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Northern Kentucky Norse vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, March 4, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 03/04/2026, 06:10 AM ET
Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Northern Kentucky prediction

The Northern Kentucky Norse will be on the road Wednesday night with the game in Rochester at 7:00 PM against the Oakland Golden Grizzlies in round one of the Horizon League championship tournament, and we have you ready to roll with our Northern Kentucky vs Oakland prediction. Northern Kentucky comes into the conference tournament with eighteen wins and 13 losses this season. Oakland comes into this matchup with sixteen wins and 15 losses. Northern Kentucky has been up and down as of late after winning three of the last five, following a one-point home loss in their last game. Oakland comes into this game struggling a bit, having lost 3 of the last 5 games, following a 6-point loss to Detroit Mercy last time out.  Read more about this Northern Kentucky vs Oakland prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

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Northern Kentucky looks to end woes

Offensively, Northern Kentucky is averaging 82.5 points on 47% shooting before this season. Defensively, Northern Kentucky has held its own, allowing 76.5 points per game this year through 31 games played. Offensively, Northern Kentucky scored the ball well in their last outing, pouring in 91 points on 53% shooting and 36% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Northern Kentucky was outmatched, giving up 92 points, including 57 in the second half, to blow an 18-point halftime lead as Wright State shot 56% from the floor and 50% from beyond the arc. Northern Kentucky lost 3 bounding battle by double digits, but turned the ball over 8 times in the game. Donovan Oday led the way for Northern Kentucky in their last outing with 21 points on 12 shots.

Donovan Oday leads to another consecutive offense this season, averaging 18.7 points per game. Dan Gherezgher is second-team learning, averaging 15.8 points per game. Big man LJ Wells averages 14.2 points to go along with the team-leading 7.1 rebounds. Kael Robinson is third on the team with 13.8 points per game. Ethan Elliott averages 5.2 points to go along with the team-leading 4.3 assists per game.

 Key Injury Report for Northern Kentucky:

  • None

Oakland hunts the upset

The Oakland offense has been solid all year, averaging 82.5 points on 48% shooting from the floor. Defensively, Oakland has struggled immensely, allowing 81.6 points per game this season and 85.6 on average over its last three losses. Offensively, Oakland was strong, pouring in 89 points on 54% shooting and 42% from beyond the arc. Defensively, Oakland was outmatched, giving up 95 points on 54% shooting. Oakland won the rebounding battle but turned the ball over 13 times in the loss. Tuburu Naivalurua led the way for the Oakland offense in their last outing with 24 points on 12 shots.

Brody Robinson leads the Oakland offense this season with 17 points and 6.8 assists per game. Tuburu Naivalurua is 2nd on the roster, adding 14.3 points per game this season. Big man Isaac Garrett averages 13.7 points to go along with the team-leading 7.2 rebounds per game. Michael Houge averages 12.7 points, and Ziare Wells is fifth on the team with 10.1 points per game this season.

Key Injury Report for Oakland:

  • None

Northern Kentucky vs Oakland Pick

  • Northern Kentucky vs Oakland Spread Pick

Northern Kentucky is a better team in this matchup and will do the work on Wednesday. Both teams score more than 80 points per game, but the Northern Kentucky defense will be the difference. Look for Northern Kentucky to get the stops down the stretch against a strong Oakland team in round one of the conference tournament. Take Northern Kentucky on Wednesday night to do the job, as they get the win and cover in Michigan against Oakland.

  • Northern Kentucky vs Oakland Over/Under Pick

Both teams score a ton of points and give up a handful as well. Look for a scoring onslaught Wednesday night between two of the better teams in the Horizon League. This game will turn into an offensive smoke show as each team looks to run up the score in pursuit of a victory. Take Northern Kentucky on Wednesday night to get the win and cover, but the number will go well over the total in round one of the conference tournament.

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