Saint Joseph's Hawks vs Richmond Spiders Pick & Prediction for Sunday January 11 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/11/2026, 06:30 AM ET
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The Saint Joseph's Hawks travel to the Robins Center to face the Richmond Spiders on Sunday, January 11, 2026. This 12:00 PM EST matchup, airing on USA Network, features a Richmond squad looking to maintain their perfect home record against a Saint Joseph's team fresh off a thrilling overtime victory. For expert analysis and daily wagering insights on the full slate of Atlantic 10 action, be sure to check out the latest free college basketball picks over at Winners and Whiners.

Saint Joseph's Hawks: Riding Momentum from "Instant Classic"

The Hawks (9-7, 1-2 A-10) arrive in Richmond following a massive 97-90 overtime win against Duquesne on Wednesday. The win was a showcase for Derek Simpson, who recorded his first career double-double with 23 points and 11 assists. Saint Josephโ€™s offensive identity revolves around high-volume shooting and strong rebounding (39.8 RPG), which keeps them competitive even in high-scoring affairs.

The Hawks' lineup is relatively stable, though depth remains a concern. Guard Owen Verna is OUT with a long-term injury. Center Steven Solano and guard Will Lange are currently listed as Questionable; their presence in the rotation will be a game-time decision. Leading scorer Jalen Glover-Toscano (15.9 PPG) will be the focal point of the offense, especially after his recent 28-point outburst proved he can carry the team on the road.

Richmond Spiders: Offensive Efficiency at the Robins Center

The Spiders (12-4, 2-1 A-10) are off to an impressive start, most recently sweeping a New York road trip with wins over Fordham and St. Bonaventure. Richmondโ€™s success is built on elite efficiency, shooting 47% from the field and an incredible 37% from three-point range. Their offense has been explosive lately, scoring 80+ points in consecutive games.

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Richmond is currently dealing with one major roster absence. Forward Apostolos Roumoglou is OUT for the season following knee surgery. Despite this, the Spiders' backcourt remains one of the best in the A-10. Will Johnston has been on a tear, scoring 20+ points in two of his last three games, including 24 in the win over the Bonnies. The emergence of freshman Aidan Argabright (two-time A-10 Rookie of the Week) gives head coach Chris Mooney another weapon to deploy against the Hawks' perimeter defense.

Saint Joseph's vs. Richmond Prediction

Richmond has been nearly unbeatable at home, but Saint Joseph's newfound confidence following their overtime win makes this a dangerous game for the Spiders.

Saint Joseph's vs. Richmond ATS Pick

  • Pick: Saint Joseph's +8.5 (-105)

While Richmond is the better shooting team, an 8.5-point spread feels wide for a conference rivalry between two teams that match up well physically. Saint Joseph's has a significant advantage on the boards (+3.0 RPG over Richmond) and has the guard play in Simpson and Glover-Toscano to match Johnstonโ€™s output. Expect the Hawks to keep this within two possessions by using their size to earn second-chance points and slow down Richmondโ€™s transition game.

Saint Joseph's vs. Richmond Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 152.5 (-108)

Both teams have been trending heavily toward high-scoring games in January. Richmond is averaging over 83 points per game at home, and Saint Joseph's just proved they can push the 90-point mark in their last outing. With Richmond shooting nearly 40% from deep and Saint Joseph's preferring a fast-paced game, this matchup should easily bypass the 152.5 total in what looks like a classic Atlantic 10 shootout.

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