NC State Wolfpack vs. Florida State Seminoles Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement for Saturday, January 10, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s an ACC matchup on the hardwood in the Sunshine State as the NC State Wolfpack travel to take on the Florida State Seminoles Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our NC State vs. Florida State prediction. NC State dropped Boston College 79-71 on the road in their previous contest Tuesday night, failing to cover the line as a 12.5-point favorite. Florida State fell 91-87 at home to #6 Duke last Saturday in their previous game, covering the line as a 16.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, the Wolfpack owns a 33-31 advantage, including an 84-74 overtime home win in the most recent matchup, which on December 7, 2024. Read more about this NC State vs. Florida State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
NC State Seeking to Continue Recent Push
NC State won for the fourth time in five games as they took down Boston College on the road in their previous contest Tuesday night. The Wolfpack ran their mark to 11-5 overall and stand 2-1 in ACC play on the year. Against Boston College, NC State led by as many as 13 in the first half before settling for a 40-32 advantage at intermission. The Wolfpack never let the Eagles closer than three in the second half as they went on to the win. NC State shot 48.4% from the floor, including 13 of 22 from three-point range, and forced 16 Boston College turnovers in the win. Darrion Williams led the Wolfpack with 22 points in the win.
The Wolfpack enters this game 57th in the nation in scoring offense with 84.9 points per game this year. NC State is 208th in rebounding with 36.1 boards a night and dish out 16.7 assists a night. The Wolfpack are above average on the defensive end, ranking 132nd in the nation by allowing 71.4 points per game this season. Darrion Williams is one of five players on the Wolfpack averaging double figures with 14.3 points, 5.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game this season. Paul McNeil Jr. (13.6 points, 4.2 boards) and Tre Holloman (10.2 points) average in double figures. Quadir Copeland (13.8 points, 6.1 assists), Matt Able (8.3 points, 3.1 rebounds, Ven-Allen Lubin (12.3 points, 6.8 rebounds), Jerry Deng, Musa Sagnia and Alyn Breed are other important pieces in the NC State rotation. The Wolfpack is shooting 48% from the field as a team on the year, which is 67th in Division I. NC State connects on 10.6 three-pointers a night (24th) while shooting 38.9% (17th) from beyond the arc. The Wolfpack is an above average team at the charity stripe as they cash in on 75.7% of their attempts on the season.
Key Injury Report for NC State:
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- Guard Tre Holloman (ankle) is doubtful.
Seminoles Shooting to Roll at Home
Florida State battled against #6 Duke but suffered their second straight loss and their seventh in the last nine games last Saturday. The Seminoles fell to 7-8 overall on the year and are 0-2 in ACC play on the year as they take the floor here. Against Duke, Florida State led by as many as seven in the first half but went to the locker room tied at 42 at the half. The Seminoles took their last lead at 63-62 with 13:26 remaining but gave up the next six points to trail 68-63. Florida State got within two with 23 seconds remaining but couldn’t get even as they took the loss. The Seminoles shot 53.5% from the field, including 14 of 30 from three-point range, and lost the rebounding battle 31-24 in the game. Robert McCray V and Chauncey Wiggins each had 22 points to lead the Seminoles in the loss.
The Seminoles come into this contest averaging 83.9 points per game on the season, leaving them 68th in the country in the scoring offense department. Florida State pulls down 37.6 rebounds per game (129th) while handing out 16 assists per contest. The Seminoles are 312th in scoring defense as they allow 79.2 points per game on the year. Robert McCray V is one of four players averaging in double figures as he puts up 13.9 points plus seven assists per game. Chauncey Wiggins (13 points, 4.6 rebounds), Lajae Jones (11.3 points, 4.8 rebounds) and Kobe MaGee (11 points, 3.7 rebounds) are solid secondary scoring options. Martin Somerville, Cam Miles, Alex Steen, AJ Swinton, Thomas Bassong and Alier Maluk are all good rotation pieces. Florida State shoots 42.4% from the field as a team on the year. The Seminoles drain 11.6 three-point field goals a night (5th) while shooting 32.2% from beyond the arc. Florida State cans a mediocre 70.7% (220th in Division I) of their chances at the free throw line on the year.
Key Injury Report for Florida State:
- No Key Injuries
NC State vs. Florida State Pick
NC State vs. Florida State Spread Pick
- NC State -5 (4 units)
NC State has played well of late and come in with four wins in their last five games, including their road win over Boston College. The Wolfpack has split their two road games on the year and now square off with a reeling Florida State squad. We saw the Seminoles start hot but seven losses in nine games has left them below the .500 mark on the year. Florida State has been awful on the defensive end of the floor and that’s not encouraging when you’re facing a team like the Wolfpack. With the Seminoles reeling and leaky defensively, take the visitors in this one as NC State gets the win.
NC State vs. Florida State Over/Under Pick
- Over 161.5 (4 units)
NC State has gone over the number in eight of their 16 games on the year. The Wolfpack has been sound defensively, ranking 50th in defensive efficiency, 175th in effective field goal percentage defense (50.8%), 41st in forced turnover percentage (20.3%) and 135th in field goal percentage defense (42.6%) on the year. NC State is 125th in tempo with 69.3 possessions a night. Florida State has seen the under post a 9-6 mark in their 15 games with a posted total. The Seminoles are 203rd in effective field goal percentage defense (51.5%), 12th in forced turnover percentage (22.1%), 294th in allowed offensive rebounding percentage (34.1%) and 247th in field goal percentage defense (44.6%) this season. Florida State is 13th in the nation in tempo with 73.1 possessions a night. With the Seminoles weak defensively and both teams content to run, this game winds up over the number.
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