Rhode Island Rams vs Dayton Flyers Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Tuesday January 27 2026

By: Kyle Kargel Published 01/27/2026, 09:36 AM ET
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Rhode Island vs Dayton picks are front and center on Tuesday night as the Rams head to UD Arena for a key Atlantic 10 matchup. With Dayton laying a sizable number at home, this game stands out on the board for bettors looking to find value among the latest college basketball picks.

Quick Picks and Prediction

  • Spread Pick: Rhode Island +8.5
  • Total Pick: Under 136.5
  • Projected Final Score: Dayton 69, Rhode Island 64

Odds and Line Movement

Opening Odds

Team Spread Total
Rhode Island +5.5 (-102) Over 135.5 (-115)
Dayton -5.5 (-120) Under 135.5 (-105)

Current Odds

Team Spread Total
Rhode Island +8.5 (-110) Over 136.5 (-115)
Dayton -8.5 (-110) Under 136.5 (-105)

Line Movement - Spread

Date Time Rhode Island Dayton
01/26 02:58 PM +5.5 (-102) -5.5 (-120)
01/26 05:13 PM +6.5 (-102) -6.5 (-120)
01/26 05:14 PM +7.5 (-102) -7.5 (-120)
01/26 09:15 PM +8.5 (-110) -8.5 (-110)

Line Movement - Total

Date Time Over Under
01/26 02:58 PM 135.5 (-115) 135.5 (-105)
01/26 09:44 PM 136.5 (-110) 136.5 (-110)
01/27 01:42 AM 135.5 (-115) 135.5 (-105)
01/27 04:13 AM 136.5 (-115) 136.5 (-105)

Rhode Island vs Dayton Key Matchups and Handicap

Rhode Island comes into this matchup at 12-8 overall and 3-4 in conference play, while Dayton sits at 14-6 and 5-2 in the Atlantic 10. Recent form favors the Rams more than the standings suggest, with Rhode Island picking up wins over George Mason and Richmond, showing improved execution on both ends of the floor.

Dayton still owns the stronger overall profile and a major home-court edge at UD Arena, but the Flyers have not been sharp away from home. Back-to-back losses at Saint Joseph’s and La Salle exposed some depth and consistency issues, even though Dayton responded with a dominant home win against Loyola Chicago.

Availability plays a big role in this handicap. Dayton guard Jordan Derkack is questionable, and Jaron McKie is out for the season with a shoulder injury. That thins the Flyers’ backcourt rotation and could limit their ability to apply pressure and maintain pace for 40 minutes.

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Rhode Island also has concerns, with Mouhamed Sow and Moek Icke both out, limiting frontcourt depth. Javon Perry is questionable as well, and his status matters for spacing and secondary scoring. Even with those absences, Rhode Island’s recent confidence and improved defensive focus suggest it can stay competitive and avoid getting blown out.

  • Rhode Island has won two of its last three conference games.
  • Dayton has dropped back-to-back road games prior to this home matchup.
  • The spread has moved more than three points toward Dayton, increasing value on the underdog.
  • Recent totals movement has stayed in the mid-130s.

Key Injuries and Notes (URI and DAY)

  • Rhode Island: Mouhamed Sow out, Moek Icke out, Javon Perry questionable.
  • Dayton: Jordan Derkack questionable, Jaron McKie out for the season.

ATS and Total Picks

  • Against the Spread: Rhode Island +8.5
  • Over or Under: Under 136.5

Final Score Prediction

Dayton 69, Rhode Island 64

How to Bet Rhode Island vs Dayton

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