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San Diego Toreros vs Saint Mary's Gaels Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, February 4, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 02/04/2026, 06:10 AM ET

The San Diego Toreros will be on the road Wednesday night for a 10:00 PM match-up inside the University Credit Union Pavilion against the Saint Mary's Gaels, and we have you ready to roll with our San Diego vs Saint Mary’s prediction. San Diego comes into Wednesday with ten wins and 14 losses this season. St. Mary's returns home Wednesday night with nineteen wins and four losses this season. San Diego has won three of its last five games, coming into this matchup after a 2 point overtime loss at home to Oregon State. St. Mary's has won three of the last five following an 8-point road loss to Gonzaga last time out. Read more about this San Diego vs Saint Mary’s prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!

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San Diego looks to get back rolling

The San Diego offense has averaged 76.8 points on 45% shooting for the season, but the Toreros have averaged only 74.5 points per game in their last two losses. Defensively, San Diego is allowing 78.1 points per game this season and has given up an average of 81.5 points over its last two losses. San Diego's offense was stout in their last outing, scoring 76 points but just 16 in overtime on 43% shooting, in 31% from beyond the arc. Defensively, San Diego struggled as Oregon State scored 78 points on 40% shooting and knocked down 10 3-pointers. San Diego won the rebounding battle by 6, but turned the ball over 20 times, which led to the loss. Adrian McIntyre led the way with the San Diego offense against Oregon State with 21 points on 12 shots.

Ty-Laur Johnson leads the San Diego offense this season, averaging 15.7 points and 4.7 assists per game. Toneari Lane and Adrian McIntyre are both tied for second on the roster this season, averaging 10.3 points per game. Juanse Gorosito is 4th on the roster this season, with 10.2 points per game. Big man Assane Diop averages 5.8 points and leads the team with 5.1 rebounds per contest.

Key Injury Report for San Diego:

  • D’Arrae (Questionable) - Undisclosed

Saint Mary’s tries to avenge a loss

Offensively, St. Mary's has been stout this season, averaging 78 points on 46% shooting, but has averaged only 59.5 points per game in their last two losses. Defensively, St. Mary's is rolling, holding opponents to 64.9 points per game this season. Defensively, St. Mary's had troubles in their last outing, giving up 73 points, including 39 in the second half, as Gonzaga erased a 4-point halftime deficit on 47% shooting and 35% from beyond the arc. Offensively, St. Mary's scored 65 points on 34% shooting in 29% from beyond the arc. St. Mary's lost the rebounding battle by 5 and turned the ball over seven times in the loss. Joshua Dent led the way for Saint Mary's with 16 points on 12 shots against Gonzaga.

Paulius Muruaskas leads the Saint Mary's offense this season with 19.1 points per game. Joshua Dent is second on the team with 13.4 points to go along with the team's leading 5.3 assists. Mikey Lewis is the third player on the team in double digits, averaging 12 points per game. Big man Andrew McKeever averages 8.1 points and leads the team, pulling in 9.3 rebounds per contest.

Key Injury Report for Saint Mary’s

  • Kevin Gad (Out) - Shoulder

San Diego vs Saint Mary’s Pick

  • San Diego vs Saint Mary’s  Spread Pick

Despite the loss in their last outing, St. Mary's is the far better team in this matchup and will roll on Wednesday night. Look for Saint Mary's to dominate this game on both sides of the ball against a lackluster sub .500 San Diego team. Take Saint Mary’s Saturday night to do the job as they get the win and cover at home. The Gaels will overwhelm San Diego, start to finish, leading to Saint Mary's 20th victory of the season and its 9th in conference play.

  • San Diego vs Saint Mary’s Over/Under Pick

Saint Mary's has scored a ton of points this season, and San Diego has been a scoring team as well. Despite the offensive success of both teams this season, look for the Saint Mary's defense to be the difference. Take St. Mary's to stifle San Diego start to finish Saturday night, leading to the victory. St. Mary's will get the win and cover at home, but the number will go well under the total as San Diego will struggle to score from the opening tip.

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