Seton Hall Pirates vs. USC Trojans Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, November 25, 2025
It’s an early season clash on the hardwood and it brings a non-conference tilt between foes from the Big East and the Big Ten on the hardwood in the Aloha State as the Seton Hall Pirates take on the USC Trojans Tuesday afternoon in a semifinal matchup of the Maui Invitational and we have you covered with our Seton Hall vs. USC prediction. Seton Hall comes in off an 85-74 win over #23 NC State in their first round matchup Monday afternoon in their previous contest, winning outright as an eight-point underdog. USC downed Boise State 70-67 in their first round tilt Monday afternoon in their previous contest, failing to cover the line as a 4.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, each team has won once though the Trojans took a 71-63 win in the Rady Children's Invitational in the most recent meeting back on November 23, 2023. Read more about this Seton Hall vs. USC prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions!
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Seton Hall Shooting to Remain Unbeaten
Seton Hall saw their offense perform better than anticipated as they took down #23 NC State in their first round matchup here Monday afternoon. The Pirates improved to 6-0 overall on the year and now face a major step up in competition as they take the floor here. Against NC State, Seton Hall started strong, jumping in front 16-6 with 14:51 to play in the first half, before settling for a 35-33 advantage at the half. The Pirates opened the second half on a 9-0 run to go up 44-33 and didn’t let the Wolfpack closer than nine the rest of the way. Seton Hall shot 51.8% from the floor, including seven of 22 from three-point range, won the rebounding battle 37-30 and owned a 40-26 edge in points in the paint in the game. AJ Staton-McCray led the Pirates with 22 points and eight rebounds in the win.
For the season, Seton Hall is putting up an average of 75 points per game on the offensive end of the floor thus far, putting them just 276th in the nation in scoring offense. The Pirates grab an average of 38 boards per game while they hand out an average of 13.5 assists a contest. Seton Hall has been excellent defensively as they are allowing 57.8 points per game this year, leaving them 3rd in the nation in scoring defense. Tajuan Simpkins leads the team in scoring with 12.8 points plus 3.8 rebounds per game. AJ Staton-McCray (12.3 points, 4.2 rebounds) and Elijah Fisher (9.5 points, four rebounds) are valuable scoring options for the team on the year. Adam Clark, Stephon Payne, Mike Williams, Najai Hines, Jacob Dar, Trey Parker and Jahseem Felton have to contribute on both ends for the team to have success. Seton Hall shoots 43.3% from the field as a team this season. The Pirates knock down 6.3 triples a night while sinking 32.8% from beyond the arc as a team. Seton Hall has been good at the charity stripe, hitting 76.5% of their chances this season, putting them 82nd in the country.
Key Injury Report for Seton Hall:
- Guard Jahseem Felton (knee) is out for the season.
Trojans Look to Maintain Unblemished Mark
USC won a tight, back and forth contest against Boise State in their first round matchup to punch their ticket to the semifinals. The Trojans ran their record to 5-0 on the year and shoot to remain unbeaten as they try to reach the title game. Against Boise State, USC led 12-4 early and took their largest lead at 27-18 with 7:03 to go in the first half. The Trojans led by two at the half and faced their biggest deficit at 52-49 with 8:54 remaining. Down the stretch, the teams traded the lead multiple times, with USC taking the lead for good at 68-65 with 14 seconds to go on a Rodney Rice three-point play. The Trojans withstood a potential game-tying three-pointer in the final seconds to preserve the win. USC shot 44.4% from the floor, including 11 of 23 from beyond the arc, and forced 15 turnovers in the win. Rice led the way for the Trojans with 27 points in the win.
The Trojans average 94.4 points per game on the season, putting them 4th in the nation in scoring offense. USC comes into this one grabbing 41 rebounds a night (38th) while they dish out 20.4 assists a night. The Trojans are below average on the defensive end of the floor, ranking 283rd by allowing 77.4 points per game this season. Chad Baker-Mazara is one of four players in double figures as he puts up 20.2 points and seven rebounds a game this season. Rodney Rice (21.8 points, four rebounds, 6.8 assists) and Ezra Ausar (16.4 points, 4.8 boards) provide solid secondary scoring. Jacob Cofie (10 points, 6.8 rebounds, Amarion Dickerson, Jaden Brownell, Jordan Marsh, Gabe Dynes, Terrance Williams II and Jerry Easter II are all averaging solid minutes for coach Eric Musselman this season. USC shoots 47% from the field as a team this season, putting them 111th in the nation. The Trojans drill 8.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc. USC is average at the line as they shoot 70% at the stripe as a team this season, which is 195th in Division I.
Key Injury Report for USC:
- No Key Injuries
Seton Hall vs. USC Pick
Seton Hall vs. USC Spread Pick
- USC (4 units)
Seton Hall performed well in their win over NC State, taking advantage of a Wolfpack team that had issues on the defensive end of the floor. The Pirates now have to find a way to pull that off for a second straight day here against a USC squad that is coming off their lowest point total of the season. Entering Monday, USC was averaging better than 100 points a night and they still are putting up better than 94 a game on the season. The Pirates are tough defensively and their defense will keep them in it. In the end, however, USC’s big trio of offensive threats do enough down the stretch to earn the win to reach the title game.
Seton Hall vs. USC Over/Under Pick
- Under (4 units)
Seton Hall has seen the under post a 4-2 mark in their six games on the season. The Pirates stand 17th in the nation in defensive efficiency, 35th in effective field goal percentage defense (44.2%), seventh in forced turnover percentage (25%), 12th in field goal percentage defense (35.1%) and third in two-point defense (34.3%) this season. Seton Hall is a slow-paced team, ranking 324h in adjusted tempo according to KenPom with 67.2 possessions a night. USC enters this contest having seen the under post a 3-2 mark in their five games this season. The Trojans are 4th in the nation in scoring offense, 41st in offensive efficiency, 37th in turnover percentage (13.9%), 19th in free throw rate (.515 FT attempts per FG attempt) and second in free throws made (23.8) while ranking first in free throw attempts (34) per contest. USC is a run and gun team, ranking 42nd in adjusted tempo with 72.9 possessions a night according to KenPom. Seton Hall slows things to more their pace and that tests USC’s attack, keeping this one under the total.
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