SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026

By: Liam Keating Published 02/14/2026, 06:55 AM ET
SMU vs Syracuse prediction
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Another afternoon of ACC action should bring about some great competition on Saturday, Feb. 14. Read our SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange prediction along with our NCAAB picks for the night. SMU is 17-7 and they are currently 6-5 in ACC play. The Mustangs have won four of their last six games. SMU has rattled off back-to-back wins, too. Syracuse is 14-11, but they have lost six of their last eight outings. These two teams will meet with tip-off set for 2 P.M. EST.

SMU winners of back-to-back games

SMU is 17-7 overall this season. The Mustangs are 6-5 in ACC play, as they sit in eighth place in the league. The Mustangs are 4.5 games back of Duke for first place. SMU is 3-4 when they have played on the road this season. They have won four of their last six games, including back-to-back victories.

In their last game, SMU defeated Notre Dame 89-81 at home on Tuesday, Feb. 10. SMU went on a 14-0 run to break a tie in the second half, which propelled them to victory. The Mustangs shot 52% from the field and 46% from behind the 3-point line in the win. Jaron Pierre led the team with 22 points on 8-for-15 shooting.

Boopie Miller leads the team with 19.2 points and 6.8 assists per game. Same Yigitoglu is grabbing a team-high 8.2 rebounds per game, too.

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According to KenPom, SMU is the 37th ranked team in the nation. They rank 15th offensive rating, while also being the 91st ranked defensive team this year.

SMU is averaging 86.5 points per game, which ranks 29th in the nation. They are shooting 49.7% from the field, which ranks 23rd. The Mustangs also rank 24th in 3-point shooting, hitting 37.9% from behind the arc.

On defense, SMU is allowing 77.5 points per game, which ranks 239th. They are the 138th ranked defensive team, allowing 43.3% from the field. The Mustangs also rank 124th in 3-point defense, giving up 32.6% from behind the arc.

SMU is 11-13 against the spread this season. The Mustangs are 4-3 against the spread when playing on the road. They are 4-5 against the spread as an underdog. They are 7-8 against the spread as a favorite. SMU is also 5-6 against the spread during conference play. The over is 14-10 when SMU has played this season. The over is 6-5 when they have played during conference play. The over is 4-3 when they have played on the road.

Syracuse struggling in ACC play

Syracuse is 14-11 overall this season. The Orange are 5-7 in ACC play this season, which places them in a tie for 10th place. Syracuse is 11-4 when they have played at home this year. They have struggled recently losing six of their last eight games coming into this weekend.

In their last game, Syracuse defeated Cal 107-100 in double overtime on Wednesday, Feb. 11. It was an incredibly close game throughout with 28 lead changes. Calโ€™s largest lead was just six points, while Syracuseโ€™s seven point advantage was their largest lead. The Orange shot 54% from the field and 24% from behind the 3-point line in the win. Nate Kingz scored 27 points on 8-for-14 shooting.

JJ Starling leads the team with 12.5 points per game. William Kyle III leads the team with 7.7 rebounds, while Nathan George has a team-high 5.6 assists.

Syracuse is the 68th ranked team in the country, according to KenPom. They are the 79th ranked offensive team and the 70th ranked defensive team this season.

Syracuse is averaging 79.6 points per game, which ranks 145th. They are the 64th ranked shooting team, making 47.4% from the field. The Orange are making 33.1% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 236th.

On defense, Syracuse is allowing 74.9 points per game, which ranks 167th. They are the 95th ranked defensive team, allowing 42.6% from the field. Opponents are hitting 32.4% from behind the 3-point line, ranking Syracuse 122nd.

Syracuse is 13-12 against the spread this season. They are 7-8 against the spread when playing at home. The Orange are 7-5 against the spread when playing ACC opponents. They are 8-7 against the spread as a favorite, while they are 5-5 against the spread as an underdog. The over is 14-11 when Syracuse has played this season. The over is 9-3 when Syracuse has played ACC teams.

SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange Picks

SMU vs Syracuse Spread Pick

  • Take SMU to cover (5 units)ย 

SMU and Syracuse are two teams moving in different directions at the moment. Syracuse has lost six of their last eight games, but they needed a double overtime win to just get back Cal at home earlier this week. SMUโ€™s offense is elite and they will score consistently throughout this game. The Mustangs rank 15th in offensive rating. They rank in the top 25 in field goal and 3-point percentage this year. SMU is 4-3 against the spread when playing on the road thi year. Syracuse is 7-8 against the spread at home.

Take SMU to cover.

SMU vs Syracuse Over/Under Pick

  • Take the over (5 units)ย 

SMUโ€™s offense is one of the best in the nation. The Mustangs do rank 93rd in tempo per game, while they are the 15th ranked offensive team according to KenPom. SMUโ€™s offense is going to decimate Syracuseโ€™s defense that ranks 70th in the country. Syracuse is allowing 75 points per game and they should relinquish a high amount of points in this one, too. Expect a high scoring game as the over is 9-3 when Syracuse has played ACC opponents. The over is 4-3 when SMU has played during road games, too.

Take the over on Saturday.ย 

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