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Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia Southern Eagles, Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, March 4, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 03/04/2026, 06:50 AM ET
Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern Prediction

The Sun Belt Conference Tournament rolls on and the second-round begins on Wednesday, March 4. Read our Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. Old Dominion is the No. 11 seed and they are 12-20 overall this year. They defeated UL Monroe in the first round 87-80 in a win where they never trailed. Georgia Southern is 16-15 and they closed the regular season losing six of their last eight games.

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Old Dominion takes down UL Monroe in opening round

Old Dominion is 12-20 overall this season. The Monarchs ended the regular season with a 7-11 record and they are the No. 11 seed in the Sun Belt Conference. Old Dominion ended the regular season winning three of their last five games.

The Monarchs opened the Sun Belt Conference Tournament with an 87-80 win over UL Monroe in the first round. Old Dominion won wire-to-wire as the Warhawks never came close to coming back for the win. Old Dominion shot 50% from the field and 65% from behind the 3-point line. KC Shaw led the team with 25 points on 10-for-23 shooting.

Shaw leads the team with 17.1 points per game. Caelum Swanton-Rodger is grabbing a team-high 5.0 rebounds, while LJ Thomas is passing for 3.2 assists per game.

According to KenPom, Old Dominion is the 243rd ranked team in the nation. They have the 238th ranked offense, while they hold the same ranking on the defensive end.

Old Dominion is averaging 78.1 points per game, which ranks 166th in the nation. They are shooting 44.2% from the field, which places them 248th. The Monarchs are the 191st ranked 3-point shooting team, making 34% from behind the arc.

On defense, Old Dominion is allowing 80.1 points per game, which ranks 301st overall. They are giving up 44.3% from the field, which ranks 187th. The Monarchs are the 64th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 31.7% from behind the arc.

Old Dominion is 16-15 against the spread this season. They are 9-9 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Monarchs are 11-7 against the spread when playing Sun Belt opponents. Old Dominion is 12-9 against the spread as an underdog. The over is 19-11 when Purdue has played this season. The over is 12-6 when playing on the road this season. The over is 13-5 when Old Dominion has played Sun Belt opponents.

Georgia Southern limping into Sun Belt Tournament

Georgia Southern is 16-15 overall this season. The Eagles are the No. 10 seed in the Sun Belt Conference Tournament as they finished the regular season with an 8-10 record league record. Georgia Southern is 1-2 when playing on a neutral court this season. They closed the regular season losing six of their last eight games.

Georgia Southern defeated Old Dominion in both games that they played each other this year. The Eagles defeated the Monarchs 93-86 on the road on Jan. 3. They followed it with an 87-84 home win on Jan. 15.

Tyren Moore leads the team with 15.3 points per game. Alden Applewhite is grabbing a team-high 5.9 rebounds, while Spudd Webb is dishing out 2.5 assists per game.

Georgia Southern is the 266th ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are ranked 194th in the country on the offense end. They are also the 308th ranked defensive team.

Georgia Southern is averaging 83.1 points per game, which ranks 68th in the nation. They are the 299th ranked shooting team, making 43.1% from the field. The Eagles are making 32.4% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 271st.

On defense, Georgia Southern is allowing 82.5 points per game, which ranks 335th. They are the 246th ranked defensive team, allowing 45.1% from the field. The Eagles are also the 182nd ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 33.7% from behind the arc.

Georgia Southern is 12-17 against the spread this season. They are 0-3 against the spread when playing on a neutral court. The Eagles are 6-12 against the spread during Sun Belt play. They have failed to cover in 12 of their last 14 games. Georgia Southern is 6-9 against the spread when playing as a favorite. The over is 15-14 when Georgia Southern has played this year. The under is 3-0 when the Eagles have played on a neutral court. The over is 10-8 during Sun Belt play.

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia Southern Eagles Picks

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Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern Spread Pick

  • Take Old Dominion to cover (5 units) 

It’s the second-round of the Sun Belt Conference Tournament. Old Dominion defeated UL Monroe in the opening round on Tuesday. The Monarchs are finding form recently winning four of their last six games. Old Dominion ranks 166th in scoring this season. Georgia Southern’s defense is one of the worst in the nation. They are the 308th defensive efficient team in the nation. The Eagles have not played well to end the year. They have lost six of their last eight games. Georgia Southern is 6-12 against the spread during Sun Belt play. Old Dominion is 11-7 against the spread when playing in the Sun Belt, too.

Take Old Dominion to cover.

Old Dominion vs Georgia Southern Over/Under Pick

Take the over (5 units) 

While both teams do not post the most efficient offenses, the pace of this game will be flying. Old Dominion is the 92nd ranked adjusted tempo team, while Georgia Southern ranks 28th in adjusted tempo, too. The Eagles defense is allowing 82.5 points per game, while Old Dominion is also allowing over 80 points per game, too. For Georgia Southern, the over is 10-8 during Sun Belt play. The over is 13-5 when Old Dominion has played Sun Belt opponents.

Take the over on Wednesday. 

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