SMU Mustangs vs Duke Blue Devils Picks and Predictions for Saturday, January 10, 2026
The SMU Mustangs will be on the road Saturday afternoon for an ACC matchup in Durham, NC, inside Cameron Indoor Stadium at 2:00 PM, against the Duke Blue Devils, and we have you ready to roll with our SMU vs Duke prediction. SMU is the #24-ranked team in the nation coming into Saturday with twelve wins and 3 losses overall. The Duke Blue Devils return home Saturday afternoon with 14 wins and 1 loss this season, ranked 6th in the nation. SMU comes into Saturday having won three of the last five, following a four-point road loss to Clemson in their last outing to end a three-game winning streak. The Duke Blue Devils return home Saturday running hot, having won four of the last five, including three in a row, after an 11-point road victory against Louisville last time out. Read more about this SMU vs Duke prediction! Struggling with handicapping? Try our NCAAB Predictions
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SMU looks to bounce back
The SMU Mustangs come into Saturday with twelve wins and three losses this season and a 1-1 showing in ACC play. Offensively, SMU is averaging 89.1 points on 50% shoot from the floor this season, but has averaged only 73.5 points per game over its last two losses, including 70 points in its loss to Clemson last time out. Defensively, SMU is allowing 76.7 points per game this season and has given up an average of 81.5 points per game over its last two losses. Offensively, SMU was terrible in their last game, scoring 70 points, including just 25 in the first half, on 37% from the field and 35% from beyond the arc. Defensively, SMU was outmatched, giving up 74 points on 43% shooting from the floor. The Mustangs did win the rebounding battle by 4, but turned the ball over 13 times in the loss. Boopie Miller led the way for the SMU offense with 23 points on 15 shots against Clemson. Samet Yigitoglu chipped in any second-best 14 points and 32 minutes. BJ Edwards and Jaron Pierre Jr. both chipped in heavily, scoring 12 points each.
Boopie Miller leads the SMU offense this season, averaging 20.8 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. Jaron Pierre Jr is 2nd on the team, averaging 17.9 points, and BJ Edwards averages 13.3 points per game. Corey Washington is 4th on the team, averaging 12.3 points per game. Big man Samet Yigitoglu is fifth on the team, averaging 11.2 points to go along with the team-leading 8.8 rebounds per game. Jaden Toombs averages 6.6 points per game this season for SMU, but has played just 6 times this season.
Key Injury Report for SMU:
- None
Duke tries to extend winning streak
The Duke offense has been their biggest strength this season, averaging 87.1 points on 50% shooting from the floor, and the Blue Devils have averaged 89.25 points per game over their last four victories. Defensively, Duke has been elite this season as well, allowing 66 points per game overall, but gave up 82 points in their loss to Texas Tech back before Christmas. Defensively, Duke was the better team in their last outing after giving up only 73 points, including only 26 in the second half, to erase a nine-point halftime deficit. Louisville shot 40% from the floor and 32% from beyond the arc. The Blue Devils won the rebounding battle by two and forced 14 turnovers in the win. Offensively, Duke rolled, scoring 84 points, including 46 in the second half on 51% shooting from the floor. Cam Boozer led the Duke offense with 27 points, 8 rebounds, and four assists. Isaiah Evans was second on the Duke roster with 23 points on 17 shots, and Caleb Foster chipped in 20 points in 34 minutes.
Cameron Boozer is Duke's offensive leader this season for Duke, averaging 23.3 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 4.2 assists. Isaiah Evans is second on the roster, averaging 14 points per game. Big man Patrick Ngongba II is averaging 10.5 points in just over 23 minutes per game. Caleb Foster is the 4th Duke player this season in double digits, averaging 10.2 points per game.
Key Injury Report for Duke:
- Ifeanyi Ufochukwu (Questionable) - Undisclosed
- Sebastian Wilkins (Out) - Redshirt
SMU vs Duke Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tony Karpinski | +2,494.00 |
| 2 |  Joe Duffy | +1,859.00 |
| 3 |  The Insiders Room | +1,788.00 |
| 4 |  Mark Ruelle | +1,428.00 |
| 5 |  Jackie Mack | +1,400.00 |
SMU vs Duke Spread Pick
- Duke Blue Devils
Duke is the much better team in this match and will continue their winning ways on Saturday. SMU has a better offense, but the Duke defense will be the difference in this game. Look for Duke to stifle SMU for 40 minutes, as they will again struggle on the offensive end. Take the Blue Devils Saturday afternoon to continue their winning streak as they remain undefeated in ACC play with a win and cover at home.
SMU vs Duke Over/Under Pick
- Over
Both teams scored the ball in bunches, and that will continue Saturday. Each team averages nearly 90 points per game, and that will push the total over the number. Look for both teams to score rapidly throughout Saturday's matchup as each pursues an ACC victory. Take the over Saturday afternoon as the SMU Mustangs take on the Duke Blue Devils in Durham in an ACC conference match-up.
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