Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28th, 2026
Get Free $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
The Missouri Tigers (19-9, 13-15 ATS, 13-15 O/U) take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-15, 10-18 ATS, 14-15 O/U) in an SEC bout on Saturday afternoon, and we have the details and prediction. The Tigers earned a win against Tennessee on Tuesday. The Bulldogs sustained a road defeat against Alabama. The Tigers posted a home win against the Bulldogs last month.
Can the Bulldogs avoid a third straight defeat with a home win on Saturday afternoon? Check out the Missouri vs. Mississippi State prediction. Nobody does it better when it comes to NCAAB Picks!
Missouri Eyes 10th Conference Win
The Missouri Tigers are targeting their 10th SEC win of the season. Missouri has recorded a few upset wins after beating Florida and Kentucky back in January. They have not been able to win with any consistency due to the shaky defense. The Tigers are 9-6 in SEC action.
Missouri earned an upset road win against Texas A&M earlier this month and lost to Arkansas last weekend. Next, the Tigers answered with a 73-69 home win against a ranked Tennessee squad on Tuesday. The Tigers were three-point dogs. They shot 47% in the defeat, while Tennessee posted a 43% efficiency. The Tigers have covered the spread in five of their past six games.
Mark Mitchell is capable of big numbers. He has surpassed 20 points six times this season. He scored 23 points on Tuesday and has recorded an average of 17.4 PPG on the season. Jayden Stone has shot 50% in just one of his last five games. The senior guard has yielded 14.1 PPG on 50% shooting.
Trent Pierce scored six points in the win on Tuesday. The junior guard is averaging 10.7 PPG. Jacob Crews has been kept to single digits in five of his last six outings. The senior guard has netted an average of 9.3 PPG. Anthony Robinson II has shot at least 50% in three of his past five games. The junior guard has posted an average of 9 PPG.
The Tigers are marked 51st in DI in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and are 4-5 on the road, including a win against Kentucky. Missouri is averaging 80.1 points on the season, ranking them 112th. The Tigers are squandering an average of 75.1 points, placing them 180th. 
Mississippi State Hit with 10th SEC Defeat
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are seeking their sixth ACC win of the season. Mississippi State is in the bottom half of the conference standings with a 5-10 record due to its weak shooting. The Bulldogs lost five games in a row in January, including home losses against Alabama and Mississippi.
The Bulldogs have been more competitive in recent weeks. The registered wins against LSU, along with a win in the rematch against Ole Miss, followed by a loss vs. S.C last weekend. The Bulldogs had more offensive woes in an ugly 100-75 road loss to Alabama on Wednesday. The Bulldogs were 12-point dogs in that one. Mississippi State only managed to sink 38% of its shots while Alabama was able to post a 50% efficiency. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in two of their past five games.
Josh Hubbard is one of the top scorers in the SEC. The junior guard has surpassed 20 points in all but six conference games. Hubbard only managed 11 points on Wednesday and is sporting an average of 21.6 PPG on the year. Jayden Epps has been shaky, posting 12 or fewer points in five of his last six games. The senior guard has issued an average of 14 PPG.
Ja’Borri McGhee is having a subpar season. The senior guard has not been able to break out. He has reached double digits in just three conference games and is averaging 8.1 PPG. Quincy Ballard has sunk 60% of his shots in five of his last six outings. The senior center is averaging 6.3 PPG and 6.1 RPG. Sergeh Macura scored 10 points against S.C. last weekend. The sophomore forward has contributed with 5.3 PPG on the season.
The Bulldogs are rated 96th in the country in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings and stand at 8-6 at home, including a win against Oklahoma. Mississippi State is posting an average of 78.2 points on the year, marking them 157th. The Bulldogs have given up 78 or more points in five of their past six games and are squandering an average of 80 points, pegging them 316th.
Missouri vs. Mississippi State Pick
Spread Pick for Missouri vs. Mississippi State
- Missouri Tigers -1 (5 units)
The Missouri Tigers are in a groove, winning five of their past seven games. They are a confident group after a home win against a ranked Tennessee squad on Wednesday. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are in the bottom half of the SEC standings and are stumbling, dropping seven of their past ten games. The Bulldogs have lost five of their past six SEC home games.
Furthermore, Missouri has a mammoth edge in the offensive end. They are averaging 120.3 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 50th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency. That’s 6.5 more points per 100 than Mississippi State. The Tigers also have the better adjusted defensive efficiency rating. The Bulldogs have not been keeping games close. They have lost by nine or more points in five of their past seven defeats.
Over/Under pick for Missouri vs. Mississippi State
- Over 155 (5 units)
I expect this one to go over. Missouri has a potent offense that has no issues posting big numbers against SEC opponents. They have netted 78 or more points in six of their past nine games. The Bulldogs' defense continues to be exposed. They have surrendered 80 or more points in nine of their last ten games.
In addition, Mississippi State prefers to shoot threes. They attempt an average of 25.6 threes per game, above average. They should have success against a Tigers defense that has been exposed against threes, standing 322nd in the country. The over is a convincing 5-2 in the Tigers’ past seven games.
Betting on College Basketball?
- Join Winners and Whiners premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
- Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
- Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $150 If Your Bet Wins!
