Nevada Wolf Pack vs Air Force Falcons Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday, January 17, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s a Mountain West Conference meeting on Saturday, Jan. 17. Read our Nevada vs Air Force prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. Nevada is 12-5 overall this season and they are 4-2 in conference play. The Wolf Pack have lost two of their last three games coming into this game. Air Force is 3-14 and they are suffering under a 10-game losing streak. The Falcons have lost six straight home games by double-digits. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 4 P.M. EST.
Nevada close to knocking off ranked Utah State
Nevada is 12-5 overall this season. The Wolf Pack is in fourth place in the Mountain West Conference with a 4-2 conference record. Nevada has a 3-2 record when playing on the road this season. After winning seven straight games, Nevada has lost two of their last three games.
In their last game, Nevada lost 71-62 to No. 23 Utah State away from home on Wednesday, Jan. 14. The Wolf Pack led 44-40 in the second half, but the Aggies put together a 14-2 run, which was a difference in the win. Nevada shot 34% from the field and 44% from behind the 3-point line. They did turn the bal over 14 times, which led to 21 points for Utah State. Corey Camper Jr. led the team with 14 points on 5-for-13 shooting.
Camper leads the team with 15.5 points per game. Elijah Price is grabbing 8.8 rebounds, while Tayshawn Comer is passing for a team-high 3.8 assists per game.
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Nevada is ranked 73rd in the country according to KenPom. The site has the Wolf Pack as the 67th ranked offense and the 109th placed defense in the nation.
Nevada is averaging 76.2 points per game, which ranks 247th. The Wolf Pack shot 43.3% from the field, which ranks 285th. They are the 29th best 3-point shooting team, making 37.5% from behind the arc.
On defense, Nevada is allowing 71.9 points per game, which ranks 102nd in the league. The Wolf Pack are allowing 44.3% from the field, which ranks 219th. The team is also allowing 34% from behind the 3-point line, ranking the team’s defense 220th.
Nevada is 9-8 against the spread this season. The Wolf Pack are 4-3 against the spread when playing on a road or neutral site. They are 0-1 against the spread as a road favorite. Nevada is 4-2 against the spread versus conference opponents. The over is 9-8 when Nevada has played this season. The under is 4-2 during conference play. The under is 4-1 during true road games.
Air Force struggles continue, riding 10 straight losses
Air Force is 3-14 overall this season. The Falcons are 0-6 in Mountain West Conference play as they are the worst team in the league. They are 3-8 when playing at home this year. They have lost 10 straight games coming into this game. Air Force have lost six straight home games, all by double-digits.
In their last game, Air Force lost 70-62 to San Jose State away from home on Tuesday, Jan. 13. Air Force cut San Jose State’s lead to 51-48 in the second half. But, the Spartans went on an 11-3 run to secure the win. Air Force shot 45% from the field and 36% from behind the arc. Lucas Hobin led the team with 16 points on 4-for-9 shooting.
Kam Sanders leads the team with 12.1 points and 3.2 assists per game. Eli Robinson is grabbing 5.4 rebounds per game to lead the roster, too.
According to KenPom, Air Force is the 342nd ranked team in the nation. They have the 356th ranked offense and the 260th ranked defense this season.
Air Force is averaging 65.9 points per game, which is the seventh-worst mark in the nation. They rank 279th in shooting, hitting 43.4% from the field. The Falcons are making 29.4% from behind the 3-point line, placing them 347th.
On defense, Air Force is allowing 80.4 points per game, which ranks 283rd. The Falcons are allowing 46.6% from the field, placing them 313th. They are also the 269th ranked 3-point defensive team, with opponents making 34.9% from behind the arc.
Air Force is 7-10 against the spread this season. The Falcons are 4-7 against the spread when playing at home. They are 2-4 against the spread versus Mountain West foes. The Flacons have failed to cover in four straight games. The under is 9-8 when the Falcons have played this year. The over is 6-5 when playing at home. The over is 4-2 during conference play.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Air Force Falcons Picks
Nevada vs Air Force Spread Pick
- Take Nevada to cover (5 units)
Air Force is one of the worst teams in the nation. The Falcons are ranked 342nd in the country according to KenPom. Not only are they on a 10-game losing streak, but they aren’t coming close. The Falcons have lost six straight games at home with all of them being decided by double-digits. Nevada needs to get off to a hot start, which they are capable of and it should be an easy win for the Wolf Pack. Nevada has the 67th ranked offense and they are going against an Air Force defense that is allowing more than 80 points per game. This should be a blow out win for the Wolf Pack, who are 4-2 against the spread in conference games.
Take Nevada to cover.
Nevada vs Air Force Over/Under Pick
- Take the under (5 units)
These are two of the slowest teams in the country. Nevada ranks 304th while Air Force is the 336th team in pace this season. Both teams go deep into shot clocks and rarely score in transition. The Falcons are averaging the seventh-fewest points in the country, too. Nevada’s offense isn’t much better ranking 247th in points per game. The under is 9-8 during Air Force games this season. The under is 4-1 during Nevada road games.
Take the under on Saturday.
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