San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Picks and Predictions for Saturday, February 28, 2026
Use Code WWWC The San Diego State Aztecs will be on the road Saturday with a 2:00 PM match-up inside the pit in Albuquerque, NM, against the New Mexico Lobos, and we have you ready to roll with our San Diego State vs New Mexico prediction. San Diego State comes into this matchup with nineteen wins and eight losses thus far this season. New Mexico returns home Saturday with 21 wins and seven losses this season. San Diego State has won three of the last five games played following a 17-point home victory against Utah State in their last outing to end a 2 game losing streak. San Diego State has won three of the last four, following a 7-point road Loss to Nevada in their last outing. Read more about this San Diego State vs New Mexico prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
San Diego State looks to stay atop the Mountain West
Offensively, San Diego State has averaged 79.3 points on 40% shooting from the floor this season, but the Aztecs have upped their scoring to 82.6 points per game over their last three wins. Defensively, San Diego State has held its own, allowing 70.1 points per game this season, but gave up an average of 78 points per game during its recent two-game losing streak. Offensively, San Diego State was the better team in their last outing, pouring in 89 points on 55% shooting, and the Aztecs knocked down 7 triples in the game. Defensively, San Diego State held its own, allowing 72 points on 40% shooting. San Diego State won the rebounding battle by 8 and forced 12 turnovers in the win. Reese Dixon-Waters led the way for the San Diego State offense in their last outing with 20 points on 13 shots.
Reese Dixon-Waters leads the San Diego State offense this season with 12.9 points per game. Miles Byrd is second on the team, averaging 10.7 points, and BJ Davis averages 10.3 points per game. Miles Heide averages 5.7 points to go along with the team's leading 5.7 rebounds per game this season.
Key Injury Report for San Diego State:
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- Jeremiah Oden (Questionable) -Undisclosed
- Sean Newman (Questionable) -Undisclosed
New Mexico looks to move up in the conference standings
The New Mexico Lobos offense is averaging 8.6 points on 46% shooting from the floor, but New Mexico has averaged just 78.5 points per game over its last two losses. Defensively, New Mexico has been phenomenal, holding opponents to 69.4 points per game this season. Offensively, New Mexico was terrible in its last outing, scoring just 60 points on 30% shooting and 29% from beyond the arc. Defensively, New Mexico was outmatched, giving up 67 points, including 44 in the second half, as the bottom shot 40% from the floor. New Mexico lost the rebounding battle by double digits and turned the ball over 13 times in the loss. Jake Hall led the way for the New Mexico offense in their last outing with 17 points on 15 shots.
Jake Hall leads the New Mexico offense this season, averaging 16 points per game. Big man Tomislav Buljan is second on the roster, adding 11.7 points per game this season, to go along with the team-leading 9.8 rebounds. Deyton Albury also chips in 11.7 points per game and leads the team with 3.2 assists.
Key Injury Report for New Mexico:
- Milos Vicentic (Questionable) -Undisclosed
- Kevin Patton (Questionable) -Undisclosed
- Kallai Patton (Out) - Redshirt
- Sir Marius Jones (Out) - Undisclosed
- Chris Howell (Questionable) - Wrist
San Diego State vs New Mexico Pick
- San Diego State vs New Mexico Spread Pick
Both teams have been well enough thus far this season, but New Mexico is the better team. The Lobos are currently 1 game back of the top spot in the Mountain West and will look to continue their hot hand in this matchup. Look for New Mexico to use its edge on both ends of the floor and its home fans on Saturday afternoon. Take the Lobos to get back to their winning ways as they stifle San Diego State for 40 minutes, resulting in the victory. New Mexico will get its 22nd win of the season and 13th in conference play when it wins and covers at home Saturday afternoon.
- San Diego State vs New Mexico Over/Under Pick
Both teams score well, with each averaging just under 80 points per game period. Despite both teams having elite offenses, each team is defensive-minded. With a share of first place in the conference on the line, look for both teams to guard for 40 minutes. Take New Mexico to do the work as they get the win and cover at home Saturday afternoon in a conference dog fight in a game that will go well under the total.
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