Providence Friars vs Xavier Musketeers Picks and Predictions for Saturday, January 10, 2026
The Providence Friars will be back on the road Saturday afternoon with a game in Cincinnati, OH, inside the Cintas Center at 4:00 PM for a Big East matchup against the Xavier Musketeers, and we have you ready to roll with our Providence vs Xavier prediction. Providence comes into this matchup with eight wins and seven losses, currently two games below .500 in conference play. The Xavier Musketeers return home Saturday afternoon, two games above .500 and three games under .500, currently tied for last place in the Big East. Providence enters this matchup struggling immensely, having lost three of the last four overall, following a 5-point overtime home loss to Connecticut in their last outing. Xavier returns home Saturday playing some of their worst basketball of the season after losing 4 of the last five, including three in a row, following a narrow one-point road loss to Marquette earlier this week. Read more about this Providence vs Xavier prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions
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Providence hunts second conference win
The Providence Friars come into Saturday with eight wins and seven losses overall, having lost three of the last five games. Offensively, Providence does score the ball well, averaging 89.5 points per game on 48% shooting from the floor this season. Defensively, Providence has been mediocre, allowing 84.1 points per game this season, but has allowed an average of 96 points per game in its last three losses. Offensively, Providence was solid in their last outing, scoring 98 points, but just nine in overtime on 50% shooting from the floor, and the Friars knocked down 14 triples in the game. Defensively, Providence had a terrible game, giving up over 103 points as Connecticut shot 49% from the floor and 56% from beyond the arc. Providence did win the rebounding battle by 4, but turned the ball over 17 times in the loss. Jamier Jones carried the load for the Providence Friars against Connecticut with 18 points on nine shots in 29 minutes. Ryan Mala led all Providence scorers off the bench with 19 points on nine shots.
Jason Edwards leads the Providence offense this season, averaging 17.3 points and 3.3 assists per game as one of four players on the roster averaging double digits. Jaylin Sellers is second on the team, averaging 15.7 points, and Stefan Vaaks averages a third-best 13.3 points per game. Freshman Jamier Jones is 4th on the team, averaging 10.9 points per game. Oswin Erhunmwunse averages 7.8 points and adds a team-leading 7.1 rebounds.
Key Injury Report for Providence:
- Jaylen Harrell (Questionable) - Undisclosed
- Rich Barron (Out) - Concussion
- Daquan Davis (Questionable) – Knee
Xavier tries to end the current losing streak
Offensively, Xavier has been solid enough this season, averaging 75.5 points on 42% from the floor, but the Musketeers have averaged 66.5 points per game during their last four losses. Defensively, Xavier has held its own, allowing 75.2 points per game this season, and they've given up an average of 85 points per game over their last four losses. Defensively, Xavier struggled in their last outing, allowing 66 points, including 37 in the first half, as Marquette shot 40% from the floor and knocked down 5 triples. Offensively, Xavier never could find it, scoring only 65 points on 37% shooting from the floor, but the Musketeers did knock down 11 long balls. Xavier lost the rebounding battle by double digits and turned the ball over 16 times in the loss. Malik Messina-Moore led the way for the Xavier offense last time out with 22 points on 13 shots. Tre Carroll added 12 points on 13 shots, and Roddie Anderson III was the third player on the roster in double digits with 10 points in 25 minutes.
Tre Carroll leads the Xavier offense this season, averaging 15.8 points per game. Roddie Anderson III is second on the roster, averaging 12.8 points, and Jovan Milicevic is third on the team, averaging 10.3 points per game. Malik Messina-Moore is 4th on the roster this season, averaging 9.7 points per game. Filip Borovicanin averages 9.2 points and leads Xavier, averaging 7.9 rebounds and 4 assists per game.
Key Injury Report for Xavier:
- Jaylen Harrell (Questionable) - Undisclosed
- Rich Barron (Out) - Concussion
- Daquan Davis (Questionable) -Knee
- Luke Naser (Questionable0 - Undisclosed
- Kason Westphal (Out) - Redshirt
- Gabriel Pozzetto (Questionable) – Knee
Providence vs Xavier Pick
Providence vs Xavier Spread Pick
- Xavier Musketeers
Both teams had mediocre seasons coming into Saturday, hovering right around .500. Both have lost three of their last four games, as each will come into this matchup looking to end their recent skid. Xavier will be at home and has the superior defense, which will be the difference. Look for the Musketeers to end their recent three-game losing streak as they get a home win and cover over Providence. Take the Xavier Musketeers Saturday afternoon to get their 10th victory of the season and their second in conference against the Friars.
Providence vs Xavier Over/Under Pick
- Under
Both teams have seen some high-scoring games over their last few outings, but defense will be the mindset in this matchup. Both teams are coming into this game struggling immensely and will look to lock up on the other end of the floor. Look for a defensive battle as each team pursues its second Big East victory of the season. Take the under on Saturday afternoon as the Musketeers pull off the home victory against the Providence Friars.
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