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New Mexico Lobos vs San Diego State Aztecs Picks and Predictions for Saturday, January 17, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 01/17/2026, 07:55 AM ET
Wyoming vs San Diego St. prediction

The New Mexico Lobos will be on the road Saturday night for an 8:00 PM game in Viejas Arena against the San Diego Aztecs, and we have you ready to roll with our New Mexico vs San Diego State prediction. New Mexico is playing well this year, coming into Saturday with 14 wins and 3 losses overall. San Diego State returns home Saturday with 12 wins and 4 losses this season. The Lobos are on a 4-game winning streak coming into Saturday following a 23-point home win against Grand Canyon in their last outing. San Diego State rides a long winning streak into Saturday following a 17-point road win in Wyoming last time out. Read more about this New Mexico vs San Diego State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

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New Mexico tries to extend winning streak

The New Mexico Lobos offense has been the team's biggest strength this season, averaging 80.8 points on 46% shooting from the floor, and New Mexico is averaging 84 points per game during its current 4-game winning streak. Defensively, the Lobos have allowed 66.2 points per game this season through 17 games played and 60.25 points per game over their last four wins. Defensively, New Mexico was fantastic in their last outing, giving up 64 points on 34% from the floor and 26% from beyond the arc. Offensively, the Lobos rolled, scoring 87 points, including 49 in the second half, on 53% shooting from the floor and 50% from beyond the arc. The Lobos pulled in 39 rebounds and forced 9 turnovers to seal the victory. Jake Hall led the way for the New Mexico offense in their last outing with 22 points on 12 shots in 30 minutes. Luke Haupt and Deyton Albury both chipped in heavily for New Mexico, scoring 11 points apiece. Uriah Tennette led the way off the New Mexico beach with 14 points, while JT Rock added 13 points in 20 minutes off the bench.

Jake Hall leads the New Mexico offense this season, averaging 14.6 points per game. Deyton Albury is second on the roster with 11.6 points to go along with the team-leading 3.7 assists. Big man Tomislav Buljan averages 11.3 points, along with the team-leading 9.5 rebounds per game. Uriah Tennette is averaging 10.8 points as the fourth player on the team in double digits.

Key Injury Report for New Mexico:

  • Kevin Patton Jr. (Questionable) - Undisclosed
  • Kallai Patton (Out) - Redshirt
  • Sir Marius Jones (Out) - Undisclosed
  • Chris Howell (Questionable) - Wrist

San Diego State looks to stay undefeated in conference

The San Diego State Aztecs have been a strong offensive end this season, averaging 81.9 points on 48% shooting from the floor. Defensively, San Diego State has been top-tier, holding opponents to 71.8 points per game, and has given up an average of 70.4 points per game over their last five wins, including 39 points per game over their last three victories. The San Diego State defense controlled their last outing, giving up 57 points on 31% for the floor 29% from beyond the arc. Offensively, the Aztecs were phenomenal, pouring in 74 points on 50% shooting from the floor and knocking down 7 triples in the game. The Aztecs pulled in 34 rebounds and forced 11 turnovers in the win. Reese Dixon-Waters led the way for the San Diego State offense in their last outing with 13 points on nine shots in 23 minutes. Miles Byrd added 12 points on seven shots as the other starter in double digits. Tae Simmons led the way off the San Diego State bench with 10 points on six shots in 14 minutes.

BJ Davis leads the San Diego State offense this season, averaging 11.8 points per game. Reese Dixon-Waters is second on the team with 11.2 points this year. Miles Byrd averages 10 points to go along with a team-leading 2.8 assists per game. Miles Heide averages 5.9 points and leads San Diego State, pulling in 5.2 rebounds per game. Magoon Gwath is 4th on the team this year, averaging 9.7 points in just under 19 minutes per game.

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Key Injury Report for San Diego State :

  • None

New Mexico vs San Diego State Pick

  • New Mexico vs San Diego State Spread Pick

Both teams have found early-season success, but San Diego State is the hotter of the two. New Mexico has the better record, but the Aztecs are running extremely well coming into Saturday. Look for San Diego State to use their better offense and home fans on both sides of the ball to extend their winning streak. Take the ads ex Saturday afternoon to pick up their 13th victory of the season and remain undefeated in conference as they get the win and cover at home over New Mexico.

  • New Mexico vs San Diego State Over/Under Pick

Both teams have strong offenses, and each will look to score the ball in bunches on Saturday. Expect a shootout, as both defenses have been lackluster over the last few outings. Take the over on Saturday afternoon as two of the top teams in the Mountain West square off. San Diego State will get the win and cover Saturday afternoon in a conference shootout.

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