Ohio vs. Saint Mary’s Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, November 11, 2025

By: Victor King Published 11/11/2025, 03:11 AM ET
Ohio vs. Saint Mary’s prediction
Use Code WWWC

Ohio Bobcats (1-1) vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels (2-0) 

The college basketball betting action goes on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, with the Ohio Bobcats facing off against the Saint Mary’s Gaels in the non-conference showdown at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA, so we’ve prepared the Ohio vs. Saint Mary’s prediction to get you covered.

Ohio meets Saint Mary’s for the first time since 2007, when the Gaels outlasted the Bobcats 70-63. Let’s look closer at this Ohio vs. Saint Mary’s prediction, one of our NCAAB picks for Tuesday night. The tip-off at University Credit Union Pavilion is set at 10:00 PM ET.

Ohio played a couple of close games in the opening week           

The Ohio Bobcats (1-1; 1-1 ATS; 1-1 O/U) started their 2025-26 campaign with an 89-85 home defeat to Arkansas State on opening night. The Bobcats allowed a whopping 57 points in the second half and were outrebounded 41-25. Ohio shot 49.2% from the field (8-for-26 from deep), and senior forward Aidan Hadaway led the way with 28 points and six rebounds.

Three days later, the Bobcats outlasted Illinois State 72-68 in front of the home audience. Ohio made just one of its eight shots from deep but went 27-for-47 from inside the arc. The Bobcats outscored the Redbirds 50-30 in the paint, and senior guard Jackson Paveletzke notched 19 points and six assists. Paveletzke had 16 points and two dimes against Arkansas State.

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Ohio returns 42.3% of minutes played and 37.1% of points scored from its 2024-25 roster. The Bobcats went 16-16 overall and 10-8 in conference play last season, scoring 106.8 points per 100 possessions (163rd in the country) and allowing 108.5 points in return (215th). Paveletzke was one of their best players with 13.8 points and 4.8 assists per game, while Hadaway was adding 10.2 points and 5.8 boards a night.

Saint Mary’s shoots for its third straight W             

The Saint Mary’s Gaels (2-0; 2-0 ATS; 1-1 O/U) opened the season on November 3, too, trouncing St. Thomas-Minnesota 84-58 in front of the home fans. The Gaels outrebounded the Tommies 41-24 while shooting 50.9% from the field (11-for-26 from deep). Sophomore guard Mikey Lewis scored 23 points, and fellow sophomore G Joshua Dent added 18 points, six assists, and three steals.

Last Friday, Lewis went off for 28 points and five assists in the Gaels’ 87-66 home victory against Chattanooga. Junior forward Paulius Murauskas posted a line of 22 points, eight rebounds, and five assists, while sophomore center Andrew McKeever had 16 points and eight boards. The Gaels made 57.8% of their field goals (8-for-16 from deep) and 93.1% of their free throws (27-for-29).

Saint Mary’s returns 32.0% of minutes played and 38.1% of scoring from its 2024-25 roster. Last season, the Gaels went 29-6 overall and 17-1 in conference play. They lost to Gonzaga 58-51 in the WCC Tournament Final and Alabama 80-66 in the second round of the 2025 March Madness. The Gaels were 59th in the country in adjusted offensive efficiency (114.1 points per 100 possessions) and eighth in adjusted defensive efficiency (93.0).

Ohio vs. Saint Mary’s Pick 

Spread Pick for Ohio vs. Saint Mary’s        

  • Saint Mary’s (4 units) 

Under Randy Bennett, the Gaels are known for their sturdy defense and slow pace on the offensive side of the ball. Yet, the Gaels execute their offense at a high level, and the Bobcats are not a great defensive team by any stretch of the imagination.

Ohio’s offense is decent, but the Bobcats will struggle to contain the Gaels for 40 minutes. Saint Mary’s will take full advantage of Ohio’s defensive shortcomings while dominating the Bobcats on the glass. I will lay points with the Gaels in this matchup.

Over/Under Pick for Ohio vs. Saint Mary’s        

  • Over (4 units) 

The Gaels play at the fourth-slowest pace in the nation. It’s a small sample size, but like I said, the Gaels have been playing at a slow pace for years. On the other side, the Bobcats love to push the ball in transition. They were 42nd in the nation in pace last season, tallying 70.6 possessions per 40 minutes.

The Bobcats take good care of the ball, and they will try everything they can to force the Gaels to run up and down the floor. Ohio’s defense will struggle, but the Bobcats should score enough to push the total over the line. The over is 10-3 in Ohio’s last 13 games played in November.

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