New Mexico Lobos vs VCU Rams Prediction and Picks - December 10, 2025
Use Code WWWC Wednesday evening college hoops action, and we have a New Mexico vs VCU prediction ready to rock and roll. New Mexico comes in off a 98-71 home win over Santa Clara, which moved them to 7-2 on the year. The Rams enter this contest at 6-3 on the year, and they are off an 83-67 home win over Samford. These teams met last year and New Mexico won that game at home by a score of 78-71. Continue reading to see our New Mexico vs VCU prediction.
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Lobos Lasso The Broncos With Ease
New Mexico’s most recent game was a 98–71 win over Santa Clara on December 6, where Deyton Albury scored 22 points on 9‑of‑12 shooting and added six assists. The Lobos shot nearly 60% from the field and pulled away in the second half, marking their fourth straight victory and improving to 7‑2 on the season.
Offensively, New Mexico has been efficient, averaging 82.2 points per game while shooting 45.4% from the field. They knock down 34.0% from three and hit 74.5% at the line, with freshman Jake Hall (13.3 PPG) and Albury (12.6 PPG) leading the backcourt. Tomislav Buljan has been a force inside, averaging a double‑double with 12.3 points and 11.0 rebounds, giving the Lobos balance between perimeter scoring and interior presence. Their assist numbers (15.7 per game) show a willingness to share the ball, and they’ve scored 93 or more points in three straight contests.
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Defensively, New Mexico holds opponents to 69.0 points per game and just 29.5% from three, ranking among the better units nationally in perimeter defense. They force 15.8 turnovers per game, which fuels their transition attack. While rebounding has been solid (37.6 per game), the Lobos can be vulnerable in the paint against bigger frontcourts. Still, their ability to push pace and convert turnovers into points makes them dangerous against any opponent.
Rams Have No Problem With Samford
VCU’s most recent game was an 83–57 win over Samford on December 5, where Terrence Hill Jr. came off the bench to score 22 points on 8‑of‑14 shooting. The Rams dominated the boards with a 52–34 advantage and closed the game on a 49–26 second‑half run, improving to 6‑3 overall and 4‑0 at home.
Offensively, VCU averages 84.3 points per game, shooting 45.0% from the field and 35.8% from three. They’ve been aggressive at drawing fouls, attempting nearly 28 free throws per game, though their conversion rate sits at 69.8%. Hill (13.1 PPG) and Jadrian Tracey (12.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG) lead a balanced attack, while Lazar Djokovic adds size and scoring inside. Barry Evans has been a versatile contributor, averaging 9.4 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 2.9 assists, giving the Rams a glue player who impacts multiple areas.
Defensively, VCU allows 70.9 points per game and holds opponents to 41.1% shooting. They rebound well (39.2 per game) and block shots at a solid clip (4.7 per game), with Keyshawn Mitchell and Djokovic providing rim protection. Their perimeter defense has been inconsistent, allowing opponents to shoot 33.1% from three, but their ability to control the glass and force tough shots inside has kept them competitive. At home, the Rams have been especially tough, and their physical style could test New Mexico’s offensive rhythm
New Mexico vs VCU Pick
New Mexico vs VCU Spread Pick
- New Mexico +9 (5 Units)
New Mexico looks like a live dog here, especially given how they’ve been playing lately. Their most recent outing was a 98–71 win over Santa Clara on December 6, where Deyton Albury scored 22 points and the Lobos shot nearly 60% from the field. They broke the game open with a dominant second‑half run and controlled the boards 42–29, marking their fourth straight victory. For the season, New Mexico averages 82.2 points per game and has multiple scoring options, with freshman Jake Hall (13.3 PPG) and Tomislav Buljan (12.3 PPG, 11.0 RPG) leading the way. Their ability to push pace and force turnovers (15.8 per game) gives them a chance to keep this matchup close even against a tough VCU defense.
VCU, meanwhile, is coming off an 83–57 win over Samford on December 5, where Terrence Hill Jr. scored 22 points and the Rams dominated the boards. They average 84.3 points per game and have been strong at home, but their free‑throw shooting sits at just 69.8%, and they’ve allowed opponents to shoot 41.1% from the field. While VCU has size and depth, New Mexico’s balanced scoring and perimeter defense (holding opponents to 29.5% from three) make them well‑suited to hang around. Getting nine points feels generous given the Lobos’ recent form, and their offensive efficiency should allow them to cover the number even if VCU pulls out the win.
New Mexico vs VCU Over/Under Pick
- Under 155.5 (4 Units)
The Under 155.5 makes sense in New Mexico–VCU given how both teams match up. New Mexico’s most recent outing was a 98–71 win over Santa Clara on December 6, where they shot nearly 60% from the field, but the Lobos typically average 82.2 points per game and rely on efficiency rather than sheer pace. VCU, meanwhile, is coming off an 83–57 win over Samford on December 5, and while they average 84.3 points per game, their free‑throw shooting sits at just 69.8% and they allow only 70.9 points per game defensively. Both teams have strong rebounding numbers and can slow possessions down, and with VCU’s physical style paired against New Mexico’s perimeter defense (holding opponents to 29.5% from three), this matchup leans toward a grind rather than a track meet, making the Under 155.5 a reasonable angle.
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