Saint Mary's vs Wichita State, Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 26, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 11/26/2025, 10:13 AM ET
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On Wednesday, the St Mary's Gaels (6-0) play the Wichita State Shockers (4-1) in the opening round of the Battle of Atlantis tournament at Imperial Arena in Nassau, Bahamas. St Mary's defeated UC Merced 96-42 last time out and has won each of its first six games of the season. Wichita State defeated Milwaukee 75-58 on Saturday, and the Shockers have won four of the first five. Make sure to read this in-depth St Mary's Gaels vs Wichita State Shockers prediction. Feel the madness! Dive into our NCAAB picks for Wichita State Shockers at Saint Mary's Gaels prediction and seize the victory.

Β Saint Mary's relies on sharp shooting and its tough defense

The St Mary's Gaels score an average of 87.0 (172nd) points per game, on 50% (46th) shooting overall and 45.7% (1st) shooting from 3-point territory.Β  The Gaels hold opponents to 57.8 points (5th) per game on 35.6% (11th) shooting overall and 27.3% (37th) from 3-point territory.

The top two leading scorers for St Mary's are Mikey Lewis, who averages 19.7 points per game on 49.4% shooting overall and 54.3% from 3-point territory, and Paulius Murauskas, who scores 18.3 points per game on 54.7% shooting overall and 38.5% from 3-point territory. St Mary's has one other player who averages double figures in scoring. The Gaels grab an average of 43.2 rebounds per game, led by Andrew McKeever with an average of 10.5 boards per contest. McKeever is the rim protector, averaging 1.7 blocked shots per game. Joshua Dent leads in assists and steals, averaging 5.5 assists and 1.7 steals per game

Injuries: St Mary's does not have any players listed on its injury report

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Shockers needs to shoot better, but its defense is very strong

The Wichita State Shockers score an average of 81.8 (221st) points per game on 45.4% (197th) shooting overall and 38.8% (40th) from 3-point territory. The Wichita State defense is holding opponents to 62.8 (16th) points per game. The Shockers hold opponents to 37.5% (30th) shooting overall and 31.3% (138th) from 3-point territory.

The top two leading scorers for Wichita State are Kenyon Giles, who averages 19.6 points per game on 56.1% shooting overall and 58.8% from 3-point territory, and Michael Gray Jr., who averages 10.4 points on 46.2% shooting overall and 44.0% from 3-point territory. The Shockers do not have any other players averaging double figures in scoring. Wichita State grabs an average of 42.2 rebounds per game, led by Will Berg with an average of 7.6 boards per contest. Berg is also the rim protector, averaging 1.6 blocked shots per game. Dre Kindell is the dish reader, averaging 3.8 assists per game, and Giles is the leader in steals at 1.4 per game.

Injuries: Joy Oghovodja is questionable for what you call State

Wichita State Shockers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels Pick

Spread Pick for Wichita State vs. Saint Mary's

  • Β St Mary's Gaels ( units)

Both Wichita State and St Mary's have strong defenses, but St. Mary’s is performing even better, allowing an average of only 57.8 points per game, which is fifth-lowest in the nation. Opponents are managing to shoot just 35.6% overall against the Gaels, which is 11th in the nation. Opponents are averaging just 24.5 rebounds versus St Mary's, which is the fourth lowest number in the nation.Β  St Mary's is not just about defense, as the Gaels are averaging 87 points per game, have the 46th best field goal shooting percentage at 50% and our first in the country in three-point shooting percentage at 45.7%. St Mary's has covered the spread in four of its first five games that have had a betting line.

Over/Under Pick for Wichita State vs. Saint Mary's

  • Under ( units)

The total has not finished under in any of the five games for St Mary's, but two have been pushes, while the total has finished under in three of Wichita State's first four games. The defense dictates the pace for both of these teams. St Mary's allows an average of only 57.8 points per game, while Wichita State is allowing just 62.8 points per game. The adjusted tempo per KenPom for St. Mary’s is 66.3 or 348th, and Wichita State has an AdjT of 69.1 or 228th. The AdjTs combined are very conducive to a low-scoring outcome.

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