New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams Picks Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, January 6, 2026
Use Code WWWC The New Mexico Lobos (11-3, 2-1 Mountain West) meet the Colorado State Rams (10-4, 1-2 Mountain West) on Tuesday night at Moby Arena in Fort Collins, Colorado. Tipoff is set for 9:00 PM ET, with coverage on MWN. New Mexico enters after a dominant home win over Wyoming, while Colorado State is fresh off a road win against Grand Canyon. Both teams sit near the top half of the Mountain West standings. New Mexico won its most recent game by a 78-58 margin against Wyoming. Colorado State responded to a prior loss with a 70-60 win at Grand Canyon. Basketball glory awaits! Check out our top NCAAB picks for New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams Picks prediction.
New Mexico Lobos Grinding With Depth and Physical Play
The New Mexico Lobos enter this matchup with an 11-3 record and a 2-1 mark in Mountain West play, averaging 79.6 points while allowing 67.4 points per game. In the most recent outing, New Mexico controlled Wyoming from start to finish, holding the Cowboys under 60 points and building a lead with defense and rebounding. Tomislav Buljan led the way with a 25-point performance, setting the tone inside and on the glass.
Offensively, New Mexico spreads scoring rather than leaning on a single scorer. Jake Hall leads the team at 13.2 points per game, while Buljan adds 12.5 points and a team-high 9.4 rebounds. The Lobos shoot 45 percent from the field as a team and average 14.4 assists, showing a preference for half-court execution over transition possessions. The rebounding edge also matters, with New Mexico pulling down 37.1 boards per game and generating extra chances through offensive rebounds.
Defensively, New Mexico’s numbers are solid. Opponents score 67.4 points per game, and the Lobos add 7.5 steals and 3.1 blocks. That activity showed up against Wyoming, where New Mexico forced contested looks and avoided foul trouble. The road loss at Boise State stands out, but the overall trend shows New Mexico keeping games at a normal pace rather than turning contests into track meets.
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Injuries: Sir Marius Jones and Kallai Patton are out, while Chris Howell and Timeo Pons are questionable.
Colorado State Rams Leaning on Shooting and Ball Movement
The Colorado State Rams have a 10-4 overall record and a 1-2 conference mark, averaging 80.9 points per game while allowing 71.5. Colorado State snapped back in the most recent game with a win at Grand Canyon, limiting scoring chances and winning the rebounding battle enough to stay in control late. That followed a rough home loss to Nevada and a lopsided defeat at Utah State earlier in conference play.
Colorado State’s offense is built around efficiency at the rim and perimeter shot-making. The Rams shoot 51 percent from the field as a team and nearly 42 percent from three-point range. Kyle Jorgensen leads the scoring at 13.8 points per game on 63.7 percent shooting, while Carey Booth adds 12.4 points and 7.1 rebounds. Multiple players shoot above 43 percent from deep, giving Colorado State a strong perimeter offense.
Ball movement stands out with 16.9 assists per game, led by Jevin Muniz at 4.6 assists. That passing fuels scoring runs, but turnovers remain an issue at 11.3 per game. Defensively, Colorado State allows more points than New Mexico and does not generate the same level of steals or blocks. When the perimeter shots fall, the Rams can overwhelm opponents. When shots dry up, recent losses show the margin for error shrinks fast.
Injuries: Kyle Jorgensen is out, while Rashaan Mbembo is questionable
New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams Picks Pick
Spread Pick for New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams Picks
- Colorado State Rams to Win (5 Units)
Colorado State gets the nod in this matchup based on offensive strength and shooting percentages that are hard to ignore while playing at home. The Rams shoot 51 percent from the field compared to New Mexico’s 45 percent, and Colorado State’s three-point accuracy adds a layer that New Mexico does not consistently match. New Mexico’s defense is strong, but Colorado State’s ability to score without relying on one player reduces risk across forty minutes. If the Rams keep turnovers near the season average and maintain rebounding, the offensive gap should show.
Over/Under Pick for New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams Picks
- Over (4 Units)
Both teams average close to 80 points per game, and Colorado State games trend higher due to the number of shots and pace. New Mexico’s defense can slow stretches, but Colorado State’s shooting percentages force opponents to answer with scoring rather than grind-only possessions. The Rams have cleared 70 points in four of the last five games, while New Mexico has topped 75 in four of the last five as well. With multiple scorers on both sides and strong free-throw shooting, this matchup points toward a total that climbs steadily instead of stalling.
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