Pittsburgh Panthers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 02/14/2026, 06:50 AM ET
Pitt vs North Carolina prediction
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Itโ€™s another ACC clash on Saturday, Feb. 14. Read our Pittsburgh Panthers vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. Pitt is having a down year with their 9-16 record. The Panthers are in last place in the conference with a 2-10 league record. The Panthers have lost seven of their last eight games. North Carolina looks to bounce back after a lost to Miami earlier in the week. The Tar Heels are 19-5 with a 7-4 conference record. North Carolina is undefeated at home this season. Thees two teams will meet with tip-off set for 2 P.M. EST.

Pitt tied for last place in ACC, suffering under 4-game losing streak

Pittsburgh is 9-16 overall this season. The Panthers are tied for last place in the ACC with a 2-10 conference record. They have a 1-6 road record this season. They have lost four straight games coming into this game. The Panthers have also lost seven of their last eight games, too.

In their last game, Pittsburgh lost 70-54 to Duke at home on Tuesday, Feb. 10. Pittโ€™s largest was 12-6 in the opening minutes, but the Blue Devils put together a run and the Panthers were never able to claw back into the game. Pitt shot 39% from the field and 27% from behind the arc. Roman Siulepa led the team with 19 points on 6-for-15 shooting.

Brandin Cummings leads the team with 12.5 points per game. Cameron Corhen is grabbing 7.2 rebounds, while Demarco Minor is dishing out 3.5 assists per game.

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According to KenPom, Pitt is the 109th ranked team in the nation. They are the 115th ranked offensive team and the 120th ranked defensive team.

Pitt is averaging 70.1 points per game, which ranks 324th this season. They are shooting 43.2% from the field, which ranks 293rd. The Panthers are shooting 33% from behind the 3-point line, placing them 242nd.

On defense, Pitt is allowing 71.5 points per game, which ranks 86th. The Panthers are allowing 46% from the field, which ranks 286th. They are the 284th ranked 3-point defensive team, allowing 35.4% from behind the arc.

Pitt is 10-15 against the spread this season. They are 2-5 against the spread when they have played on the road. The Panthers are 4-9 against the spread when they have been underdogs. They are 4-8 against the spread during ACC play. The over is 13-12 when Pitt has played this season. The over is 7-5 when Pitt has played ACC opponents. The under is 5-2 when Pitt has played on the road.

North Carolina looks to bounce back after defeat

North Carolina is 19-5 overall this season. The Tar Heels are the No. 11 team in the nation as they are 7-4 in ACC play. North Carolina is in seventh place in the league, sitting 3.5 games back of Duke for first place. North Carolina is a perfect 14-0 when playing at home this season. The Tar Heels saw their five-game win streak snapped in their last outing.

In their last game, North Carolina lost 75-66 to Miami on the road on Tuesday, Feb. 10. It was a trap game for the Tar Heels, who were coming off a big home win over No. 4 Duke. North Carolina never led in the team as Miami dominated. The Tar Heels shot 40% from the field and 30% from behind the arc in the loss. Jarin Stevenson led the team with 13 points on 6-for-10 shooting.

Caleb Wilson leads the team with 19.8 points and 9.4 rebounds per game. Kyan Evans is dishing out a team-high 3.0 assists per game, too.

North Carolina is the 28th ranked in the nation according to KenPom. They have the 24th ranked offense and the 46th ranked defensive team this season.

North Carolina is averaging 82 points per game, which ranks 99th in the nation. They are the 54th ranked shooting team, making 47.7% from the field. The Tar Heels are making 34.4% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 159th.

On defense, North Carolina is allowing 70.7 points per game, which ranks 66th in the country. They are the 38th ranked defensive team, allowing 40.8% from the field. North Carolina is allowing 33.9% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 201st.

North Carolina is 13-11 against the spread this season. They are 9-5 against the spread when playing at home this season. The Tar Heels are 5-6 against the spread during league play. They are 9-5 against the spread as a double-digit favorite this year, too. The under is 13-11 when North Carolina has played. The under is 9-5 when North Carolina has played at home. The over is 8-3 when they have played ACC opponents.

Pittsburgh Panthers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Picks

Pitt vs North Carolina Spread Pick

  • Take North Carolina to cover (5 units)ย 

North Carolina will look to bounce back after their disappoints loss to Miami a few days ago. Pitt is a welcomed sight as they have been very poor this year. The Tar Heels have the 24th ranked offensive team in the nation. Pittโ€™s defense is simply not good enough to come away with an upset win. The Panthers rank in the bottom third in defensive field goal and 3-point defensive percentages this season. The Tar Heels have been dominate at home, as they are undefeated inside their own building. Pitt is 2-5 against the spread on the road and they are 4-8 against the spread during ACC play. The Tar Heels are 9-5 against the spread as a double-digit favorite this year, too.

Take North Carolina to cover.

Pitt vs North Carolina Spread Pick

  • Take the over (5 units)ย 

High scoring games are consistent around North Carolina hoops this season. The Tar Heels are averaging over 82 points per game. They are also extremely efficient as the 54th ranked shooting team. The Tar Heels also play at a fast tempo rating 150th in pace. The over is 8-3 when North Carolina has played ACC opponents. Pitt will not be able to slow down North Carolinaโ€™s offense at all, as they rank 286th in defensive field goal percentage. The over is 7-5 when Pitt has played ACC opponents, too.

Take the over on Saturday.ย 

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