NC State Wolfpack vs SMU Mustangs Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday February 3 2026
The NC State Wolfpack, currently holding a solid 16-6 record overall and an impressive 7-2 mark in ACC play, are hitting the road to take on the SMU Mustangs at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas. The Wolfpack are hoping to keep up their strong form in the conference this season as they face an SMU squad that sits at 15-6 overall and 4-4 in the ACC. Get involved in the action with our free college basketball picks.
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NC State vs. SMU Game Information
- February 3, 2026
- 9:00pm EST
- Moody Coliseum
- ESPN2
SMU Form & Recent Results
SMU enters this upcoming game hoping to bounce back from a tough loss, having fallen to Louisville on the road with a final score of 88-74. Despite that setback, the Mustangs have some momentum on their side, as they’ve managed to win three of their last five games, a positive run that shows they’re still in strong form this season. In Saturday’s contest against Louisville, Boopie Miller stood out for SMU with an impressive 20 points and 4 assists, demonstrating his importance as a playmaker. Samet Yigitoglu was another key contributor, snagging 8 rebounds and helping to control the boards. The Mustangs managed to shoot 32% from the three-point line and even led the game for more than half its duration, but ultimately couldn’t close it out on the road.
Boopie Miller has been at the heart of SMU’s offense this season, leading the team by averaging a remarkable 19.4 points per game. He’s closely followed by Jaron Pierre Jr., who has contributed an average of 17 points each game, giving the Mustangs a strong one-two punch in scoring. On the glass, Samet Yigitoglu has been a steady force, averaging 8.1 rebounds this season, while Miller also leads the team in assists, dishing out 6.6 per game. Over their last five games, SMU has put up an average of 78.6 points, showing they’re capable of scoring in bunches. The Mustangs have also built an impressive record at home, boasting a nearly spotless 12-1 mark while averaging 91 points per game on their own court. As they prepare to face NC State on Tuesday night, SMU will be aiming to use their home-court advantage to notch another conference victory and get their season back on track. 
NC State Form & Recent Results
NC State heads into this game riding the momentum of a four-game winning streak, showing some of their best basketball of the season so far. The Wolfpack has taken victories in four of their last five games, showcasing both resilience and depth. In their most recent game, a commanding 96-78 win over Wake Forest on Saturday in Winston-Salem, Paul McNeil Jr. led the offensive attack, putting up 28 points to anchor the scoreboard. Ven-Allen Lubin was strong on the boards, collecting 8 rebounds, while Quadir Copeland showcased his vision by dishing out 10 assists. As a team, NC State was firing on all cylinders. They shot an impressive 54% from the field and an even hotter 57% from downtown. With only 8 turnovers, 30 rebounds, and leading for nearly the entire contest, the Wolfpack looked confident and well prepared on both ends of the floor.
Darrion Williams has been the go-to scorer for NC State this year, averaging a solid 14.7 points per game. He’s closely followed by Quadir Copeland and Paul McNeil Jr., who have each contributed an average of 14 points, giving the team a strong trio of reliable scoring threats. On the glass, Ven-Allen Lubin sets the pace with an average of 7 rebounds per game, helping control the tempo and create extra possessions. Copeland also leads in facilitating the offense, averaging 6.5 assists and helping the team's offense run smoothly. Over the last five games, NC State’s offense has been clicking, putting up an average of 83.8 points per game. They're especially tough on the road, boasting a 5-1 record away from home while averaging 87 points. As they aim for their eighth ACC win, they’ll be tested by an SMU squad that has built a reputation for being especially tough on their home court.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sean Higgs | +1,855.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,497.00 |
| 3 |  Ben Burns | +1,112.00 |
| 4 |  Ross Benjamin | +618.00 |
| 5 |  Bryan Power | +607.00 |
Key Stats
- NC State Wolfpack this season: 48% field goal percentage, 36.0 rebounds, 16.8 assists, 3.0 blocks, 8.6 steals per game
- SMU Mustangs this season: 49% field goal percentage, 38.1 rebounds, 17.3 assists, 3.9 blocks, 7.7 steals per game
Betting Odds & Market Overview:
- NCSU -2.5; O/U 161.5
NC State vs. SMU Picks and Prediction
SMU’s impressive performances on their own court will be put to the test against NC State’s strong track record in conference competition when the two teams meet in Dallas on Tuesday night. The Mustangs are hoping that the energy and familiarity of playing at home will give them the extra edge they need, especially since they've had a mixed start to their conference season, splitting their first eight games down the middle. Meanwhile, NC State comes into this game with a lot of confidence, having come out on top in seven of their first nine ACC matchups. Their offense, which has been particularly effective on the road, will be something they’ll look to lean on as they aim to keep their momentum going in this matchup. Final Score Prediction, SMU Mustangs win 82-78.
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