Oregon Ducks vs Northwestern Wildcats Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 02/28/2026, 03:25 AM ET
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It’s another matchup late in the season in the Big Ten on Saturday, Feb. 28. Read our Oregon Ducks vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. Oregon is 11-17 and they have a 4-13 conference record. The Ducks have won three of their last four games. Northwestern is 12-16 and they also have a 4-13 league record. The Wildcats have won back-to-back games, too. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 2 P.M. EST.

Oregon secures big home win over Wisconsin in last outing

Oregon is 11-17 overall this season. The Ducks have a 4-13 Big Ten Conference player, which places them in a tie for 14th place in the league. Oregon is 2-6 when playing on the road this year. Oregon lost 10 straight games, but they have bounced back winning three of their last four games entering this week.

In their last game, Oregon defeated Wisconsin 85-71 at home on Wednesday, Feb. 25. Oregon went on a 15-5 run in the second, which allowed the Ducks to get some breathing room late in the game. The Ducks were able to make some key plays down the stretch to secure the win. Oregon shot 52% from the field and 47% from behind the 3-point line. Nate Bittle leads the team with 20 points on 7-for-16 shooting.

Bittle leads the team with 16.9 points and 2.6 assists per game. Kwame Evans Jr. is grabbing a team-high 7.1 rebounds per game, too.

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According to KenPom, Oregon is the 102nd ranked team in the nation. They have the 121st ranked offense, while they are also ranked 99th on the defensive end.

Oregon is averaging 74.3 points per game, which ranks 259th in the nation. They are shooting 43% from the field, which places them 304th. The Ducks are the 269th ranked 3-point shooting team, making 32.5% from behind the arc.

On defense, Oregon is allowing 76.8 points per game, which ranks 231st overall. They are giving up 44% from the field, which ranks 172nd. The Ducks are the 213th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 34.1% from behind the arc.

Oregon is 10-18 against the spread this season. They are 3-5 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Ducks are 6-11 against the spread when playing Big Ten opponents. They have covered in three of their last four games. Oregon is 5-10 against the spread as an underdog. They are also 5-8 against the spread as a favorite. The under is 15-13 when Oregon has played this season. The under is 6-2 when playing on the road this season. The under is 11-6 when Oregon has played Big Ten opponents.

Northwestern winners of back-to-back games

Northwestern is 12-16 overall this season. The Wildcats are tied for 14th place in the Big Ten this year. They have a 4-13 conference record so far. Northwestern is 8-7 when playing at home this season. After winning five straight games, Northwestern has won back-to-back games coming into this matchup.

In their last game, Northwestern defeated Indiana 72-68 on the road on Tuesday, Feb. 24. The Wildcats went on a 13-2 run late in the second half to give the Wildcats the lead, which they held on to for the rest of the game. Northwestern shot 48% from the field and 46% from behind the 3-point line. Nick Martinelli led the team with 28 points on 12-for-21 shooting.

Martinelli leads the team with 22.6 points and 6.1 rebounds per game. Jayden Reid is dishing out a team-high 4.8 assists per game.

Northwestern is the 63rd ranked team in the nation, according to KenPom. They are ranked 62nd in the country on the offense end. They are also the 88th ranked defensive team.

Northwestern is averaging 76.8 points per game, which ranks 197th in the nation. They are the 155th ranked shooting team, making 45.7% from the field. The Wildcats are making 32.5% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 267th.

On defense, Northwestern is allowing 75.6 points per game, which ranks 193rd. They are the 138th ranked defensive team, allowing 43.5% from the field. The Wildcats are also the 130th ranked 3-point defensive team, giving up 32.7% from behind the arc.

Northwestern is 12-16 against the spread this season. They are 6-8 against the spread when playing at home. The Wildcats are 7-10 against the spread during Big Ten play. Northwestern is 5-10 against the spread when playing as a favorite. They are 7-6 against the spread as an underdog. The total is 14-14 when Northwestern has played this year. The total is 7-7 when the Wildcats have played at home. The under is 9-8 during Big Ten play.

Oregon Ducks vs Northwestern Wildcats Picks

Oregon vs Northwestern Spread Pick

  • Take Northwestern to cover (5 units)Β 

Oregon has really struggled on the road this season. They are 2-6 when playing on the road and they have not looked the part when traveling across time zones. Northwestern has won back-to-back games with a huge win over Indiana in their last outing. The Wildcats are playing better recently, winning back-to-back games. The Wildcats are ranked 62nd in the nation on offense and that will be enough to get needed buckets in a low-scoring game. Oregon is 6-11 against the spread during Big Ten Conference play this season.

Take Northwestern to cover.

Oregon vs Northwestern Over/Under Pick

  • Take the under (5 units)Β 

Both of these teams are two of the slowest in the conference and in the entire nation. Northwestern ranks 263rd in adjusted tempo, while Oregon is the 267th ranked team. The Wildcats and Ducks are both averaging under 76 points per game. A slow tempo with ineffective offenses will truly make this game a low-scoring one. The under is 9-8 when Northwestern has played fellow Big Ten teams. The under is 6-2 during road games for Oregon.

Take the under on Saturday.Β 

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