Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2025
Use Code WWWC There's nothing like an old SEC rivalry, and nothing gets better than a Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss prediction. Both teams are struggling with duplicate 11-13 records overall and 3-8 conference records. These squads also met on Jan.17 in Starkville with Ole Miss winning 68-67, but did not cover the 3.5 points. These teams meet on Saturday from Oxford at 6:30pmET. Check out more free College Basketball predictions at Winners and Whiners.
Bulldogs struggle to compete in the SEC
Mississippi State comes into this matchup having lost three straight and eight of their last nine games. According to Warren Nolan.com, the SEC ranks first in all the conferences based on non-conference records. The Bulldogs last played on Wednesday at home against Tennessee, and fell 73-64 as a 7.5-point dog. Josh Hubbard had a tremendous game with 31 points and shot 13-of-24 from the field to keep Mississippi State in the game. But he was the only player to score in double digits as the Bulldogs shot just 41% from the field and 7-of-13 from the free throw line (54%).
Hubbard is one of the top players in the SEC, who averages 21 points and 3.5 assists per game, while shooting 41% from the field. Jayden Epps adds 14.4 points per game, while shooting 41.4% from the field. According to KenPom, Mississippi State is 89th overall, 136th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency Rating and 60th in Adjusted Defense. The Bulldogs rank 145th in total rebound rate and 245th in total rebound rate.
Rebels looking for a win
Ole Miss has lost six straight games, including a 93-74 defeat to Alabama on Wednesday as a 6.5-point favorite. A.J. Storr led the way with 27 points against Alabama, but had very little help. When you play Alabama, if you can't keep up with their pace and offense, you'd better slow the pace down. The Rebels held the Tide to just 39% shooting, but Alabama made 24 of 26 free throws and 17 of 45 (38%) from three-point range to offset a bad shooting night.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
The Rebels are dealing with an undisclosed injury to guard Kezza Giffa (6.6ppg), who missed the Alabama game and is questionable. Storr, who played at St. John's, Wisconsin and Kansas previously, leads the Rebels with 14.3 points and shoots 43.8% from the field and 38.5% from three-point range. KenPom has Ole Miss at 71st overall, 88th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 63rd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They rank 240th in total rebound rate and 83rd in assist-to-turnover ratio.
Spread Picks and Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Picks and Odds
- Mississippi State +4 (4 units)
These are two pretty evenly matched teams and historically, the dog wins, which has happened in three straight games over the last three seasons. In four of the last six meetings, the winner won by single digits and there were two overtime games. Both teams shot poorly in the first game, including Hubbard, who went just 3 of 16 from the field and 5 of 10 from the free-throw line in a one-point game. Hubbard can be streaky, but expect a better output in this game. The Bulldogs also shoot much better on the road (46.6%) from the field compared to overall. Take the Bulldogs with the revenge factor against their rival.
Over/Under Pick for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss
- Under 143.5 (5 units)
Even though historically, these games have gone over, the game this season went under. These teams have at times struggled to score over 70 points. Mississippi State wants to push the ball, but with Ole Miss being at home, expect them to slow it down as they rank 302nd in Adjusted Tempo. Yet with the 99th tempo, Mississippi State has gone under in two straight and six of their last seven games.
Betting on College Basketball?
- Join Winners and Whiners premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
- Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
- Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
