Robert Morris Colonials vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, November 4, 2025

By: Chris King Published 11/04/2025, 10:46 AM ET
Robert Morris vs. Iowa Prediction
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It’s the second day of the 2025-26 college basketball season and it brings a non-conference tilt between the Horizon League and the Big Ten as the Robert Morris Colonials take on the Iowa Hawkeyes Tuesday night in the Hawkeye State and we have you covered with our Robert Morris vs. Iowa prediction. Robert Morris finished the 2024-25 season 26-9 overall and fell 90-81 to Alabama in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament as a 15-seed. Iowa finished 2024-25 with a 17-16 mark and failed to qualify for a postseason tournament. Iowa won the only previous meeting between the teams, taking a 73-51 triumph at home back on December 22, 2006. Read more about this Robert Morris vs. Iowa prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

Robert Morris to See Familiar Face In Opposing Jersey

Robert Morris had a tremendous year in 2024-25, posting a 26-9 mark overall, including a 15-5 mark in Horizon League play. The Colonials won the regular season title in the conference and followed that up with winning the Horizon League Tournament. Robert Morris gave Alabama all it wanted before eventually falling in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The problem for coach Andrew Toole is that success came at a cost. None of the team’s starting five returns this season. In fact, one of them, Alvaro Folgueiras (14.1 ppg, 9.1 rpg) will be on the opposing squad as he transferred to Iowa. There’s not much in the way of returning talent but the hope is that Nikolaos Chitikoudis (10.8 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 1.6 bpg at North Carolina A&T) can be an anchor to lead the way on both ends.

Last season, Robert Morris was 93rd in the nation in scoring offense as they put up an average of 77 points per game this season. The Colonials pulled down an average of 37.4 rebounds a night (68th) while they dished out an average of 16.1 assists (38th) per contest. Robert Morris was 147th in the nation in scoring defense as they allow an average of 71 points a night. The Colonials shot 44.9% from the field on the season as a team in 2024-25. Robert Morris knocked down an average of 7.5 three-pointers a night while draining 34.7% of their attempts from beyond the arc. The Colonials were an average team at the charity stripe as they converted 72.1% of their shots at the line. Ryan Prather Jr. is the team’s leading returning scoring option as he averaged 8.3 points per game last year.

Hawkeyes Shooting to Start McCollum Era on Right Foot

Iowa muddled their way through the season, finishing just over the .500 mark at 17-16 overall, though they were a pedestrian 7-13 in Big Ten action on the year. That was the end of the Fran McCaffrey era as he is now at Penn. In his place is Ben McCollum, who led Drake to a 31-4 mark last season in his first year as a head coach. McCollum inherits a Hawkeye team that returns just 157 minutes of playing time from last season’s squad. On the plus side, he brought a ton of pieces from that Drake squad, including Bennett Stirtz, the reigning MVC Player of the Year, who averaged 19.2 points, 5.7 assists and 2.1 steals per game last season. Throw in Folgueiras as a versatile big man and the Hawkeyes will be effective offensively while changing the style that we’ve seen in Iowa City in recent years.

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The Hawkeyes put up an average of 82.5 points per game on the season in 2024-25, putting them 17th in the nation. Iowa collected 32 boards a night (326th) while they handed out 18.3 assists (3rd) per game last season. The Hawkeyes were below average defensively, ranking 344th in scoring defense by allowing 79.7 points a night. Iowa shot 49% from the field last season as a team, which was 13th in the nation. The Hawkeyes knocked down 38% of their attempts (21st in Division I) from long range while sinking an average of 9.8 triples (32nd) a night. Iowa was below average at the charity stripe, cashing in 70.5% of their chances at the line, putting them 240th in Division I in the 2024-25 campaign. Cooper Koch (4.6 ppg in 10 games) is the top returning scorer for the Hawkeyes, though the addition of Stirtz, Kael Combs, Tavion Banks, Isaia Howard and Brendan Hausen creates plenty of continuity.

Robert Morris vs. Iowa Pick

Robert Morris vs. Iowa Spread Pick

  • Iowa -21.5 (4 units)

Robert Morris was the better team last season but there’s not a ton of returning talent for Moore to lean on in the early going. While Iowa churned most of their roster, the fact remains that with McCollum importing a bunch of talent from his Drake squad, the Hawkeyes aren’t as much about reloading as retooling. Stirtz is a terrific get for the Hawkeyes and having other pieces that had contributions for an NCAA Tournament squad can only help their chances. Throw in the fact that Folgueiras can score and do some glass cleaning, makes Iowa that much more dangerous. The Hawkeyes have won 13 straight season openers and the Drake connection makes it 14 as McCollum’s Iowa debut is a success.

Robert Morris vs. Iowa Over/Under Pick

  • Under 143.5 (4 units)

Last season, Robert Morris saw the over post a 19-14 mark in their 33 games with a posted total. The Colonials are going to have to find a way to generate some offense with their new personnel. They shot 44.9% from the field as a team overall, which was 161st in Division I, and they were 214th in two-point shooting (50.9%) on the year. Robert Morris was 142nd in adjusted tempo with 68.1 possessions a night last season. While Iowa saw the over go 17-16 last season, we can’t bank on the Hawkeyes being the same now. Looking at how Drake played, they saw the under post a 20-13 mark. The Bulldogs were also dead last in Division I in terms of tempo, averaging just 59.4 possessions a game. Look for McCollum to play that same style, helping keep this one under the total.

 

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