Pepperdine Waves vs. Saint Mary's Gaels Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Use Code WWWC It’s a contest of teams from the WCC on the hardwood as the Pepperdine Waves battle the Saint Mary’s Gaels Wednesday night and we have you covered with our Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s prediction. Pepperdine was dropped 92-59 at home by Pacific Saturday night, failing to cover the line as a 7.5-point underdog, in their previous contest. Saint Mary’s comes in off an 79-54 home whipping of San Francisco Saturday night, covering the line as an 11.5-point favorite, in their previous game. In the all-time series between the programs, the Waves own a 74-68 advantage but the Gaels have claimed the last 10 meetings, including a 72-45 road win in the first matchup this season December 30, 2025. Read more about this Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Get our top NCAAB Betting Picks and increase your bankroll!
Pepperdine Hoping to Spring Road Upset
Pepperdine never got on track against Pacific at home as they were walloped Saturday night for their fifth straight defeat. The Waves fell to 6-19 on the year and sit in the basement of the WCC with a 1-11 mark as they take the floor here. Against Pacific, Pepperdine took their last lead at 6-4 less than three minutes into the game before promptly giving up an 11-1 run to trail 15-7 with 13:12 remaining in the opening half. The Waves never made a push after that, trailing 41-25 at intermission and by as many as 33 in the second half en route to the loss. Pepperdine shot 35.7% from the floor, including seven of 19 from beyond the arc, clanked nine of 21 free throw attempts and lost the battle of the boards by a 44-26 margin. Aaron Clark led the Waves with 17 points in the loss.
The Waves are averaging 70.3 points per game (311th in the nation) so far this season. Pepperdine pulls down 33.4 rebounds per contest while they dish out 13.2 assists per game. The Waves are below average on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 296th in the nation as they give up an average of 78.2 points per game on the year. Aaron Clark leads the team with 13.7 points and 3.4 rebounds per game. Javon Cooley (11.7 points, 4.8 rebounds), Styles Phipps (13.4 points, 6.1 rebounds, 4.7 assists) and Danilo Dozic (11.4 points) are also averaging in double figures for the Waves. Luka Vudragovic, Yonatan Levy, Pavle Stosic, Stefan Cicic, David Mager and Vladimir Sudar are solid role players for coach Ed Schilling. Pepperdine shoots 42.3% from the floor as a team on the year. The Waves are hitting 6.6 three-pointers a game as they shoot 29.7% from beyond the arc. Pepperdine is above average this season at the stripe, posting a 76.1% mark at the free throw line, putting them 53rd in Division I.
Key Injury Report for Pepperdine:
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- No Key Injuries
Gaels Looking to Keep Pace in WCC Race
Saint Mary’s won their second straight and fourth in the last five games as they rolled past San Francisco at home Saturday in their previous contest. The Gaels improved to 21-4 and stand third in the WCC standings, trailing Santa Clara and Gonzaga. Against San Francisco, Saint Mary’s trailed 3-0 and 5-3 before scoring the next seven points for a 10-5 advantage. The Gaels didn’t let the Dons even again, building an 11-point margin at the half. Saint Mary’s led by as many as 29 in the second half as they cruised to the win. The Gaels shot 47.8% from the floor, including nine of 20 from three-point range, and dominated the boards by a 47-29 margin. Paulius Murauskas led the way with 20 points and eight rebounds as one of five players in double figures for Saint Mary’s in the win.
On the year, Saint Mary’s is averaging 78.4 points per game to this point, putting them 131st in the nation in scoring offense. The Gaels are hauling down an average of 39.8 rebounds a night (33rd) while handing out 15.5 assists a night on the year. Saint Mary’s is allowing an average of 64.2 points per game so far this season, putting them 12th in the nation in scoring defense. Paulius Murauskas leads the Gaels and is one of three players averaging in double figures as he averages 18.8 points and 7.2 rebounds a night this season. Joshua Dent (13.1 points, 5.5 assists) and Mikey Lewis (12.8 points) are solid secondary options. Andrew McKeever, Dillan Shaw, Liam Campbell, Harry Wessels, Tony Duckett, Kevin Gad and Rory Hawke are looked at to contribute offensively to help their leading scorers. The Gaels are shooting 46.4% from the field as a team on the year coming into this contest. Saint Mary’s has connected on 7.7 three-pointers per contest on the year while they are shooting 38.1% from beyond the arc. The Gaels are shooting a sizzling 81.4% from the charity stripe on the year, putting them 1st in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Saint Mary’s:
- Forward Kevin Gad (shoulder) is out.
Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Pick
Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Spread Pick
- Saint Mary’s (4 units)
Saint Mary’s has won 10 straight meetings in this series, including a 27-point romp on the road in the first meeting this season. The Gaels are tough defensively and they shoot the ball well, which puts them at a distinct advantage over the Waves. Pepperdine is below average on both ends of the floor and stand a putrid 0-15 in Quad I, II and III games on the year. The Waves are just 1-9 on the road this year with six of those losses coming by double figures. Saint Mary’s is a perfect 14-0 at home with 11 of those wins coming by double digits. This one has romp written all over it as the Gaels keep pace in the WCC.
Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under Pick
- Under (4 units)
Pepperdine has seen the under post a 14-9 mark in their 23 games with a posted total. The Waves are 306th in offensive efficiency, 325th in effective field goal percentage (48.1%) and 310th in turnovers per game (13.2) on the year. Pepperdine is 176th in adjusted tempo as they average 67.3 possessions a night. The Gaels have seen the under post a 15-9 mark on the season entering this game. Saint Mary’s is 27th in defensive efficiency, 28th in field goal percentage defense (40.2%), 28th in three-point defense (29.9%) and 29th in two-point defense (46.2%) this season. The Gaels grind the clock, ranking 302nd in tempo with just 64.9 possessions a game and they extend possessions, ranking 109th in offensive rebounds, collecting boards on 11.9 of their own misses per contest. Each of the last four meetings have fallen short of the mark and with the Gaels excellent defensively, this game falls short of the mark.
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