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New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 4, 2026

By: Chris King Published 02/04/2026, 08:05 AM ET
New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech Prediction

A pair of Conference USA opponents take the floor in search of a victory as they do battle on the hardwood in the Pelican State as the New Mexico State Aggies are on the road as they travel to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Wednesday night and we have you covered with our New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech prediction. New Mexico State was walloped 76-53 on the road by Kennesaw State Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 3.5-point underdog, in their previous contest. Louisiana Tech was dropped 83-67 on the road by Sam Houston State in their previous game Saturday, failing to cover the line as a 7.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, the Aggies own a 17-6 advantage and have won the past two meetings, including a 67-55 road win in the most recent matchup March 6, 2025. Read more about this New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech prediction! Get our top NCAAB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!

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New Mexico State Looking to Snap Slide

New Mexico State suffered a fourth straight loss and their sixth in their last seven games as they were whipped by Kennesaw State on the road Saturday. The Aggies fell to 10-11 overall and stand 11th in Conference USA with a 3-8 mark in conference play. Against Kennesaw State, New Mexico State started strong, scoring the game’s first eight points and they led 10-1 with 15:47 to play in the first half before things fell apart. The Aggies were outscored 42-14 the rest of the half to trail 43-24 at intermission and never made a serious push the rest of the way. New Mexico State shot a putrid 25% from the floor, including two of 16 from beyond the arc, and lost the rebounding battle 38-30 in the game. Jemel Jones led the Aggies with 13 points in the loss.

For the season, the Aggies are 208th in the nation in scoring offense as they average 75.3 points per game. New Mexico State collects an average of 37.3 rebounds a night (101st) while dishing an average of 13.3 assists per contest. The Aggies are 86th in the nation in scoring defense as they give up an average of 70.3 points per game. Jemel Jones is one of two players averaging in double figures as he puts up 15.8 points and four rebounds per contest. Julius Mims (10.6 points, 8.2 rebounds), Elijah Elliott (9.9 points) and Jayland Randall (8.6 points, 3.1 rebounds) are secondary scoring options. Anthony Wrzeszcz, Jae’Coby Osborne, Kyrese Mullen, Cyr Malonga, Chris Terrell, Gabe Pickens and Augustine Ekwe are looked at to contribute on both ends of the floor. New Mexico State is shooting 43.3% from the field as a team this season, putting them 284th in Division I. The Aggies are connecting on 7.9 three-pointers a night while sinking 33.7% of their attempts from beyond the arc. New Mexico State is slightly above average at the charity stripe as they convert 72.7% of their attempts this season, leaving them 168th in Division I.

Key Injury Report for New Mexico State:

  • No Key Injuries

Bulldogs Seeking to Get On Track at Home

Louisiana Tech had won four of their previous five before getting knocked off on the road by Sam Houston State Saturday. The Bulldogs fell to 12-9 overall and stand 5-5 in Conference USA action on the year. Against Sam Houston State, Louisiana Tech trailed by as many as six and led by one in the first half before heading to the locker room down 34-32 at intermission. The Bulldogs trailed by as many as 17 in the second half and never got closer than two en route to the loss. Louisiana Tech shot 42.4% from the floor, including five of 18 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 12 times in the loss. DJ Dudley led the Bulldogs with 21 points in a losing effort.

The Bulldogs are putting up an average of 68.8 points per game, putting them 324th in the nation in scoring offense this season. Louisiana Tech grabs 39.4 rebounds per contest (40th) and dishes out 11.8 assists per game. The Bulldogs allow an average of 62.2 points per game, putting them 3rd in the nation. AJ Bates is one of three players for the Bulldogs averaging in double figures as he averages 10.8 points and 5.5 assists a night. DJ Dudley (14.5 points) and Kaden Cooper (9.2 points, 7.4 rebounds) are good secondary scoring options. Scooter Williams (10.3 points), Avery Thomas II, Sir Issac Herron, Jaylen Fenner, Keegan Rowell, Kylan Howze, Melian Martinez, Will Jeffress, Will Allen and Jermaurhiyun Anderson are key role players for the Bulldogs. Louisiana Tech shoots 43.8% from the floor as a team, leaving them 270th in Division I on the year. The team hits 30.4% from beyond the arc while averaging 5.7 triples per contest. Louisiana Tech cashes in a putrid 64.8% of their chances at the free throw line this season, putting them 359th in Division I.

Key Injury Report for Louisiana Tech:

  • Forward Will Jeffress (undisclosed) is out.

New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech Pick

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New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech Spread Pick

  • Louisiana Tech (4 units)

New Mexico State has hit the skids of late with six losses in their last seven games heading into this contest. The Aggies are just 1-5 on the road on the year, with their lone victory a Quad 4 affair over Delaware, ranked 296th in the NET rankings. Louisiana Tech is a stellar 11-1 at home on the year and they have done a stellar job on the defensive end of the floor. The Bulldogs rank third in the nation in scoring defense and are solid on the glass, which should work in their favor as well. Seeing how New Mexico State has fallen apart, sputters on the road and faces a good Louisiana Tech defensive squad, look for the Bulldogs to come up with the home win here.

New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech Over/Under Pick

  • Under (4 units)

New Mexico State has gone over the number in 10 of their 18 games with a posted total this season. The Aggies are 230th in defensive efficiency, 86th in scoring defense, 50th in field goal percentage defense (41.1%) and 52nd in three-point defense (30.6%) on the year. New Mexico State is 240th in adjusted tempo with 66.1 possessions a night. Louisiana Tech has seen the under post an 11-7 mark in their 18 games with a posted total on the year. The Bulldogs are 141st in defensive efficiency though they are 7th in field goal percentage defense (38.3%) and 53rd in three-point defense (30.6%) on the year. Louisiana Tech is below average in tempo as they are 352nd with an average of 63 possessions a night. The Bulldogs are content to win a rock fight so look for this one to stay under the total.

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