Providence vs. Penn State, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s an early-season clash on the hardwood, and it brings a non-conference tilt between foes from the Big East and the Big Ten on the hardwood in the Constitution State as the Providence Friars take on the Penn State Nittany Lions Saturday afternoon, and we have you covered with our Providence vs. Penn State prediction. Providence comes in off a 98-66 home win over New Hampshire on Tuesday in their previous contest, covering the line as a 29-point favorite. Penn State edged Harvard 84-80 at home in their previous contest Wednesday night, failing to cover the line as a 12.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Nittany Lions own a 2-1 advantage, including a 55-52 win it the most recent matchup on November 16, 2012, in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Read more about this Providence vs. Penn State prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
Providence Seeking to Earn Victory on Neutral Floor
Providence got back in the win column as they clobbered New Hampshire at home in their previous contest Tuesday night. The Friars enter this game 3-2 on the year and look to pick up back-to-back wins for the first time this season. Against New Hampshire, Providence trailed 3-0 early before scoring the next nine points to take the lead for good. The Friars led 38-31 at the half and outscored the Wildcats 60-35 in the second half en route to the victory. Providence shot 56.1% from the field, including 10 of 26 from three-point range, and won the battle of the boards by a 40-34 margin. Jason Edwards led the Friars with 25 points, five rebounds and eight assists in the win.
The Friars are putting up an average of 96.4 points per contest this season, putting them 13th in the nation in scoring offense. Providence is collecting an average of 41.2 rebounds per contest (87th in the nation) while they dish out 16.8 assists a night on the year. The Friars give up an average of 86 points per game, leaving them 344th in scoring defense this year. Jason Edwards leads the team with 20.4 points plus 4.6 assists a night this season. Jaylin Sellers kicks in 16.6 points plus 3.8 rebounds a night while Stefan Vaaks adds 14.8 points a contest. Corey Floyd Jr. (12 points), Ryan Mela (11 points, 6.8 rebounds) and Jamier Jones (10 points) provide quality scoring depth. Oswin Erhunmwunse, Jaylen Harrell, Duncan Powell, Cole Hargrove and Daquan Davis are all looked at to contribute on both ends for the Friars for coach Kim English. Providence is shooting 49.7% from the field as a team on the season, which is 65th in the nation. The Friars knock down an average of 9.4 three-pointers a night while shooting 33.6% from beyond the arc this season. Providence is above average at the charity stripe as they convert 78.9% of their attempts from the line, putting them 30th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for Providence:
- Guard Daquan Davis (knee) is questionable.
- Forward Duncan Powell (mouth) is questionable.
- Guard Corey Floyd (ankle) is questionable.
- Forward Rich Barron (groin) is questionable.
Nittany Lions Shooting to Remain Unbeaten
Penn State slipped past Harvard in their previous contest to remain unbeaten on the season. The Nittany Lions improved to 5-0 on the year and look to maintain their perfect record as they take the floor here. Against Harvard, Penn State led 22-12 with 11:20 to play in the opening half but found themselves down 38-35 at intermission. The Nittany Lions still trailed by two with 9:18 remaining and didn’t take the lead for good until Melih Tunca’s fast break layup with 4:18 to play gave them a 72-70 advantage. Penn State shot 54.4% from the floor, including five of 19 from beyond the arc, and overcame, allowing Harvard to shoot 52.6% in the game. Kayden Mingo led the Nittany Lions with 24 points in the win.
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The Nittany Lions are putting up 82 points per game this season, which has them 144th in the nation in scoring offense. Penn State collects 31.6 rebounds per game (338th) while dishing out 15 assists (175th) a night. The Nittany Lions are above average defensively, allowing 66.2 points per game, leaving them 69th in the nation in scoring defense. Kayden Mingo leads the team and is one of three players averaging in double figures with 17 points per game. Melih Tunca (14.4 points, 4.2 assists), Freddie Dilione V (12.4 points, 3.2 rebounds), Josh Reed (9.2 points) and Dominick Stewart (nine points) each are solid secondary scorers. Ivan Juric, Eli Rice, Tibor Mirtic, Sasa Ciani and Mason Blackwood are all key rotation pieces for the Nittany Lions. Penn State shoots 52.6% from the field as a team this season, putting them 19th in Division I. The Nittany Lions sink 7.4 triples a night (228th in Division I) while shooting 36.6% from beyond the arc this season. Penn State is sputtering at the free-throw line as they hit 68.4% as a team, which is 245th in the nation.
Key Injury Report for Penn State:
- G Reggie Grodin (undisclosed) is questionable.
Providence vs. Penn State Pick
Providence vs. Penn State Moneyline Pick
- Penn State (4 units)
Providence has been a high-octane offensive attack in the early going but they’ve struggled to stop anyone on the other end of the floor. The Friars’ win over New Hampshire marked the first time they had allowed fewer than 79 points in a game this season. Penn State may not be as high powered as the Friars but they are above average on the offensive end. In addition, the Nittany Lions are solid defensively and they are healthier than Providence at this stage of the year. Given the Friars’ defensive woes, you have to fade them a bit here. Take Penn State in this one as they run their record to 6-0 on the year.
Providence vs. Penn State Over/Under Pick
- Over (4 units)
Providence enters this game having gone over the number in all five of their contests this season. The Friars are 44th in offensive efficiency, 47th in effective field goal percentage (56.7%), 58th in turnover percentage (14.4%) and 44th in two-point shooting (61.2%) on the year. Providence is 25th in adjusted tempo with 73.9 possessions a night. Penn State is 63rd in offensive efficiency, 23rd in effective field goal percentage (58.9%), 6th in turnover percentage (11%), 19th in field goal percentage, 50th in two-point shooting (60.9%) and 88th in three-point shooting. The Nittany Lions are 274th in tempo with 68.8 possessions a night. Penn State has seen the under post a 3-2 mark on the year. If Providence pushes the pace, Penn State takes advantage of the Friars’ soft defense and pushes this game over the number.
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