offense and Home-Court Edge

Kennesaw State comes into Thursday’s matchup at 14-9 overall and has been particularly dangerous on their home floor. The Owls recently lost to Jacksonville State but earned wins over New Mexico State and Western Kentucky while also dropping competitive games to Louisiana Tech and Sam Houston State.

The Owls boast one of the more explosive offenses in the conference, averaging 85.3 points per game while allowing 76.0. They shoot 44% from the field and dominate the glass with 43.3 rebounds per contest. With 14.6 assists per game, they share the basketball effectively, and their defensive activity stands out with 7.0 steals and 5.7 blocks per game.

What truly separates Kennesaw State is its rebounding and pace. The Owls push tempo and create second-chance opportunities with their work on the boards. Averaging over 85 points per game, they are comfortable playing in high-scoring environments. At home, that offensive pressure often forces opponents into uncomfortable stretches.

Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Pick

Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Spread Pick

  • Pick: Kennesaw State -3.5

Kennesaw State’s offensive firepower combined with their rebounding edge makes them the stronger side in this matchup. Middle Tennessee has struggled to close games and is riding a five-game losing streak, including two overtime defeats that could weigh heavily on confidence. The Owls’ ability to score in bunches and control the glass at home gives them the advantage to cover the short number.

Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 149.5

I’m looking at the pace and offensive numbers here and leaning toward the over. Kennesaw State averages over 85 points per game, and even if Middle Tennessee plays slightly below its average, the Owls’ tempo should push this into a high-scoring affair. Given Kennesaw’s defensive numbers allow 76 points per game and the Blue Raiders can score in the mid-70s, I expect this one to flirt with the 150s.

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