Pepperdine Waves vs Oregon State Beavers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026
Use Code WWWC The Pepperdine Waves (8-20, 3-12 WCC) face the Oregon State Beavers (14-14, 7-8 WCC) on Saturday at Gill Coliseum in Corvallis. Tipoff is at 9 p.m. EST on ESPN+. Pepperdine enters after a 95-87 road win over Portland, while Oregon State dropped a 60-50 decision at Seattle in its most recent outing. Both teams sit in the middle to lower half of the WCC standings, with Oregon State holding the stronger conference mark. Elevate your game with our expert NCAAB picks for Pepperdine Waves vs Oregon State Beavers picks prediction and win big!
Pepperdine Waves Searching for Defensive Answers
The Pepperdine Waves bring an 8-20 overall record and a 3-12 WCC mark into this matchup. Pepperdine averages 71.5 points per game while allowing 79.3, a minus 7.8 scoring margin that reflects the season. In the 95-87 win over Portland, Aaron Clark scored 29 points to lead the Waves, showing the scoring ability that keeps Pepperdine competitive when shots fall.
Clark leads Pepperdine at 15.1 points per game, shooting 43.2% from the field and 76.6% from the line. Styles Phipps fills the stat sheet with 15.5 points, 5.9 rebounds, 4.9 assists and 1.8 steals over the last 10 games. Pepperdine shoots 43% from the field as a team and averages 33.4 rebounds and 13.8 assists per game. Over the last 10 games, Pepperdine is 3-7, giving up 85.3 points per game while scoring 73.9.
The defensive numbers remain a concern. Pepperdine allows opponents to shoot and score at a high rate, and the 79.3 points allowed per game is one of the key trends in this matchup. When Pepperdine keeps games in the 70s, the Waves have a path. When games climb into the 80s, Pepperdine struggles to match that pace.
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Injuries: Danilo Donzic is a Game-Time-Decision
Oregon State Beavers Steady at Home
The Oregon State Beavers sit at 14-14 overall and 7-8 in WCC play. Oregon State averages 70.2 points per game and allows 73.5. In the most recent game, Oregon State fell 60-50 at Seattle, scoring just 50 points in a low-scoring contest. That followed a 90-63 road win at San Francisco, showing the range of outcomes for this roster.
Josiah Lake II leads Oregon State with 13.0 points per game on 48.2% shooting and 82.3% from the free-throw line. Lake also averages 4.2 rebounds and 3.8 assists. Over the last 10 games, Oregon State is 5-5, scoring 69.2 points per game while allowing 72.7 and shooting 41.6% from the field. Oregon State averages 31.6 rebounds and 13.2 assists on the season, along with 3.8 blocks per game. At home, Oregon State is 10-5 and has shown better control, particularly with turnovers.
The Beavers average 11.2 turnovers per game and are 5-2 when committing fewer turnovers than the opponent. Against a Pepperdine defense that allows 79.3 points per game, Oregon State should find cleaner looks than it did in the 60-50 loss at Seattle.
Injuries: The Beavers do not list anyone on their injury list
Pepperdine Waves vs Oregon State Beavers Picks Pick
Spread Pick for Pepperdine Waves vs Oregon State Beavers Picks
- Oregon State (4 units)
Oregon State holds the edge based on defensive numbers and home performance. Pepperdine gives up 79.3 points per game and has allowed 85.3 per game over the last 10 contests. Oregon State averages 70.2 points, which is 9.1 fewer than Pepperdine allows, suggesting a scoring boost in this matchup. The Beavers are 10-5 at home and protect the ball well at 11.2 turnovers per game. Pepperdine’s minus 7.8 scoring margin and 3-12 conference record highlight the gap. With the Beavers stronger in WCC play and more stable on defense, Oregon State is the straight-up play.
Over/Under Pick for Pepperdine Waves vs Oregon State Beavers Picks
- Over (4 units)
Pepperdine games trend high because of a lack of defense. The Waves allow 79.3 points per game and have given up 85.3 per game across the last 10. Pepperdine also scores 73.9 per game over that same stretch. Oregon State averages 70.2 for the season, and against a defense allowing nearly 80 per game, that number should rise. While Oregon State scored just 50 in the last outing, the Beavers also posted 90 two games ago. The contrast in results suggests volatility, but Pepperdine’s defensive numbers remain consistent. With one side allowing points at a high rate and the other capable of solid scoring at home, the total leans toward the over.
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