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San José State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Picks and Predictions for Saturday February 21 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/21/2026, 03:55 AM ET
Presented by Thrillzz

The San José State Spartans travel to face the Boise State Broncos on Saturday, February 21, 2026, with tipoff set for 4:00 PM at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, Idaho. The game will be televised on MWN. At the time of this writing, the odds are not available. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more insight on today’s action around the country.

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Spartans Searching for Consistency on the Road

San José State enters this matchup with a 7-19 overall record and a 2-13 mark in Mountain West play. The Spartans have struggled away from home this season and have dropped four of their last five games. They recently picked up an impressive 87-71 win over Nevada but also suffered losses to Grand Canyon, UNLV, Colorado State, and New Mexico during this stretch.

Offensively, San José State averages 70.8 points per game while allowing 77.1 points per contest. The Spartans shoot 43% from the field and pull down 30.1 rebounds per game. Ball movement has been an issue at times, as they average just 10.9 assists per game. Defensively, they record 2.0 blocks and 5.8 steals per contest, but their inability to consistently string together stops has hurt them in conference play.

One area that stands out is their recent offensive uptick. In the win over Nevada, they scored 87 points and showed better spacing and tempo. If they can push the pace and get early offense before Boise State sets its half-court defense, they have a better chance of keeping this game competitive.

Broncos Looking to Protect Home Court

Boise State comes in at 15-11 overall and 7-8 in Mountain West play. The Broncos have been competitive but inconsistent, splitting their last five games. They recently lost to Utah State and UNLV but earned wins over New Mexico and Nevada in tight contests.

The Broncos average 78.4 points per game and allow 74.6 points per contest. They shoot 45% from the field and are stronger on the glass than their opponent, pulling down 35.7 rebounds per game. Boise State also averages 13.8 assists per game, showing better offensive balance than San José State.

A key strength for Boise State is their ability to score in bunches, especially at home. They have topped 90 points twice in their last five games. With 2.2 blocks and 4.9 steals per game, they may not force a high number of turnovers, but their size and rebounding edge could create second-chance opportunities that separate them in this matchup.

San José State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Pick

San José State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Spread Pick

  • Pick: Boise State Broncos - Spread (if favored by single digits)

Boise State’s offensive balance and rebounding edge should be the difference here. San José State has struggled defensively, allowing over 77 points per game, and Boise State’s ability to push into the high 70s or 80s makes them the more reliable side. The Broncos have also shown they can win tight games at home, which is important in conference matchups.

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San José State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Total Pick

  • Pick: Over (if total is set in the mid-140s)

I expect a fairly fast-paced game with both teams looking to score. San José State has given up big numbers recently, and Boise State’s recent games have trended toward higher totals. With both teams capable of reaching the mid-to-high 70s, I lean toward the over in this spot.

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