San José State vs. UNLV Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, February 10, 2026
Use Code WWWC On Tuesday, the San José State Spartans will take on the UNLV Runnin' Rebels in a Mountain West Conference basketball game, and we have you ready to go with our San José State vs. UNLV prediction, odds, and preview. Tip-off from Las Vegas is at 11:00 p.m. ET.
The Runnin' Rebels are 12.5-point spread favorites, and the game total is 153 points scored.
The Rebels beat the Spartans 76-62 on January 17, covering as 7.5-point spread favorites. They dominated from start to finish, shooting 54 percent overall and 48 percent from three-point range. They also won the rebounding and turnover battles. UNLV has won five straight against San José State and is 8-2 in the last ten matchups (5-5 ATS). The under went 7-3 in those games. If you want the San José State vs. UNLV prediction, read on to get our top NCAAB predictions and increase your bankroll!
Spartans are dealing with several key injuries
San José State (6-17 SU, 11-11 ATS, and 12-10 O/U) lost 65-57 to Colorado State in its previous game. The Spartans are 1-11 in MWC competition this season and 1-9 straight-up (5-5 ATS) in their last ten games. In Saturday's loss, they shot just 35 percent from the field and 5-for-20 from beyond the arc. The Rams won the rebounding battle 48-28, as well.
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The Spartans return just three contributors from last season's team: senior forward Sadraque NgaNga (6.4 PPG and 4.0 RPG), sophomore guard Jermaine Washington (11.0 PPG), and sophomore guard Pasha Goodarzi (7.1 PPG). SJSU added six transfers and five freshmen this offseason and will play a brand-new starting five. Colby Garland, a transfer from Longwood, leads the team in scoring at 18.4 points per game on 48.8 percent shooting. He also dishes out 4.2 assists per game.
Only one other healthy Spartan is averaging double-digit points: freshman guard Ben Roseborough (12.0 PPG). In other words, San José State's depth is questionable with senior forward Yaphet Moundi (12.5 PPG and 7.6 RPG) sidelined. A couple of other SJSU players to watch on Tuesday against UNLV are freshman guard Melvin Bell Jr. (8.2 PPG and 4.1 RPG) and sophomore forward Adrian Myers (7.8 PPG and 3.4 RPG).
San José State Spartans Injury Report:
- Washington (undisclosed), Moundi (foot), and Roseborough (undisclosed) are questionable to play.
UNLV makes the most of its second-chance opportunities
UNLV (9-8 SU, 8-8 ATS, and 8-8 O/U) beat Grand Canyon 80-78 in its last game, covering as a 2.5-point spread 'dog. The Runnin' Rebels, who are 6-6 in MWC play this season, snapped a four-game losing streak in the win. They led by as many as 16 points, including by ten at halftime, as the Lopes shot under 40 percent from the floor. UNLV outrebounded Grand Canyon 41-36 and outscored them 30-24 in the paint.
Junior guard Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn leads the Runnin' Rebels in scoring at 18.5 points per game. He shoots 49.0 percent from the field and 37.0 percent from three-point range. A few other UNLV players to watch on Tuesday against San José State are senior forward Kimani Hamilton (11.7 PPG and 4.5 RPG), freshman forward Tyrin Jones (10.6 PPG and 4.8 RPG), and freshman guard Issac Williamson (10.1 PPG).
UNLV averages 78.8 points per game (161st) on 46.1 percent shooting (137th), including 32.2 percent from three-point range (227th). The Rebels' defense surrenders 78.8 points per game (276th) on 45.5 percent shooting (273rd), including 35.1 percent from beyond the arc (273rd). KenPom ranks UNLV 128th nationally, including 107th in offensive efficiency rating and 189th in defensive efficiency rating.
UNLV Runnin' Rebels Injury Report:
- Jones and G Howie Fleming Jr. (9.9 PPG and 5.9 RPG) are questionable to play with undisclosed injuries.
San José State vs. UNLV Pick and Preview
Spread Pick for San José State vs. UNLV
- UNLV -12.5 (4 Units)
The Spartans were without Washington in their previous game, as well as Moundi, who last suited up on December 30, and Roseborough, who last played on January 13. That has left them without reliable scoring options, as those players combine to average 36.4 points per game, over half of their scoring average. They're ranked 316th in offensive momentum, per Haslametrics. I don't expect much from their offense or defense on Tuesday. The Spartans are also weak on the other end of the court, ranked 289th in defensive efficiency and 345th in near-proximity shot defense.
The Rebels covered this number in the first matchup between these squads, and they enter Tuesday's contest with a momentum boost after defeating a good Grand Canyon team in their previous game. They'll attack SJSU at the rim (64th-highest near-proximity attempt rate) and make the visitors pay if they don't box out. UNLV ranks 37th nationally in quick points off offensive rebounds and 57th in second-chance conversion percentage.
Over/Under Pick for San José State vs. UNLV
- Under 153 (4 Units)
Betting Trend: The under is 7-3 in the last ten games between these MWC opponents.
The Runnin' Rebels like to push the pace (34th in schedule-adjusted tempo), but they will be met with resistance by the Spartans, who are among the slowest-paced teams in the country (332nd in tempo). Three of San José State's four double-digit scorers have missed recent games, and all three are questionable to play again on Tuesday. With a lack of depth and scoring talent, they aren't likely to attempt to get into a fast-paced, offensive game with the Rebels. They'll take their time in the half-court and attempt to grind down the home team on the other end. While UNLV is capable of scoring enough to cover the spread, I don't envision them forcing it enough late in the second half to push the total over 153 points.
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