Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Picks, Prediction, Odds and Line Movement for Saturday, January 3, 2026
It’s an conference tilt between foes from the Big 12 on the hardwood in the Lone Star State as the Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the #15 Texas Tech Red Raiders Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech prediction. Oklahoma State comes in off a 103-77 home win over Bethune-Cookman Monday night in their previous contest, failing to cover the line as a 26.5-point favorite. Texas Tech dropped Winthrop 87-57 at home in their previous contest Sunday, covering the line as a 18-point favorite. In the all-time series between the schools, the Cowboys own a 50-28 advantage but the Red Raiders have won four straight meetings, including a 93-55 road win in the most recent matchup, which came February 15, 2025. Read more about this Arkansas vs. Texas Tech prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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Oklahoma State Trying to Open Big 12 Play on Right Foot
Oklahoma State won their third straight game as they took down Bethune-Cookman Monday night at home in their non-conference finale. The Cowboys improved to 12-1 overall and now look to earn a win in their conference opener. Against Bethune-Cookman, Oklahoma State trailed 7-2 less than 90 seconds into the game but quickly recovered. The Cowboys took a 50-38 advantage at the half and opened the second half on an 8-0 run to put the game away. Oklahoma State led by as many as 29 en route to the victory. The Cowboys shot 47.1% from the field, including five of 14 from three-point range, and knocked down 34 of 42 free throws in the contest. Anthony Roy led Oklahoma State with 27 points in the win.
The Cowboys are putting up an average of 91.2 points per game on the offensive end of the floor, putting them 15th in the nation in scoring offense. Oklahoma State pulls down an average of 40.8 rebounds per contest while dishing out an average of 16.3 assists a night. The Cowboys have been below average defensively, surrendering an average of 78.3 points per contest, putting them 300th in the nation in scoring defense. Anthony Roy leads the team as he averages 17.3 points plus 3.7 rebounds per game this season. Vyctorius Miller (15.9 points, 2.9 rebounds), Parsa Fallah (13 points, 6.2 rebounds) and Jaylen Curry (12.4 points, 3.8 rebounds, 5.5 assists) provide solid secondary scoring options. Christian Coleman (12.2 points, 4.7 rebounds), Isaiah Coleman, Kanye Clary, Lefteris Mantzoukas, Andrija Vukovic, Robert Jennings II and Ryan Crotty are all solid contributors in the rotation. Oklahoma State is shooting 49.3% from the field this season. The Cowboys connect on 7.5 three-pointers a night while shooting 33.8% from beyond the arc on the year. Oklahoma State is above average at the free throw line as they convert 75.4% of their attempts on the year, leaving them 66th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for Oklahoma State:
- Forward Robert Jennings II (hip) is out.
- Forward Lefteris Mantzoukas (undisclosed) is questionable.
- Forward Andrija Vukovic (undisclosed) is questionable.
Red Raiders Shooting to Earn Win in Conference Action
Texas Tech earned their third straight win as they took care of business at home against Winthrop Sunday in their previous contest. The Red Raiders improved to 10-3 overall on the year and look to defend their home floor in the conference opener. Against Winthrop, Texas Tech put this one to bed early as they ran to a 35-4 lead with 8:08 to play in the first half and cruised the rest of the way. The Red Raiders were up 59-21 at the half and coasted in the second half to earn the win. Texas Tech shot 50% from the field, including 10 of 26 from three-point range, and held Winthrop to 31.7% shooting in the game. Christian Anderson led the Red Raiders with 29 points, six rebounds and five assists in the win.
The Red Raiders are averaging 83.8 points per game on the offensive end of the floor this season, putting them 73rd in the nation in scoring offense. Texas Tech is pulling down 37.5 boards a night while dishing out 15.5 assists per contest. The Red Raiders are average on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 177th in the nation by allowing 73.2 points a night. JT Toppin leads the team in scoring as he puts up 21 points plus 10.6 rebounds per contest on the season. LeJuan Watts (13.7 points, 5.6 rebounds) and Donovan Atwell (11 points) provide secondary scoring pop. Christian Anderson (20.6 points, 7.1 assists), Leon Horner, Tyeree Bryan, Jaylen Petty, Nolan Groves, Luke Bamgboye, Marial Akuentok, Jazz Henderson and Jack Francis are averaging solid minutes for coach Grant McCasland. Texas Tech is shooting 47.1% from the floor this season, which is 110th in the nation. The Red Raiders splash 10.6 threes a night while shooting 37.3% from beyond the arc, putting them 49th in Division I. Texas Tech is below average at the free throw line as they knock down 68.8% of their chances this season, putting them 274th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Texas Tech:
- Forward Marial Akuentok (lower body) is questionable.
- Forward Luke Bamgboye (leg) is questionable.
Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,414.00 |
| 2 |  The Insiders Room | +1,888.00 |
| 3 |  Joe Duffy | +1,822.00 |
| 4 |  Jackie Mack | +1,628.00 |
| 5 |  Mike Fink | +1,508.00 |
Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech Spread Pick
- Texas Tech -10.5 (4 units)
Both teams are very good on the offensive end of the floor but things deviate a bit after that. Oklahoma State has injury concerns in their rotation and they have struggled slowing down opposing teams when it comes to putting points on the board. This also marks the Cowboys’ first true road game of the year as they are 10-0 at home and 2-1 on semi-neutral or neutral floors. Oklahoma State lost against their toughest opponent this season, falling by nine against Oklahoma on a neutral floor December 13. Suffice it to say that Lubbock is a far more hostile environment and the Red Raiders are battle tested. Texas Tech takes care of business at home here to start Big 12 play on a positive note.
Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech Over/Under Pick
- Over 168.5 (4 units)
Oklahoma State has seen the over post an 8-5 mark this season. The Cowboys are 61st in offensive efficiency, 67th in effective field goal percentage (55.1%) and 42nd in field goal percentage this season. Oklahoma State’s defensive metrics aren’t terrible but they play at such a blistering pace, it gives the opposition a ton of opportunities. The Cowboys are fifth in adjusted tempo with 75.2 possessions a night. Texas Tech has seen the under hit in seven of their 13 games on the year. The Red Raiders are 14th in offensive efficiency, 52nd in defensive efficiency, 59th in effective field goal percentage (55.6%) and 70th in offensive rebounding percentage (34.9%) this season. Texas Tech will grind possessions as they are 219th in adjusted tempo with 68.4 possessions a night. With both offenses good and Oklahoma State looking to run, this game ends up over the number.
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